Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

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Board

Matches

89 matches

04:30Erzurumspor FKvEyüpsporTrendyol Süper Lig0 won / 3 lost · −3.00u · 3 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 8.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9013 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

Closing comparison in pick details

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Load bookmaker comparisons and the recommendation record.

Matches

Corners · match total

Shots · Erzurumspor FK total

Throw-ins · match total

Corners · Millwall total

Throw-ins · Lincoln City total

Throw-ins · Lincoln City total

Corners · Middlesbrough total

Offsides · match total

Shots · Middlesbrough total

Shots on target · Middlesbrough total

Fouls · Everton total

Goals · Chelsea total

Shots · Chelsea total

Throw-ins · Everton total

Fouls · Watford total

Corners · USL Dunkerque total

Corners · Atlético Madrid total

Fouls · Atlético Madrid total

Shots on target · match total

Goals · Almería total

Offsides · match total

Offsides · Almería total

Shots on target · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · Empoli total

Corners · match total

Corners · Gençlerbirliği total

Goals · Galatasaray total

Shots · Gençlerbirliği total

Shots on target · Gençlerbirliği total

Throw-ins · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · L.R. Vicenza total

Shots · Benevento total

Corners · Padova total

Corners · Carrarese total

Corners · Mladá Boleslav total

Goals · match total

Shots · Amed Sportif Faaliyetler total

Shots on target · Amed Sportif Faaliyetler total

Throw-ins · match total

Shots · Napoli total

Throw-ins · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · 1. FSV Mainz 05 total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · FC Schalke 04 total

Offsides · match total

Shots · 1. FSV Mainz 05 total

Throw-ins · match total

Corners · Hamburger SV total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · VfB Stuttgart total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · VfB Stuttgart total

Fouls · match total

Offsides · FC Augsburg total

Throw-ins · match total

Fouls · SC Paderborn 07 total

Offsides · match total

Shots · Borussia Dortmund total

Shots on target · 1. FC Union Berlin total

Throw-ins · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · Kilmarnock total

Goals · Motherwell total

Corners · Norwich City total

Corners · Portsmouth total

Goal kicks · match total

Shots · Norwich City total

Shots on target · Portsmouth total

Corners · Bristol City total

Fouls · Bristol City total

Goal kicks · Sheffield United total

Throw-ins · Sheffield United total

Corners · Southampton total

Offsides · match total

Shots · Southampton total

Shots on target · Southampton total