CD Toluca vs Atlético San Luis — Liga MX, Apertura
Liga MX, AperturaLiga MX, Apertura 2026
Sat 17 Oct··Matchday 12·Estadio Nemesio Diez·Drawn
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 15Corners2
- 0Cards0
- 29Shots15
- 7Shots on target5
- 9Fouls7
- 20Throw-ins15
- 2Offsides2
- 8Goal kicks16
- 4Saves6
- 9Tackles9
- 6Interceptions18
- 10Dribbles5
Board
Matches
CD TolucavAtlético San LuisLiga MX, Apertura3 won / 0 lost · +3.28u · 3 picks
- Model chance at recommendation
- 60.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.65
- Expected value at recommendation
- +32.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +32.3%.
At recommendation, BetMGM UK’s overall market record had 92 settled picksand +3.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance60.7%EV+32.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.18Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 6.5
Model chance61.9%EV+23.7%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.001 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance61.9%EV+14.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance61.9%EV+8.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 15 Oct, 18:18: over 6.5 at 2.18 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 10:03. The original pick remains in the results.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 70.9%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.42
- Expected value at recommendation
- +41.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 70.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.42. Expected value at recommendation: +41.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 88 settled picksand +27.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance70.9%EV+41.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 15 Oct, 18:18: over 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 16:01. The original pick remains in the results.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 66.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.51
- Expected value at recommendation
- +39.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 66.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 52 settled picksand +6.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance66.3%EV+39.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 15 Oct, 18:18: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 16:31. The original pick remains in the results.
Predictions