Atlanta United vs Inter Miami CF 1-3

MLSMLS 2026

Atlanta United

1–3

HT 0–1

Inter Miami CF

Sat 17 Oct·17:30·Mercedes-Benz Stadium·Inter Miami CF won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners2
3Cards2
20Shots7
3Shots on target5
8Fouls11
17Throw-ins5
0Offsides3
2Goal kicks14
2Saves2
14Tackles7
11Interceptions8
2Dribbles4

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

17:30Atlanta UnitedvInter Miami CFMLS2 won / 3 lost · −1.10u · 5 picks

Corners · Atlanta United total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.95u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9512 Oct, 06:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+8.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+4.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.6%EV+2.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV+8.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV-9.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV+0.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.5%EV+13.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:32: over 4.5 at 1.95 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 15:20. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Inter Miami CF total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0017 Oct, 05:27

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 65.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.53
Expected value at recommendation: +31.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 65.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +31.5%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 87 settled picksand +6.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.5%EV+34.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.8%EV+31.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.6%EV+27.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 05:27: over 11.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9517 Oct, 05:26

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 253 settled picksand +2.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.6%EV+2.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV+10.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.74
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-6.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV+13.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.76
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-5.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 05:26: over 10.5 at 1.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Atlanta United total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2015 Oct, 06:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +12.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +12.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 51 settled picksand +8.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+12.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.0%EV+5.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV+5.0%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV+5.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.68
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-9.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-7.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:18: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 27.5Actual: 22+0.95u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9517 Oct, 05:26

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +3.1%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 421 settled picksand +0.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 27.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.9%EV+3.1%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 27.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV+3.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 05:26: under 27.5 at 1.95 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−22.0%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit−1.10units

W / L2 / 3picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionMLS Home teamAtlanta United Away teamInter Miami CF RefereeAllen Chapman

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Atlanta United total

Fouls · Inter Miami CF total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Atlanta United total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

Around this match

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