Bologna vs Inter 1-3 — Serie A

Serie ASerie A 26/27

Bologna

1–3

Inter

Sat 17 Oct·10:00·Matchday 7·Renato Dall'Ara·Inter won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners6
4Cards3
11Shots17
4Shots on target8
8Fouls11
9Throw-ins17
3Offsides3
10Goal kicks10
5Saves3
12Tackles11
13Interceptions7
6Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Board

Matches

1 match

10:00BolognavInterSerie A4 won / 0 lost · +4.48u · 4 picks

Corners · Bologna total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 2+1.12u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1217 Oct, 09:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +13.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +13.6%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 182 settled picksand +1.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.6%EV+13.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-1.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+4.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 09:49: under 3.5 at 2.12 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Inter total

Open match →FreeWon

over 16.5Actual: 17+1.30u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3015 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 64.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.55
Expected value at recommendation: +48.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 64.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +48.8%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 124 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.7%EV+48.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.9%EV+37.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.9%EV+36.6%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.9%EV+29.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.9%EV+22.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance71.9%EV+31.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:24: over 16.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Inter total

Open match →FreeWon

over 5.5Actual: 8+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0017 Oct, 03:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 132 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+0.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-14.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-14.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-19.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-16.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV-7.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 03:49: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 04:30. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 31.5Actual: 26+1.06u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0617 Oct, 04:14

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +24.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +24.1%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 310 settled picksand +1.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 31.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.3%EV+20.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 31.5
At recommendation2.06
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.2%EV+24.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+17.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 04:14: under 31.5 at 2.06 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+112.0%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+4.48units

W / L4 / 0picks

Avg odds2.12settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSerie A Home teamBologna Away teamInter RefereeDaniele Doveri

Matches

Corners · Bologna total

Shots · Inter total

Shots on target · Inter total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings