RC Strasbourg vs Paris Saint-Germain 1-3

Ligue 1Ligue 1 26/27

RC Strasbourg

1–3

HT 1–0

Paris Saint-Germain

Sat 17 Oct·09:15·Matchday 7·Stade de la Meinau·Paris Saint-Germain won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners6
2Cards0
16Shots18
8Shots on target7
12Fouls6
22Throw-ins16
2Offsides0
7Goal kicks9
4Saves7
18Tackles14
10Interceptions4
3Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

09:15RC StrasbourgvParis Saint-GermainLigue 14 won / 3 lost · +1.56u · 7 picks

Corners · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1012 Oct, 18:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +19.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +19.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+19.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.5%EV+7.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.94
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.9%EV+14.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.9%EV+11.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.89
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.9%EV+11.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.9%EV+11.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.9%EV+14.8%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:18: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3016 Oct, 13:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +36.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +36.4%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 87 settled picksand +6.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+36.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.5%EV+18.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.5%EV+21.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance62.5%EV+14.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:34: over 8.5 at 2.30 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 09:02. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2516 Oct, 13:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +2.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+11.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+11.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+14.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-24.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:34: over 4.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 30.5Actual: 34+1.30u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3015 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +26.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +26.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 105 settled picksand +2.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 30.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.1%EV+9.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 30.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.8%EV+26.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 30.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+10.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+7.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+7.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:24: over 30.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · RC Strasbourg total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 16+0.88u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8815 Oct, 21:47

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 69.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.45
Expected value at recommendation: +29.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 69.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.45. Expected value at recommendation: +29.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 193 settled picksand +6.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance69.0%EV+29.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.1%EV+26.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.1%EV+38.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.1%EV+20.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.1%EV+20.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.1%EV+39.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.1%EV+17.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 21:47: over 10.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 19:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · RC Strasbourg total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 8+1.48u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.4810 Oct, 15:33

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.60
Expected value at recommendation: +55.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 62.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +55.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.48
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.7%EV+55.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.5%EV+49.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+49.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+43.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+49.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 15:33: over 4.5 at 2.48 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 21:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 18.5Actual: 16+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9017 Oct, 09:12

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 73.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.37
Expected value at recommendation: +39.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 73.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.37. Expected value at recommendation: +39.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 113 settled picksand +4.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 18.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.4%EV+39.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.4%EV+54.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance73.4%EV+35.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 09:12: under 18.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+22.3%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+1.56units

W / L4 / 3picks

Avg odds2.17settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLigue 1 Home teamRC Strasbourg Away teamParis Saint-Germain RefereeWilly Delajod

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Paris Saint-Germain total

Fouls · Paris Saint-Germain total

Offsides · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · RC Strasbourg total

Shots on target · RC Strasbourg total

Throw-ins · Paris Saint-Germain total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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