Atlético Mineiro vs Coritiba 1-0 — Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série ABrasileiro Serie A 2026

Atlético Mineiro

1–0

HT 0–0

Coritiba

Sat 17 Oct·15:30·Matchday 31·Arena MRV·Atlético Mineiro won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners5
0Cards1
22Shots13
10Shots on target3
16Fouls11
18Throw-ins10
3Offsides1
7Goal kicks12
3Saves9
10Tackles16
8Interceptions10
6Dribbles0

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

15:30Atlético MineirovCoritibaBrasileirão Série A3 won / 1 lost · +1.73u · 4 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9712 Oct, 06:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +3.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.6%EV+3.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-8.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-13.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-13.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-13.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-8.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-8.5%
17 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:32: under 10.5 at 1.97 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 12:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Coritiba total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 06:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.82
Expected value at recommendation: +10.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +10.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.0%EV+10.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+7.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+4.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+10.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+4.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+9.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.3%EV+9.6%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 06:36: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Atlético Mineiro total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 16+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9216 Oct, 15:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.2%EV+9.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.1%EV-27.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 15:22: over 11.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 01:00. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Coritiba total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 13+0.81u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8117 Oct, 01:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 128 settled picksand +6.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+0.7%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+5.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.81
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+3.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV+3.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.57
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.3%EV-10.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 01:00: over 10.5 at 1.81 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 08:53. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+43.3%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+1.73units

W / L3 / 1picks

Avg odds1.93settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionBrasileirão Série A Home teamAtlético Mineiro Away teamCoritiba RefereeDavi de Oliveira Lacerda

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Coritiba total

Fouls · Atlético Mineiro total

Shots · Coritiba total

This match

Around this match

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