Aberdeen vs St. Mirren 3-1 — Scottish Premiership

Scottish PremiershipPremiership 26/27

Aberdeen

3–1

HT 1–1

St. Mirren

Sat 17 Oct·08:00·Matchday 9·Aberdeen won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners6
1Cards2
17Shots13
7Shots on target7
18Fouls16
14Throw-ins27
1Offsides0
10Goal kicks11
6Saves4
15Tackles16
13Interceptions9
3Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00AberdeenvSt. MirrenScottish Premiership1 won / 1 lost · −0.09u · 2 picks

Corners · St. Mirren total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9112 Oct, 18:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+5.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.2%EV+7.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.7%EV-1.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.7%EV+9.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.7%EV-1.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.7%EV+4.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 18:18: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 18:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0015 Oct, 06:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +5.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +5.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +6.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.5%EV+5.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV+15.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV-0.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV-0.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.08
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV+9.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV-0.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV+0.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.09
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV+9.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.6%EV+8.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:18: under 2.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−4.5%ROI · 2 units staked

Profit−0.09units

W / L1 / 1picks

Avg odds1.95settled picks

Recorded picks21 matches

Around this match

CompetitionScottish Premiership Home teamAberdeen Away teamSt. Mirren

Match overview

Matches

Corners · St. Mirren total

Goals · match total

This match

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