SC Telstar vs Feyenoord 3-4 — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

SC Telstar

3–4

HT 2–3

Feyenoord

Sat 17 Oct·12:00·Matchday 9·BUKO Stadion·Feyenoord won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners8
1Cards4
23Shots22
9Shots on target11
12Fouls6
12Throw-ins16
0Offsides1
5Goal kicks12
6Saves6
24Tackles9
4Interceptions8
4Dribbles12

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available2Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:00SC TelstarvFeyenoordEredivisie3 won / 2 lost · +0.89u · 5 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 14+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9111 Oct, 03:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+8.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-3.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-3.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+8.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV-3.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+1.8%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:18: over 10.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 17+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0017 Oct, 01:46

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 48 settled picksand +11.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 01:46: over 16.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 11:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8017 Oct, 03:17

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 59.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 64 settled picksand +13.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.9%EV+7.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+1.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+1.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 03:17: over 2.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Feyenoord total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 19.5Actual: 22+0.98u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9815 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 73.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.36
Expected value at recommendation: +46.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 73.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.36. Expected value at recommendation: +46.1%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 124 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 19.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance69.8%EV+39.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 19.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.8%EV+46.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+57.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+29.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance69.8%EV+37.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:24: over 19.5 at 1.98 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 34.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0517 Oct, 09:44

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 43 settled picksand +13.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 34.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+3.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 34.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.3%EV-22.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 34.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.3%EV-15.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 34.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance48.3%EV-10.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 09:44: over 34.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 10:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+17.8%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+0.89units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds1.95settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionEredivisie Home teamSC Telstar Away teamFeyenoord RefereeManschot, Jeroen

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Offsides · match total

Shots · Feyenoord total

Throw-ins · match total

This match

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