Derby County vs Stoke City 0-1 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Derby County

0–1

HT 0–0

Stoke City

Sat 17 Oct·08:00·Matchday 11·Pride Park Stadium·Stoke City won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners4
1Cards0
17Shots12
3Shots on target4
12Fouls10
27Throw-ins24
2Offsides2
6Goal kicks10
3Saves3
21Tackles26
14Interceptions4
4Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00Derby CountyvStoke CityChampionship3 won / 1 lost · +1.85u · 4 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1014 Oct, 18:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +7.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +7.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 230 settled picksand +11.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.3%EV+7.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.1%EV-4.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.1%EV-4.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.1%EV-4.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.1%EV-4.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.1%EV+10.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.1%EV+1.2%
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 18:18: over 10.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 23:34. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Derby County total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 12+1.05u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0516 Oct, 15:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+15.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+4.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 15:22: over 11.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 16+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9516 Oct, 03:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.92
Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 46 settled picksand +8.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 03:00: over 15.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Stoke City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 20.5Actual: 24+0.85u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8517 Oct, 05:16

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 51 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 20.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.3%EV+2.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 20.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.3%EV-3.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 05:16: over 20.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+46.3%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+1.85units

W / L3 / 1picks

Avg odds1.99settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamDerby County Away teamStoke City RefereeOliver Langford

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Fouls · Derby County total

Goal kicks · match total

Throw-ins · Stoke City total

This match

Around this match

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