Villarreal vs Elche 0-0 — LaLiga

LaLigaLaLiga 26/27

Villarreal

0–0

HT 0–0

Elche

Sat 17 Oct·08:15·Matchday 9·Estadio de la Ceramica·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners5
2Cards4
20Shots7
7Shots on target1
12Fouls7
11Throw-ins16
6Offsides0
6Goal kicks9
1Saves6
11Tackles15
10Interceptions8
11Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:15VillarrealvElcheLaLiga4 won / 3 lost · +0.94u · 7 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 15+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9111 Oct, 03:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +11.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +11.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.2%EV+11.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+4.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+4.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+9.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+4.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+4.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+7.8%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:18: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Elche total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8516 Oct, 03:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +8.0%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 105 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.4%EV+8.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+0.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.79
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+3.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV-1.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+4.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+7.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.9%EV+11.2%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 03:00: under 3.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · Elche total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 12.5Actual: 7+1.05u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0516 Oct, 13:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +17.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 259 settled picksand +9.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 12.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.5%EV+17.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+19.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 12.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.9%EV+16.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:22: under 12.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 17 Oct, 03:49. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.10u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1016 Oct, 13:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +11.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +11.6%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +2.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+13.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+5.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+11.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.93
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.8%EV+3.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 13:22: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Elche total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 7+0.88u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8815 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 32 settled picksand +14.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.2%EV+5.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-3.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV+10.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV+5.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV+10.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV+21.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:24: under 9.5 at 1.88 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 02:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0017 Oct, 01:21

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 253 settled picksand +2.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.8%EV+7.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+25.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.23
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+36.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+25.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.4%EV+44.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 01:21: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Elche total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2017 Oct, 03:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +19.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +19.4%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 132 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.3%EV+19.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV+7.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV+4.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.32
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV+24.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV+2.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.7%EV+10.1%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 03:49: over 3.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+13.4%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+0.94units

W / L4 / 3picks

Avg odds2.00settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLaLiga Home teamVillarreal Away teamElche RefereeVictor Garcia Verdura

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Elche total

Fouls · Elche total

Offsides · match total

Shots · Elche total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Elche total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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