Kilmarnock vs Motherwell 3-2 — Scottish Premiership

Scottish PremiershipPremiership 26/27

Kilmarnock

3–2

HT 1–1

Motherwell

Sat 17 Oct·08:00·Matchday 9·Kilmarnock won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners3
1Cards0
16Shots15
6Shots on target7
9Fouls8
23Throw-ins18
1Offsides3
9Goal kicks6
6Saves4
7Tackles24
9Interceptions7
3Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

08:00KilmarnockvMotherwellScottish Premiership3 won / 1 lost · +1.54u · 4 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9111 Oct, 03:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 77.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.29
Expected value at recommendation: +48.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 77.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.29. Expected value at recommendation: +48.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance77.6%EV+48.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance79.0%EV+36.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance79.0%EV+30.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance79.0%EV+36.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance79.0%EV+30.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance79.0%EV+42.2%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 03:18: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Kilmarnock total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.84u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8416 Oct, 03:55

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 64.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.56
Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 64.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +18.4%.

At recommendation, BetMGM UK’s overall market record had 92 settled picksand +3.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.84
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.4%EV+18.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-3.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-12.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-5.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-15.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV+1.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 16 Oct, 03:55: over 4.5 at 1.84 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 16 Oct, 08:28. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Motherwell total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 2+0.85u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8510 Oct, 15:33

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +1.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+1.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+1.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.9%EV+1.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.4%EV+9.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+8.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+1.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.9%EV+5.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 10 Oct, 15:33: over 1.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 10 Oct, 21:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+0.85u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8517 Oct, 02:34

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +11.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +11.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 64 settled picksand +13.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.2%EV+11.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 02:34: over 2.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+38.5%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+1.54units

W / L3 / 1picks

Avg odds1.86settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionScottish Premiership Home teamKilmarnock Away teamMotherwell

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Corners · Kilmarnock total

Goals · Motherwell total

Offsides · match total

This match

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