ADO Den Haag vs PSV Eindhoven 2-1 — Eredivisie

EredivisieEredivisie 26/27

ADO Den Haag

2–1

PSV Eindhoven

Yesterday·08:30·Matchday 9·Bingoal Stadium·ADO Den Haag won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners2
3Cards2
16Shots15
5Shots on target4
20Fouls9
20Throw-ins14
1Offsides5
7Goal kicks17
3Saves3
16Tackles15
8Interceptions8
1Dribbles5

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Board

Matches

1 match

08:30ADO Den HaagvPSV EindhovenEredivisie3 won / 2 lost · +1.15u · 5 picks

Goals · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreeLost

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8817 Oct, 08:27

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 53 settled picksand +1.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.5%EV+0.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.5%EV-7.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.5%EV-3.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.5%EV-6.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.5%EV-8.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.5%EV-9.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 08:27: over 2.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 2.5Actual: 6+0.80u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8017 Oct, 02:39

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.64
Expected value at recommendation: +10.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 61.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +10.3%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 64 settled picksand +13.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.3%EV+10.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.2%EV+7.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.2%EV+7.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 02:39: over 2.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreeWon

over 1.5Actual: 5+1.10u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1017 Oct, 02:39

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 109 settled picksand +6.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.4%EV+14.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.3%EV+11.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.3%EV-29.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.3%EV+6.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 02:39: over 1.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreeLost

over 19.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0015 Oct, 06:24

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +16.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +16.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 124 settled picksand +6.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 19.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.3%EV+16.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV+10.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV+2.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-7.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 19.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-5.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 15 Oct, 06:24: over 19.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 36.5Actual: 34+1.25u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2517 Oct, 01:29

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 69.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.44
Expected value at recommendation: +56.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 69.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.44. Expected value at recommendation: +56.9%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 421 settled picksand +0.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 36.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance69.7%EV+56.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 36.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.76
No saved recommendation
Model chance63.8%EV+12.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 01:29: under 36.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+23.0%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit+1.15units

W / L3 / 2picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionEredivisie Home teamADO Den Haag Away teamPSV Eindhoven RefereeVan den Kerkhof, Martin

Previous meetings

Sun 1 NovPSV Eindhoven 4-0 ADO Den Haag