Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Fri, 9 Oct 2026 · 71 positions on 22 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions701 awaiting a result
won / lost32 / 38positions won / lost
avg odds2.02mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−5.96units, one a position
ROI, the day−8.5%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 22 of 22 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
Al-KholoodvAl-QadsiahSaudi Pro League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.85 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetunder 1.51.85−3.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Al-FatehvAl-AhliSaudi Pro League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.92 units
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.8%- Kambiunder 3.52.02+9.0%11.2%won +1.02first captured 1.89 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Superbetunder 3.51.92+3.6%7.6%won +0.92first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Betliveunder 3.51.90+2.5%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 3.51.90+2.5%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 3.51.85−0.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
FC Corvinul HunedoaravFC VoluntariRomanian Super Liga3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.05 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 10.51.92+13.6%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Shots on target · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.5%- Superbetover 9.52.25+47.3%8.1%won +1.25first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetover 9.52.00+30.9%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots on target · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.5%- Superbetover 5.52.00+15.7%8.1%won +1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 5.51.85+7.0%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Eintracht BraunschweigvHolstein Kiel2. Bundesliga2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.12+17.1%8.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Crocobetunder 2.52.10+16.0%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 2.51.95+7.7%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 10.52.35+31.5%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetover 10.52.25+25.9%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
1. FC Heidenheimv1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga2 positions · 0 of 1 won · 1 awaiting result · −1.00 units
Cards · away team · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 2.51.90+18.9%—awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 2.51.80+12.7%—awaiting result
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 10.52.25+22.7%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetover 9.51.95+28.8%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
GalatasarayvKasımpaşaTrendyol Süper Lig6 positions · 3 of 6 won · +0.39 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 2.51.95+26.7%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 2.51.85+20.2%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiunder 6.52.02+1.6%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.76 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Bet365under 6.51.91−4.0%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Betliveunder 6.51.90−4.4%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 6.51.90−4.4%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 6.51.85−7.0%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.25+16.9%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 12.52.10+9.1%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 12.52.10+9.1%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.18 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.25+25.6%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Shots on target · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.5%- Superbetover 10.52.65+36.9%10.2%won +1.65first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Betliveover 10.51.95+0.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 10.51.95+0.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 10.51.95+0.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.0%- Superbetover 6.52.02+25.9%8.3%won +1.02first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
AldosivivSarmientoLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.90+8.6%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.77 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 2.51.80+2.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 11.51.95−1.7%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 11.51.80−9.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
MoreirensevGil VicenteLiga Portugal Betclic2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 3.52.10+18.0%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 3.52.07+16.3%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Betliveunder 3.51.90+6.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 3.51.90+6.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 3.51.85+4.0%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Kambiunder 3.51.85+4.0%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.79 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.25+29.8%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 12.52.20+26.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 13.51.80+22.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
MontpelliervGrenoble Foot 38Ligue 22 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 2.51.95+36.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 2.51.85+29.1%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 5.52.10+12.9%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 5.52.10+12.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 5.52.10+12.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 5.52.07+11.3%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+7.5%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
SochauxvUS Boulogne Côte-d'OpaleLigue 22 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.17 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.83 · ROI +82.5%- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+23.7%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 2.51.80+20.4%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.15+19.6%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 4.52.15+19.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Superbetunder 4.52.12+17.9%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Crocobetunder 4.52.10+16.8%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Bet365under 4.52.00+11.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- BetMGM UKunder 4.51.92+6.8%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Kambiunder 4.51.92+6.8%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
PSV EindhovenvSC HeerenveenEredivisie6 positions · 1 of 6 won · −4.08 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 9.51.92+3.6%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetunder 10.51.92−0.4%9.5%won +0.92first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 2.51.85+5.1%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetover 2.51.80+2.3%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 7.51.95+16.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.60 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 13.52.70+46.7%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Kambiover 13.52.70+46.7%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Liderbetover 13.52.65+44.0%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Crocobetover 13.52.50+35.9%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Superbetover 12.52.45+58.0%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.31 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 8.52.62+58.4%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.62
- Betliveover 8.52.35+42.0%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetover 8.52.30+39.0%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Kambiover 8.52.17+31.1%9.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.93 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Crocobetover 8.52.10+26.9%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Sepsi OSKvFC Dinamo BucureștiRomanian Super Liga2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.05 units
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.70 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 10.52.70+43.1%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.72 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Superbetover 3.51.95+18.4%7.8%won +0.95first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Borussia DortmundvSV Werder BremenBundesliga3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.03 units
Shots on target · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +104.5%- Superbetover 9.52.05+11.1%8.3%won +1.05first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Kambiover 9.52.04+10.6%11.1%won +1.04first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.04
Shots on target · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.09 avg → +1.09 · ROI +109.0%- Kambiover 6.52.17+9.8%—won +1.17
- Superbetover 6.52.10+6.2%—won +1.10
- Bet365over 6.52.00+1.2%—won +1.00
Throw-ins · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetover 36.51.90+9.7%8.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
AvellinovSampdoriaSerie B1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 8.51.80+4.7%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
SK BeverenvLommel SKPro League5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +0.51 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.27+23.6%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
- Liderbetunder 1.51.95+6.2%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 1.51.80−2.0%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +91.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.02+14.3%8.3%won +1.02first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Liderbetunder 1.51.80+1.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.52.17+12.8%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Kambiunder 5.52.10+9.1%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.23 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- BetMGM UKunder 5.52.08+8.1%9.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+3.9%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 5.52.00+3.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetunder 10.51.80+12.7%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetover 8.51.80+11.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
RC LensvOlympique LyonnaisLigue 18 positions · 5 of 8 won · +2.48 units
Cards · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +117.8%- Liderbetunder 1.52.30+28.2%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Superbetunder 1.52.30+28.2%8.0%won +1.30first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+19.8%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Kambiunder 1.52.14+19.3%8.8%won +1.14first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+11.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Cards · away team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.51 avg → +1.51 · ROI +151.4%- Liderbetunder 1.52.85+67.5%12.0%won +1.85first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
- Betliveunder 1.52.75+61.6%11.5%won +1.75first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 1.52.45+44.0%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Kambiunder 1.52.40+41.0%9.2%won +1.40first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Superbetunder 1.52.12+24.6%7.4%won +1.12first captured 2.82 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.51.95+18.1%6.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 5.51.88+13.8%8.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Betliveunder 5.51.85+12.0%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+12.0%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 5.51.85+12.0%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 11.51.90+4.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.50 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 11.51.85+2.0%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.50 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetunder 8.51.90+3.6%8.2%won +0.90first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 3.52.20+10.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetover 3.52.20+10.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveover 3.52.15+8.0%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Saves · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetover 6.51.95+6.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 6.51.95+6.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +94.0%- Bet365over 9.52.00+22.8%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiover 9.51.88+15.5%11.3%won +0.88first captured 1.68 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
MálagavEspanyolLaLiga7 positions · 3 of 7 won · −0.78 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 8 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.10+40.4%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 4.52.07+38.4%6.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.00+33.7%8.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.52.00+33.7%8.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 4.51.95+30.4%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 4.51.95+30.4%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Paddy Powerunder 4.51.91+27.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Crocobetunder 4.51.90+27.0%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 13.51.95+17.5%10.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 13.51.90+14.5%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → +1.19 · ROI +119.5%- Crocobetunder 6.52.10+53.3%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 6.52.05+49.7%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 7.51.88+58.5%8.1%won +0.88first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Betliveunder 5.52.75+59.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
Goals · away team · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.34 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.52.50+56.3%6.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.63 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetover 1.52.40+50.0%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Superbetover 1.52.37+48.2%7.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.37
- Liderbetover 1.52.30+43.8%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveover 1.52.15+34.4%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.85−4.0%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Saves · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.30+16.4%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetover 6.52.10+6.3%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.0%- Kambiover 8.51.83+13.5%11.1%won +0.83first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
West Ham UnitedvQueens Park RangersChampionship4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.05 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveunder 9.51.95−1.6%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 9.51.95−1.6%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 3.52.50+28.5%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Betliveover 3.52.25+15.6%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetover 3.52.20+13.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 9.51.87+15.5%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Betliveover 9.51.80+11.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetover 9.51.80+11.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetover 9.51.80+11.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 6.52.30+32.1%8.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.32 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetover 6.52.25+29.3%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiover 6.52.16+24.1%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.16
- Crocobetover 6.52.00+14.9%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveover 6.51.95+12.0%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Sporting BragavSportingLiga Portugal Betclic5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.36 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.80+24.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.55 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 3.52.10+42.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 3.52.10+42.3%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- BetMGM UKunder 3.52.08+41.0%9.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
- Kambiunder 3.52.08+41.0%9.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
- Superbetunder 3.52.02+36.9%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Bet365under 3.52.00+35.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 3.51.95+32.2%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → +1.01 · ROI +100.7%- Superbetunder 11.52.02+21.8%8.0%won +1.02first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetunder 11.52.00+20.6%14.5%won +1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 11.52.00+20.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goals · away team · over
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.5%- Superbetover 1.52.40+38.2%7.0%won +1.40first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Bet365over 1.52.38+36.7%7.3%won +1.38first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- Betliveover 1.52.25+29.5%12.0%won +1.25first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetover 1.52.15+23.8%11.0%won +1.15first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetover 1.52.10+20.9%14.3%won +1.10first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Liderbetunder 4.52.30+16.0%13.9%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Gimnasia y EsgrimavAtlético TucumánLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.20 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 11.52.10+23.0%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Offsides · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetover 3.51.80−4.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetover 3.51.80−4.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Instituto De CórdobavBoca JuniorsLiga Profesional de Fútbol4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.23 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 2.51.80−1.3%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.00+36.7%7.8%won +1.00first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 4.51.85+26.4%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 4.51.85+26.4%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +87.0%- Superbetunder 11.51.87−1.6%8.1%won +0.87first captured 1.74 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 2.51.80+16.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Club Atlético Unión de Santa FevDefensa y JusticiaLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.10+10.5%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Board record · all time
settled positions2,2509 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,135 / 1,115positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+68.51units, one a position
measured ROI+3.0%2,250 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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