Predictions

The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.

StatsGem Free PicksSG FreeStatsGem VIP PicksSG VIPBenchmarksBenchmarks

Fri, 18 Sept 2026 · 60 positions on 18 matches across 6 bookmakers

How this board differs from Telegram

This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.

That day

settled positions60all with a result
won / lost28 / 32positions won / lost
avg odds2.04mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−2.04units, one a position
ROI, the day−3.4%profit ÷ staked

One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.

Showing 18 of 18 matches

A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.

SpVgg Greuther Fürthv1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +0.86 units

Cards · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.82 · ROI +82.3%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.87+13.4%9.0%won +0.87
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.80+9.2%14.4%won +0.80
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.80+9.2%14.4%won +0.80

Corners · home team · under

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → +0.99 · ROI +99.2%
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+17.6%11.3%won +1.05
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.05+17.6%13.3%won +1.05
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.00+14.7%14.5%won +1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.51.95+11.9%7.8%won +0.95
  • Bet365under 4.51.91+9.5%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91

Fouls · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%
  • Betliveunder 11.52.25+25.4%13.4%won +1.25
  • Crocobetunder 12.51.85+22.9%14.7%won +0.85

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 4.52.80+41.0%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 4.52.80+41.0%13.8%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 10.52.10+23.6%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 10.52.00+17.7%14.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 10.51.85+8.9%14.7%lost −1.00
VfL WolfsburgvDarmstadt 982. Bundesliga2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 10.52.80+67.3%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 9.52.00+41.4%14.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 10.51.85+10.5%14.7%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 6.52.60+50.0%13.7%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 6.52.50+44.3%14.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 6.51.85+6.8%14.7%lost −1.00
KasımpaşavKonyasporTrendyol Süper Lig3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 4.51.97+2.6%7.9%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 4.51.95+1.6%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.51.95+1.6%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.51.95+1.6%13.8%lost −1.00
  • BetMGM UKunder 4.51.92+0.0%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
  • Bet365under 4.51.91−0.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.91

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 13.52.05+6.7%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 13.51.80−6.3%14.4%lost −1.00

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.10+13.6%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.80−2.7%14.4%lost −1.00
FC GroningenvPEC ZwolleEredivisie4 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.51.80−7.9%14.4%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 9.52.50+27.0%14.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 9.52.35+19.4%14.0%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 10.51.92+19.7%8.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 10.51.90+18.4%13.2%lost −1.00

Goals · away team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.63 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365over 1.52.63+57.9%7.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.63 → last pre-kickoff 2.63

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 11.52.60+44.8%9.9%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 11.52.20+22.5%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 11.52.10+17.0%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 11.52.10+17.0%14.3%lost −1.00
Stade de ReimsvMontpellierLigue 21 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+8.4%11.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.05+8.4%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.52.05+8.4%7.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.00+5.8%14.5%lost −1.00
  • Bet365under 4.51.91+0.9%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Stade LavalloisvSochauxLigue 21 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365under 4.52.10+12.7%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.10+12.7%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+10.0%11.3%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.52.02+8.4%7.6%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.00+7.3%12.5%lost −1.00
  • BetMGM UKunder 4.51.86−0.2%9.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
Albacete BalompiévCórdobaLaLiga 24 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.19 units

Cards · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.80+10.5%14.4%won +0.80

Corners · home team · under

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → +1.01 · ROI +101.0%
  • Bet365under 4.52.10+12.2%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Betliveunder 4.52.00+6.9%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.00+6.9%14.5%won +1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.00+6.9%12.5%won +1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.51.95+4.2%7.8%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 9.51.97+5.3%8.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 9.51.95+4.3%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 9.51.95+4.3%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 9.51.85−1.1%14.7%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 4.51.80−0.4%12.7%lost −1.00
FC Bayern Münchenv1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +2.61 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.05+16.8%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+14.0%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 1.51.97+12.3%6.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+11.1%11.9%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Betliveunder 9.52.10+26.8%12.1%won +1.10
  • Crocobetunder 9.51.95+17.7%11.9%won +0.95
  • Liderbetunder 9.51.95+17.7%13.8%won +0.95

Saves · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 8.52.00+1.1%12.5%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 3.01 avg → +2.01 · ROI +201.3%
  • Superbetover 14.53.50+93.0%10.5%won +2.50
  • Crocobetover 14.53.30+82.0%12.3%won +2.30
  • Liderbetover 14.53.15+73.7%12.4%won +2.15
  • Betliveover 12.52.10+56.4%12.1%won +1.10

Shots on target · home team · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.60 avg → +1.60 · ROI +160.0%
  • Superbetover 12.54.65+139.5%10.8%won +3.65
  • Betliveover 9.51.95+59.8%11.9%won +0.95
  • Crocobetover 9.51.90+55.7%11.5%won +0.90
  • Liderbetover 9.51.90+55.7%11.5%won +0.90
Juve StabiavCesenaSerie B3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.80+4.6%14.4%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 8.51.95+16.1%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 8.51.88+11.9%8.1%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 4.51.90+3.6%8.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 4.51.80−1.8%14.4%lost −1.00
KAA GentvStandard LiègePro League3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +2.98 units

Cards · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.10+19.7%8.6%won +1.10
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+11.2%13.8%won +0.95
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.95+11.2%13.8%won +0.95

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.13 · ROI +113.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.27+17.1%9.0%won +1.27
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.10+8.3%14.3%won +1.10
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.10+8.3%14.3%won +1.10
  • Betliveunder 1.52.05+5.7%13.3%won +1.05

Corners · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • BetMGM UKunder 5.51.85+17.8%9.3%won +0.85first captured 1.84 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
AS MonacovRC LensLigue 14 positions · 3 of 4 won · +1.92 units

Cards · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.7%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.00+5.4%7.1%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.90+0.1%11.5%won +0.90
  • Betliveunder 1.51.85−2.5%11.2%won +0.85

Corners · home team · under

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.4%
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.10+7.9%12.1%won +1.10
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+5.3%13.3%won +1.05
  • Superbetunder 4.52.02+3.8%7.0%won +1.02
  • Bet365under 4.52.00+2.8%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.51.95+0.2%11.9%won +0.95

Offsides · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +98.3%
  • Betliveover 3.52.10+5.5%12.1%won +1.10
  • Crocobetover 3.51.95−2.0%11.9%won +0.95
  • Liderbetover 3.51.90−4.5%13.2%won +0.90

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.90−3.4%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.90−3.4%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.51.85−6.0%11.2%lost −1.00
MonzavSassuoloSerie A7 positions · 6 of 7 won · +5.90 units

Cards · home team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.02+9.7%7.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+8.6%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.51.90+3.2%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.90+3.2%11.5%lost −1.00

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.5%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.07+6.3%7.8%won +1.07
  • Betliveunder 1.52.00+2.7%12.5%won +1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+2.7%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+0.1%11.9%won +0.95

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → +1.38 · ROI +138.3%
  • Crocobetunder 10.52.85+63.7%12.0%won +1.85
  • Liderbetunder 11.52.20+51.1%12.1%won +1.20
  • Betliveunder 11.52.10+44.2%12.1%won +1.10

Offsides · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → +1.40 · ROI +140.0%
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.65+33.1%11.8%won +1.65
  • Betliveunder 1.52.35+18.1%12.0%won +1.35
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.20+10.5%12.1%won +1.20

Saves · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.51.95+8.4%11.9%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Betliveover 8.52.05+47.9%13.3%won +1.05
  • Liderbetover 8.52.00+44.3%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetover 8.51.95+40.7%11.9%won +0.95

Shots on target · home team · over

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.0%
  • Betliveover 4.52.45+47.5%12.2%won +1.45
  • Crocobetover 4.52.30+38.4%12.4%won +1.30
  • Liderbetover 4.52.30+38.4%12.4%won +1.30
  • BetMGM UKover 4.51.90+14.4%11.1%won +0.90first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Superbetover 4.51.90+14.4%7.6%won +0.90
EspanyolvElcheLaLiga5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.13 units

Cards · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.95+14.8%11.9%won +0.95

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +106.7%
  • Betliveunder 12.52.10+17.5%12.1%won +1.10
  • Crocobetunder 12.52.10+17.5%12.1%won +1.10
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.00+11.9%12.5%won +1.00

Offsides · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Crocobetover 3.52.10+25.9%12.1%won +1.10
  • Liderbetover 3.52.00+19.9%12.5%won +1.00
  • Betliveover 3.51.90+13.9%11.5%won +0.90

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.11 avg → +1.11 · ROI +111.3%
  • Crocobetover 9.52.20+25.3%12.1%won +1.20
  • Betliveover 9.52.10+19.6%12.1%won +1.10
  • Liderbetover 9.52.10+19.6%14.3%won +1.10
  • Superbetover 9.52.05+16.8%7.9%won +1.05

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 5.52.30+15.7%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 5.52.15+8.2%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 5.52.15+8.2%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 5.52.07+4.1%8.2%lost −1.00
Bristol CityvWatfordChampionship1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.84 units

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → +0.84 · ROI +83.6%
  • Bet365over 8.51.91+7.8%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
  • Betliveover 8.51.80+1.6%14.4%won +0.80
  • Crocobetover 8.51.80+1.6%14.4%won +0.80
BrentfordvChelseaPremier League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.87 units

Shots on target · home team · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +87.0%
  • Superbetover 4.51.87−4.3%7.5%won +0.87
Central CórdobavDefensa y JusticiaLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.00+13.1%14.5%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 4.51.95+10.2%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.51.95+10.2%8.1%lost −1.00
  • Bet365under 4.51.91+7.9%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
  • Liderbetunder 4.51.90+7.4%13.2%lost −1.00

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.85−5.7%14.7%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.80−8.3%14.4%lost −1.00
New York City FCvNew York Red BullsMLS6 positions · 2 of 6 won · −1.98 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.88+25.4%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
  • Betliveunder 2.51.85+23.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.85+23.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.00+26.8%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00

Goal kicks · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +107.0%
  • Superbetunder 6.52.07+5.9%8.2%won +1.07first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.07

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 7.51.97+3.3%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.97

Offsides · home team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.95+26.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.95+26.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 9.51.95+4.8%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Crocobetover 9.51.90+2.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Racing ClubvSarmientoLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 2.52.20+18.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • Betliveunder 2.52.10+13.1%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Superbetunder 2.51.95+5.0%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Corners · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 5.51.90+6.6%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Liderbetunder 5.51.90+6.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.80+1.0%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 12.51.92+8.3%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92

Board record · all time

settled positions2,2889 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,154 / 1,134positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+68.04units, one a position
measured ROI+3.0%2,288 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r

How to read a card

  • A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
  • A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
  • Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
  • Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
  • EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
  • The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks

Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.

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