Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Fri, 25 Sept 2026 · 57 positions on 23 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions57all with a result
won / lost35 / 22positions won / lost
avg odds2.08mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+15.18units, one a position
ROI, the day+26.6%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 23 of 23 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
Australiav
BrazilInternational Friendly Games1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.92 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.92+7.2%8.6%won +0.92first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Tanzaniav
Guinea-BissauAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.33 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.3%- Superbetunder 1.52.15+19.1%9.8%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Betliveunder 1.51.85+2.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 1.51.80−0.3%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.92+14.4%9.2%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → +1.48 · ROI +148.3%- Betliveunder 3.52.55+32.3%12.2%won +1.55first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Crocobetunder 3.52.50+29.7%14.1%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Superbetunder 3.52.40+24.5%7.9%won +1.40first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
Nigerv
LesothoAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.07 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.70 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.80+57.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Liderbetunder 1.52.70+51.4%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Crocobetunder 1.52.60+45.8%13.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +106.7%- Betliveunder 4.52.10+32.2%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 4.52.10+32.2%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+25.9%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Rwandav
LiberiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.22 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.30+56.2%10.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.23 · ROI +122.5%- Betliveunder 1.52.25+35.8%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+32.8%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → +0.99 · ROI +99.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.07+20.3%7.8%won +1.07first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Betliveunder 4.51.95+13.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+13.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Togov
BurundiAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.07+30.0%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Betliveunder 1.52.05+28.7%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+25.6%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.51.90+25.2%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+21.9%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 0.51.91+14.7%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Armeniav
LatviaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.13 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.51.90+23.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.90+23.6%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+23.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Superbetunder 5.51.87+21.7%7.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.69 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Goal kicks · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Betliveunder 6.51.90+2.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 6.51.90+2.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 8.51.90+19.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 8.51.90+19.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.23 · ROI +123.3%- Crocobetover 2.52.30+33.4%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveover 2.52.25+30.5%12.0%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetover 2.52.15+24.7%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Gambiav
SomaliaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.86 units
Corners · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.86 avg → +1.86 · ROI +186.3%- Liderbetunder 5.53.10+81.6%12.9%won +2.10first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
- Betliveunder 5.53.05+78.7%11.5%won +2.05first captured 3.05 → last pre-kickoff 3.05
- Crocobetunder 5.52.80+64.0%13.8%won +1.80first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Superbetunder 5.52.50+46.4%8.0%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
Georgiav
Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.31 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.10+13.3%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 4.52.05+10.6%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+10.6%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 4.52.05+10.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+7.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Paddy Powerunder 4.52.00+7.9%8.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → +1.33 · ROI +132.5%- Betliveunder 7.52.35+32.8%12.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 7.52.30+29.9%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +98.3%- Betliveover 2.52.00+8.1%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 2.52.00+8.1%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 2.51.95+5.4%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Malawiv
South SudanAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.80 units
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- BetMGM UKover 0.51.80+9.0%11.4%won +0.80first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Girona FCvAlbacete BalompiéLaLiga 22 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.05 units
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Liderbetover 6.51.95+16.6%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 9.52.02+13.2%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetover 9.52.00+12.0%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 9.52.00+12.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveover 9.51.95+9.2%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Swedenv
RomaniaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.11 units
Cards · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.11 avg → +1.11 · ROI +111.0%- Liderbetunder 1.52.25+13.4%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 1.52.25+13.4%8.1%won +1.25first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiunder 1.52.10+5.8%9.7%won +1.10first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+0.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 1.51.95−1.7%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 11.52.20+25.8%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 11.52.07+18.3%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.00+47.5%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 6.51.95+43.9%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 6.51.90+40.2%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Betliveover 3.52.05+6.0%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetover 3.52.00+3.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 3.51.95+0.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.52.00+19.3%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Polandv
Bosnia & HerzegovinaUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.83 units
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 5.51.85−7.2%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85−7.2%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 5.51.85−7.2%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.45+35.9%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 12.52.25+24.8%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 12.52.25+24.8%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 13.51.97+27.4%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
Saves · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +97.5%- Crocobetunder 5.52.10+7.2%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 5.51.85−5.6%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Italyv
BelgiumUEFA Nations League4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +1.89 units
Corners · home team · under
7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.09 avg → +1.09 · ROI +109.1%- Paddy Powerunder 4.52.20+12.8%7.9%won +1.20first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Bet365under 4.52.10+7.7%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 4.52.10+7.7%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 4.52.10+7.7%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 4.52.10+7.7%6.8%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 4.52.04+4.6%9.6%won +1.04first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.04
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+2.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Superbetunder 11.51.95+17.3%8.1%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.52.45+25.6%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 6.52.25+15.3%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 7.52.07+35.4%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Liderbetunder 7.51.85+21.0%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveover 8.51.85−5.8%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Hungaryv
UkraineUEFA Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.00 units
Corners · home team · under
8 of 8 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.17+24.0%8.2%won +1.17first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Betliveunder 4.52.05+17.1%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+17.1%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Paddy Powerunder 4.52.05+17.1%8.8%won +1.05first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+14.3%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.51.91+9.1%9.8%won +0.91first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Bet365under 4.51.91+9.1%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- BetMGM UKunder 4.51.86+6.3%9.9%won +0.86first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+2.1%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Türkiyev
FranceUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.20 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.14 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 9.52.45+23.9%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 9.52.35+18.9%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 10.51.90+17.0%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Superbetunder 10.51.87+15.2%7.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Goal kicks · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Superbetunder 8.52.05+12.4%7.9%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Betliveunder 8.52.00+9.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 8.52.00+9.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 8.51.95+6.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetunder 6.51.80+1.2%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 6.51.85−1.0%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Egyptv
AngolaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −0.76 units
Cards · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → +1.24 · ROI +123.8%- Superbetunder 1.52.35+42.1%9.2%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Betliveunder 1.52.25+36.0%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+33.0%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 1.52.15+30.0%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Corners · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.91+25.7%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Kambiunder 5.51.91+25.7%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Superbetunder 5.51.90+25.0%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 0.52.38+29.9%7.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- BetMGM UKover 0.52.12+16.0%9.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.93 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
Moroccov
GabonAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.70 units
Cards · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → +0.84 · ROI +84.3%- Superbetunder 1.51.87+31.8%9.0%won +0.87first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Betliveunder 1.51.85+30.4%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 1.51.85+30.4%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 1.51.80+26.9%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Cards · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.16 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.25+20.1%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 1.52.20+17.4%10.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 1.52.10+12.1%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 1.52.10+12.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Corners · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → +0.86 · ROI +86.0%- BetMGM UKunder 7.51.86+15.9%9.0%won +0.86first captured 1.72 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
- Kambiunder 7.51.86+15.9%9.0%won +0.86first captured 1.72 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
Maliv
Cape VerdeAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.06 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.92−2.5%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Betliveunder 1.51.80−8.6%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +94.2%- Superbetunder 4.52.05+31.6%7.9%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 4.52.00+28.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 4.51.95+25.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+25.2%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- BetMGM UKunder 4.51.85+18.8%9.3%won +0.85first captured 1.98 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Kambiunder 4.51.85+18.8%9.3%won +0.85first captured 1.98 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Burkina Fasov
BeninAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.63 units
Cards · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → +1.65 · ROI +165.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.80+51.4%13.8%won +1.80first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Liderbetunder 1.52.65+43.3%12.4%won +1.65first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Crocobetunder 1.52.50+35.2%14.1%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.72 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 4.53.20+67.2%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 3.20 → last pre-kickoff 3.20
- Betliveunder 4.53.10+62.0%12.3%lost −1.00first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
- Superbetunder 4.52.57+34.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.57 → last pre-kickoff 2.57
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+37.4%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +97.5%- Bet365over 0.52.10+19.1%7.6%won +1.10first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- BetMGM UKover 0.51.85+4.9%11.5%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Bermudav
GuadeloupeCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.35 units
Corners · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → +1.35 · ROI +135.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.35+27.3%12.5%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Algeriav
ZambiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.34 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.52.42+27.6%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.42 → last pre-kickoff 2.42
- Betliveunder 5.52.35+23.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 5.52.35+23.9%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetunder 5.52.35+23.9%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Kambiunder 5.52.25+18.6%9.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Hondurasv
SurinameCONCACAF Nations League2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.10 units
Corners · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.10+18.8%12.1%won +1.10first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Bet365over 0.52.00+13.0%7.9%won +1.00first captured 1.67 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
El Salvadorv
MartiniqueCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.00+8.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Board record · all time
settled positions2,2889 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,154 / 1,134positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+68.04units, one a position
measured ROI+3.0%2,288 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.