Predictions

The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.

StatsGem Free PicksSG FreeStatsGem VIP PicksSG VIPBenchmarksBenchmarks

Tue, 15 Sept 2026 · 72 positions on 18 matches across 7 bookmakers

How this board differs from Telegram

This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.

That day

settled positions72all with a result
won / lost39 / 33positions won / lost
avg odds2.15mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+9.37units, one a position
ROI, the day+13.0%profit ÷ staked

One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.

Showing 18 of 18 matches

A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.

GenoavSüdtirolCoppa Italia2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.24 units

Fouls · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → +1.24 · ROI +123.8%
  • Betliveunder 13.52.55+49.1%11.7%won +1.55
  • Crocobetunder 13.52.30+34.5%12.4%won +1.30
  • Liderbetunder 13.52.20+28.7%12.1%won +1.20
  • Superbetunder 14.51.90+29.0%8.2%won +0.90

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 8.52.20+26.1%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 8.52.15+23.3%13.2%lost −1.00
Rayo VallecanovEspanyolLaLiga7 positions · 2 of 7 won · −3.15 units

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.5%
  • Liderbetunder 2.52.10+33.1%12.1%won +1.10
  • Superbetunder 2.52.02+28.0%7.6%won +1.02
  • Crocobetunder 2.52.00+26.8%12.5%won +1.00
  • Betliveunder 2.51.90+20.4%11.5%won +0.90

Corners · home team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.2%
  • Paddy Powerunder 5.51.91+2.9%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
  • Betliveunder 5.51.85−0.3%11.2%won +0.85
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.85−0.3%11.2%won +0.85
  • Liderbetunder 5.51.80−3.0%14.4%won +0.80

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 13.52.20+25.0%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 13.52.20+25.0%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 13.52.15+22.2%13.2%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.30+21.7%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 6.52.30+21.7%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 6.52.05+8.4%13.3%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 7.52.35+24.8%12.0%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 7.52.10+11.5%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 7.52.10+11.5%12.1%lost −1.00

Saves · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.52.10+12.0%12.1%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.11 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 9.52.20+12.6%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 9.52.17+11.1%8.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 9.52.15+10.1%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 9.52.10+7.5%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Bet365over 8.51.91+21.2%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Deportivo AlavésvValenciaLaLiga4 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.61 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 1.53.00+57.5%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.75+44.4%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 1.52.45+28.6%8.4%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.52.25+18.1%12.0%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.09 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 11.52.25+17.9%12.0%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 11.52.25+17.9%13.4%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 12.52.00+26.8%8.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 12.51.85+17.3%11.2%lost −1.00

Saves · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 5.51.90+6.5%11.5%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.09 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 8.52.22+17.2%8.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 8.52.10+10.9%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 8.52.05+8.3%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 8.52.00+5.6%12.5%lost −1.00
AFC AjaxvWillem II TilburgEredivisie3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.67 units

Fouls · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Betliveunder 10.52.05+8.3%13.3%won +1.05
  • Liderbetunder 10.51.95+3.1%13.8%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%
  • Betliveover 12.52.35+34.5%14.0%won +1.35
  • Superbetover 12.52.35+34.5%9.2%won +1.35
  • Liderbetover 12.52.20+25.9%14.4%won +1.20

Shots on target · home team · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.37 avg → +1.37 · ROI +137.3%
  • Superbetover 9.52.42+42.7%8.0%won +1.42
  • Betliveover 9.52.35+38.6%14.0%won +1.35
  • Liderbetover 9.52.35+38.6%14.0%won +1.35
Peterborough UnitedvBarnsleyEFL Cup4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.93 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.17+21.0%9.8%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.10+17.1%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.52.05+14.3%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+8.7%11.9%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.60 avg → +1.60 · ROI +160.0%
  • Crocobetunder 7.52.65+46.8%11.8%won +1.65
  • Betliveunder 7.52.55+41.3%11.7%won +1.55

Saves · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.51.95+17.9%11.9%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → +1.38 · ROI +138.3%
  • Crocobetover 9.52.45+24.2%12.2%won +1.45
  • Betliveover 9.52.35+19.2%12.0%won +1.35
  • Liderbetover 9.52.35+19.2%14.0%won +1.35
HibernianvKilmarnockScottish Premiership3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +2.81 units

Cards · home team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.8%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.05+9.1%13.3%won +1.05
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+3.8%13.8%won +0.95
  • Superbetunder 1.51.90+1.1%8.8%won +0.90
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.85−1.5%14.7%won +0.85

Fouls · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Betliveunder 12.52.05+51.5%13.3%won +1.05
  • Liderbetunder 12.51.95+44.1%13.8%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +87.3%
  • Superbetover 9.51.97−1.0%8.6%won +0.97
  • Betliveover 9.51.85−7.0%14.7%won +0.85
  • Liderbetover 9.51.80−9.5%14.4%won +0.80
MotherwellvAberdeenScottish Premiership3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.18 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 2.52.05+6.1%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.95+0.9%13.8%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.23 · ROI +122.5%
  • Betliveunder 13.52.50+51.1%14.1%won +1.50
  • Liderbetunder 14.51.95+36.9%13.8%won +0.95

Throw-ins · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Betliveover 39.51.95+2.8%13.8%won +0.95
Bristol CityvLincoln CityChampionship1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 5.51.85−6.4%11.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 5.51.80−9.0%14.4%lost −1.00
West Ham UnitedvFulhamEFL Cup7 positions · 2 of 7 won · −2.80 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365under 4.52.00+31.9%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Superbetunder 4.51.97+29.9%8.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 4.51.90+25.3%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.51.90+25.3%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.51.90+25.3%11.5%lost −1.00
  • BetMGM UKunder 4.51.88+24.0%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.78 → last pre-kickoff 1.88

Goal kicks · away team · under

2 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.28 avg → +1.28 · ROI +128.3%
  • Liderbetunder 6.52.15+43.3%13.2%won +1.15
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.10+40.0%12.1%won +1.10
  • Betliveunder 5.52.60+32.3%12.0%lost −1.00

Goals · away team · over

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.5%
  • BetMGM UKover 1.51.94+33.3%8.0%won +0.94first captured 1.89 → last pre-kickoff 1.94
  • Bet365over 1.51.91+31.1%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 3.52.20+14.9%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 3.52.15+12.3%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 3.52.15+12.3%13.2%lost −1.00

Saves · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.52.20+14.0%12.1%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

1 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 8.51.90+39.9%11.5%won +0.90
  • Crocobetover 10.53.50+83.7%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 10.53.35+75.8%12.5%lost −1.00

Throw-ins · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 35.52.00+6.1%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 35.51.95+3.4%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 35.51.95+3.4%11.9%lost −1.00
Falkirk FCvHeart of MidlothianScottish Premiership2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.17 units

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 11.52.05+12.5%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 11.51.85+1.5%14.7%lost −1.00

Offsides · home team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.5%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.25+18.0%13.4%won +1.25
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.10+10.1%14.3%won +1.10
MiddlesbroughvMillwallChampionship2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.39 units

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.0%
  • Superbetover 9.52.22+32.5%7.9%won +1.22
  • Liderbetover 9.52.10+25.4%14.3%won +1.10
  • Betliveover 9.51.95+16.4%13.8%won +0.95
  • Crocobetover 9.51.85+10.4%14.7%won +0.85

Shots on target · home team · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.36 avg → +1.36 · ROI +136.3%
  • Liderbetover 6.52.50+39.3%14.1%won +1.50
  • Superbetover 6.52.40+33.7%9.2%won +1.40
  • Betliveover 6.52.35+30.9%14.0%won +1.35
  • Crocobetover 6.52.20+22.6%14.4%won +1.20
LiverpoolvTottenham HotspurEFL Cup6 positions · 2 of 6 won · −1.47 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.30+32.4%10.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.20+26.7%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.52.15+23.8%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.15+23.8%13.2%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

1 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 11.52.15+37.5%13.2%won +1.15
  • Crocobetunder 10.52.75+45.4%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 10.52.30+21.6%12.4%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.42 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 7.52.45+25.7%12.2%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 7.52.45+25.7%12.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 7.52.35+20.6%14.0%lost −1.00

Goals · away team · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.59 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365over 1.52.63+36.2%7.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.63 → last pre-kickoff 2.63
  • BetMGM UKover 1.52.55+32.3%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.55

Saves · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.52.45+39.7%12.2%won +1.45

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +108.3%
  • Liderbetover 9.52.15+28.1%13.2%won +1.15
  • Betliveover 9.52.10+25.1%12.1%won +1.10
  • Crocobetover 9.52.00+19.2%12.5%won +1.00
FiorentinavPisaCoppa Italia4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.16 units

Fouls · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.5%
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.10+13.4%12.1%won +1.10
  • Betliveunder 12.52.05+10.7%13.3%won +1.05
  • Crocobetunder 12.52.00+8.0%12.5%won +1.00
  • Superbetunder 13.51.87+19.8%7.5%won +0.87

Goal kicks · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +97.5%
  • Liderbetunder 8.52.00+3.4%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 8.51.95+0.8%11.9%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 9.51.95+5.2%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 9.51.95+5.2%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 9.51.95+5.2%8.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 9.51.90+2.5%13.2%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +118.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.52.30+17.5%12.4%won +1.30
  • Betliveover 6.52.25+14.9%12.0%won +1.25
  • Superbetover 6.52.12+8.3%8.9%won +1.12
  • Liderbetover 6.52.05+4.7%11.3%won +1.05
ReadingvBrentfordEFL Cup5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.52 units

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 9.52.35+20.4%12.0%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 9.52.30+17.8%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 10.51.90+19.6%11.5%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.10+32.9%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 6.52.10+32.9%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 6.52.00+26.5%12.5%lost −1.00

Offsides · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%
  • Betliveover 3.51.90+8.5%11.5%won +0.90
  • Crocobetover 3.51.90+8.5%11.5%won +0.90
  • Liderbetover 3.51.90+8.5%11.5%won +0.90

Saves · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.52.10+16.1%12.1%won +1.10

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.52 avg → +1.52 · ROI +152.5%
  • Liderbetover 10.52.70+41.9%12.2%won +1.70
  • Betliveover 10.52.65+39.3%11.8%won +1.65
  • Crocobetover 10.52.65+39.3%11.8%won +1.65
  • Superbetover 9.52.10+33.3%8.6%won +1.10
Ipswich TownvArsenalEFL Cup3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +2.65 units

Offsides · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%
  • Betliveover 3.51.90+17.9%11.5%won +0.90
  • Crocobetover 3.51.90+17.9%11.5%won +0.90
  • Liderbetover 3.51.90+17.9%13.2%won +0.90

Shots on target · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • Crocobetover 8.51.85+12.0%11.2%won +0.85

Shots on target · home team · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%
  • Crocobetover 2.51.90+6.3%11.5%won +0.90
  • Liderbetover 2.51.90+6.3%11.5%won +0.90
  • Superbetover 2.51.90+6.3%8.2%won +0.90
ElchevReal MadridLaLiga6 positions · 1 of 6 won · −3.83 units

Fouls · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.5%
  • Crocobetunder 9.52.65+90.6%11.8%won +1.65
  • Betliveunder 10.52.05+67.4%13.3%won +1.05
  • Liderbetunder 10.52.00+63.3%12.5%won +1.00
  • Superbetunder 10.52.00+63.3%8.1%won +1.00

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 9.52.00+15.4%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 9.51.95+12.5%8.4%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 9.51.90+9.6%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 9.51.90+9.6%11.5%lost −1.00

Goals · away team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.63 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365over 3.52.63+36.8%7.3%lost −1.00first captured 3.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.63

Saves · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 7.52.45+40.7%12.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 7.52.30+32.0%12.4%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 12.53.30+88.5%12.3%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 12.53.30+88.5%10.9%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 12.53.10+77.0%12.9%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 10.52.00+53.2%12.5%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.69 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 4.53.60+108.5%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 4.53.40+96.9%10.7%lost −1.00
  • BetMGM UKover 3.52.35+75.7%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
  • Betliveover 3.52.30+72.0%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 3.52.30+72.0%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Bet365over 3.52.20+64.5%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Vasco da GamavIndependiente Santa FeCONMEBOL Sudamericana5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +2.80 units

Cards · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.85+14.2%9.0%won +0.85

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +118.3%
  • Superbetunder 11.52.35+39.4%12.0%won +1.35
  • Betliveunder 12.52.10+45.6%14.3%won +1.10
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.10+45.6%14.3%won +1.10

Goals · away team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • BetMGM UKover 0.51.89−4.2%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.89 → last pre-kickoff 1.89

Offsides · match total · over

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • Liderbetover 2.51.90−1.2%11.5%won +0.90
  • Betliveover 2.51.80−6.4%14.4%won +0.80

Throw-ins · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%
  • Superbetover 43.51.92−2.8%8.3%won +0.92
PlatensevFluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.07 units

Cards · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.90+7.4%9.1%won +0.90
  • Betliveunder 2.51.85+4.6%14.7%won +0.85

Corners · home team · under

0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.53 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 4.52.80+43.5%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.80+43.5%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.52.62+34.3%8.1%lost −1.00
  • Paddy Powerunder 4.52.50+28.1%9.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
  • Bet365under 5.51.91+29.7%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.91

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.16 avg → +1.16 · ROI +115.7%
  • Superbetunder 11.52.27+82.4%11.6%won +1.27
  • Betliveunder 11.52.10+68.8%14.3%won +1.10
  • Liderbetunder 11.52.10+68.8%14.3%won +1.10

Goal kicks · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%
  • Superbetunder 11.52.05+25.8%8.7%won +1.05

Throw-ins · match total · over

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +97.5%
  • Liderbetover 41.52.00+1.1%12.5%won +1.00
  • Betliveover 41.51.95−1.4%13.8%won +0.95

Board record · all time

settled positions2,2889 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,154 / 1,134positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+68.04units, one a position
measured ROI+3.0%2,288 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r

How to read a card

  • A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
  • A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
  • Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
  • Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
  • EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
  • The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks

Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.

Your account