Predictions

The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.

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Sat, 26 Sept 2026 · 96 positions on 32 matches across 8 bookmakers

How this board differs from Telegram

This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.

That day

settled positions96all with a result
won / lost41 / 55positions won / lost
avg odds2.02mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−12.74units, one a position
ROI, the day−13.3%profit ÷ staked

One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.

Showing 32 of 32 matches

A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.

AD CeutavReal Sociedad BLaLiga 24 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units

Cards · home team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 2.52.05+6.1%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
  • Crocobetunder 2.52.00+3.5%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Superbetunder 2.52.00+3.5%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.85−4.2%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 2.52.05+15.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
  • Superbetunder 2.52.02+14.1%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
  • Crocobetunder 2.52.00+13.0%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.85+4.5%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Corners · home team · under

0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.10+17.9%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+15.0%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
  • Bet365under 4.52.00+12.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.00+12.3%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Superbetunder 4.51.95+9.4%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Goals · away team · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365over 1.52.20+28.6%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.63 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • BetMGM UKover 1.52.17+26.9%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
South AfricaSouth AfricavGuineaGuineaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units

Cards · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.50+56.9%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.35+47.5%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
  • Superbetunder 1.52.30+44.3%10.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30

Corners · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • BetMGM UKunder 4.52.07+20.8%8.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
  • Betliveunder 4.51.90+10.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Crocobetunder 4.51.85+7.9%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
KenyaKenyavEritreaEritreaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.28 units

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.11 avg → +1.11 · ROI +111.3%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.25+55.2%10.2%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
  • Betliveunder 1.52.10+44.9%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.10+44.9%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+38.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00

Corners · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 5.52.00+56.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.95+52.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Goals · away team · over

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.0%
  • Bet365over 0.52.20+20.4%7.4%won +1.20first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • BetMGM UKover 0.52.14+17.1%11.3%won +1.14first captured 1.79 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
SloveniaSloveniavScotlandScotlandUEFA Nations League4 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.58 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Paddy Powerunder 3.52.70+41.6%8.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
  • Liderbetunder 3.52.60+36.3%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 3.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
  • Superbetunder 3.52.60+36.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.62 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
  • Betliveunder 3.52.55+33.7%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
  • Crocobetunder 3.52.45+28.5%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.45

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 7.51.85+3.5%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetunder 7.51.85+3.5%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Liderbetunder 7.51.80+0.8%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Saves · match total · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 5.52.30+27.7%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.85+2.7%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Throw-ins · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 36.51.85−7.4%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Liderbetover 36.51.80−9.9%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
GranadavFC AndorraLaLiga 24 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.35 units

Cards · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.80−5.0%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 14.51.95−0.4%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Betliveunder 14.51.85−5.5%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 7.52.45+35.2%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
  • Crocobetunder 7.52.35+29.7%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35

Offsides · match total · over

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • Betliveover 3.51.85+5.7%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetover 3.51.85+5.7%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
BulgariaBulgariavLuxembourgLuxembourgUEFA Nations League3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −0.94 units

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → +1.06 · ROI +106.3%
  • Superbetunder 2.52.25+13.1%9.0%won +1.25first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
  • Liderbetunder 2.52.10+5.5%12.1%won +1.10first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Betliveunder 2.51.95−2.0%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.95−2.0%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 15.51.90+2.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Liderbetunder 15.51.90+2.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.85+5.8%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.80+3.0%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Faroe IslandsFaroe IslandsvKazakhstanKazakhstanUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.33 units

Cards · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Betliveunder 2.52.00+12.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.90+7.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 2.51.90+16.4%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Betliveover 2.51.85+13.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetover 2.51.85+13.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Throw-ins · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → +1.38 · ROI +138.3%
  • Betliveover 44.52.65+42.8%11.8%won +1.65first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
  • Liderbetover 43.52.30+34.1%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
  • Crocobetover 43.52.20+28.2%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
IcelandIcelandvEstoniaEstoniaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −1.72 units

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 12.51.85−1.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetunder 12.51.85−1.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Liderbetunder 12.51.80−4.0%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 10.51.85+4.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetunder 10.51.85+4.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Liderbetunder 10.51.80+1.5%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Saves · match total · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.00+3.4%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00

Throw-ins · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.28 avg → +1.28 · ROI +128.3%
  • Liderbetover 38.52.35+29.3%11.5%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
  • Betliveover 36.52.30+48.6%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
  • Crocobetover 38.52.20+21.1%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
San MarinoSan MarinovFinlandFinlandUEFA Nations League2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.31 units

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → +1.48 · ROI +148.3%
  • Crocobetunder 11.52.95+90.1%12.0%won +1.95first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
  • Betliveunder 12.52.25+65.2%12.0%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.25+65.2%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25

Offsides · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%
  • Betliveover 2.51.85+20.9%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetover 2.51.85+20.9%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Liderbetover 2.51.80+17.7%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
CD TenerifevCádizLaLiga 21 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.31 units

Corners · home team · under

7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.31 avg → +1.31 · ROI +131.1%
  • Superbetunder 4.52.80+45.6%8.2%won +1.80first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.60+35.2%13.7%won +1.60first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
  • Betliveunder 4.52.50+30.0%11.9%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.50+30.0%13.0%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
  • Bet365under 5.52.00+37.7%7.9%won +1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • BetMGM UKunder 5.51.89+30.2%10.1%won +0.89first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.89
  • Kambiunder 5.51.89+30.2%10.1%won +0.89first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.89
Celta Vigo BvCE SabadellLaLiga 23 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.08 units

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.25+39.6%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.20+36.5%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 8.51.80−4.6%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
  • Crocobetover 8.51.80−4.6%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Throw-ins · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.7%
  • Betliveover 39.51.95+0.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Crocobetover 39.51.95+0.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Liderbetover 39.51.85−4.7%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
North MacedoniaNorth MacedoniavSwitzerlandSwitzerlandUEFA Nations League4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +1.90 units

Cards · home team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Kambiunder 2.51.83+7.1%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.83

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.10+6.6%12.1%won +1.10first captured 1.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Kambiunder 1.52.05+4.1%9.8%won +1.05first captured 2.23 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
  • Superbetunder 1.52.05+4.1%8.3%won +1.05first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.90−3.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90

Goal kicks · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +98.3%
  • Crocobetunder 5.52.10+19.7%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Betliveunder 5.52.05+16.9%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
  • Liderbetunder 5.51.80+2.6%12.7%won +0.80first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Offsides · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.51.90+13.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Czech RepublicCzechiavCroatiaCroatiaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.11 units

Corners · home team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +88.5%
  • Superbetunder 4.51.92+31.2%7.0%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
  • Crocobetunder 4.51.85+26.4%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.15+20.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.15+20.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.10+17.8%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10

Saves · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 5.51.95+4.5%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Kambiover 8.52.14+8.3%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.81 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
  • Bet365over 8.52.10+6.2%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Superbetover 8.52.10+6.2%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Betliveover 8.52.00+1.2%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Liderbetover 8.52.00+1.2%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Crocobetover 8.51.95−1.4%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
AlbaniaAlbaniavBelarusBelarusUEFA Nations League3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Corners · home team · under

1 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.51 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365under 5.52.00+46.6%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.80+61.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 3.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
  • Betliveunder 4.52.70+55.4%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
  • Superbetunder 4.52.70+55.4%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
  • BetMGM UKunder 4.52.45+41.0%10.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.45+41.0%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
  • Kambiunder 4.52.45+41.0%10.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.45

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 7.52.45+38.3%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
  • Crocobetunder 7.52.30+29.8%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
  • Liderbetunder 8.51.80+24.8%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Goals · away team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • BetMGM UKover 0.51.84+27.4%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.93 → last pre-kickoff 1.84
EnglandEnglandvSpainSpainUEFA Nations League3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.00 units

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.28 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 10.52.75+45.4%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
  • Liderbetunder 11.52.35+48.5%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.67 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
  • Betliveunder 11.52.05+29.6%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
  • Superbetunder 11.51.97+24.5%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.97

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 6.52.10+28.8%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10

Offsides · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.00+1.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.00+1.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+1.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
SlovakiaSlovakiavMoldovaMoldovaUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.00 units

Goal kicks · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Betliveunder 5.52.00+23.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00

Saves · match total · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.00+20.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00

Throw-ins · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 38.52.65+53.6%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
  • Liderbetover 37.52.35+47.4%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
  • Crocobetover 37.52.20+38.0%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
CanadaCanadavChileChileInternational Friendly Games3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Cards · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.51.87+12.3%7.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.71 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
  • Kambiunder 1.51.84+10.5%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.84

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 12.52.45+46.4%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
  • Crocobetunder 13.51.85+26.7%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 5.51.85−3.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.80−6.0%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Charlotte FCvChicago FireMLS5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +0.92 units

Cards · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.95+36.4%7.8%won +0.95first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 11.51.80+3.3%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Goal kicks · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • Superbetunder 7.51.85−0.5%9.0%won +0.85first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Goals · away team · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365over 1.52.00+11.5%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • BetMGM UKover 1.51.98+10.4%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.98

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.0%
  • Superbetover 10.52.27+25.7%9.0%won +1.27first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
  • Crocobetover 10.52.20+21.8%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • Liderbetover 10.52.10+16.3%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Kambiover 10.51.91+5.8%11.2%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
CF MontréalvFC CincinnatiMLS2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.68 units

Fouls · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%
  • Superbetunder 11.51.90+26.2%8.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Liderbetunder 10.51.85+2.3%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Saves · match total · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%
  • Liderbetunder 6.51.80−4.4%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Philadelphia UnionvOrlando City SCMLS3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.40 units

Offsides · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%
  • Crocobetover 4.52.20+26.3%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 11.52.20+16.8%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • Superbetover 11.52.20+16.8%8.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • Kambiover 11.52.15+14.1%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
  • Liderbetover 11.52.05+8.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05

Shots on target · home team · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%
  • Superbetover 7.52.27+20.9%9.4%won +1.27first captured 2.27 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
  • Kambiover 7.52.23+18.8%10.6%won +1.23first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.23
  • Crocobetover 7.52.20+17.2%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • Liderbetover 7.52.10+11.8%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Atlanta UnitedvNew York City FCMLS1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.92 units

Shots on target · home team · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%
  • Superbetover 4.51.92+1.0%8.3%won +0.92first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Seattle Sounders FCvMinnesota UnitedMLS4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.25 units

Corners · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.3%
  • Paddy Powerunder 5.51.91−3.4%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
  • Kambiunder 5.51.85−6.4%9.3%won +0.85first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.80−8.9%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 2.51.85+11.9%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetover 2.51.80+8.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Shots on target · match total · over

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%
  • Superbetover 9.51.95+0.3%8.4%won +0.95first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Crocobetover 9.51.85−4.8%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Throw-ins · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 31.51.88+11.9%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Houston DynamovSporting Kansas CityMLS5 positions · 1 of 5 won · −2.90 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 5.51.87−2.5%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
  • Betliveunder 5.51.80−6.2%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Fouls · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.10+29.2%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 8.52.02+37.5%9.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.02

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 2.52.00+19.0%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Liderbetover 2.51.85+10.1%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Kambiover 9.52.35+25.0%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
  • Superbetover 9.52.12+12.8%8.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
  • Crocobetover 9.52.10+11.7%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Liderbetover 9.51.85−1.6%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Austin FCvSan Diego FCMLS3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −0.81 units

Fouls · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → +1.19 · ROI +118.5%
  • Liderbetunder 10.52.35+21.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
  • Superbetunder 11.52.02+26.9%8.0%won +1.02first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 6.52.10+13.9%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 3.52.00+3.0%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Liderbetover 3.51.80−7.3%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
FC DallasvLos Angeles FCMLS3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 6.52.02+5.1%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.02

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 8.51.88+7.6%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.72 → last pre-kickoff 1.88

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 4.51.90+3.4%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Nashville SCvToronto FCMLS4 positions · 4 of 4 won · +4.27 units

Goal kicks · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%
  • Superbetunder 8.51.88+7.2%8.1%won +0.88first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.88

Saves · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%
  • Liderbetover 6.52.25+26.7%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +91.3%
  • Superbetover 9.52.10+27.8%9.0%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Crocobetover 9.51.85+12.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Kambiover 9.51.85+12.6%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Liderbetover 9.51.85+12.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Shots on target · home team · over

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.23 · ROI +122.6%
  • Superbetover 6.52.37+24.2%8.0%won +1.37first captured 2.32 → last pre-kickoff 2.37
  • BetMGM UKover 6.52.23+16.9%11.5%won +1.23first captured 1.81 → last pre-kickoff 2.23
  • Kambiover 6.52.23+16.9%11.5%won +1.23first captured 2.23 → last pre-kickoff 2.23
  • Crocobetover 6.52.20+15.3%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • Liderbetover 6.52.10+10.1%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
MexicoMexicovColombiaColombiaInternational Friendly Games1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.95 units

Goal kicks · home team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Betliveunder 6.51.95+1.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Crocobetunder 6.51.95+1.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Real Salt LakevNew England RevolutionMLS3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.94 units

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 6.52.02+6.1%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.02

Goal kicks · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Superbetunder 7.52.00+12.5%9.2%won +1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.00

Shots on target · match total · over

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.5%
  • Crocobetover 9.51.95+10.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Superbetover 9.51.92+9.1%8.6%won +0.92first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Sint MaartenSint MaartenvBelizeBelizeCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units

Goals · away team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365over 1.51.91+14.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
LA GalaxyvColorado RapidsMLS3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.00 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.90+14.6%9.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.72 → last pre-kickoff 1.90

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 13.51.80+3.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Superbetover 9.52.22+16.2%9.1%won +1.22first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.22
  • Kambiover 9.52.08+8.9%11.4%won +1.08first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
  • Crocobetover 9.51.85−3.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Liderbetover 9.51.85−3.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Vancouver WhitecapsvDC UnitedMLS2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.20 units

Fouls · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → +1.35 · ROI +135.0%
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.35+24.4%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35

Saves · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • Liderbetover 6.51.85−5.8%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
San Jose EarthquakesvPortland TimbersMLS3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Fouls · away team · under

1 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 11.51.88+25.7%8.1%won +0.88first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
  • Liderbetunder 10.52.20+22.7%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 6.52.05+17.9%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.05

Goals · away team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365over 1.52.00+11.8%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00

Board record · all time

settled positions2,2889 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,154 / 1,134positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+68.04units, one a position
measured ROI+3.0%2,288 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r

How to read a card

  • A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
  • A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
  • Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
  • Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
  • EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
  • The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks

Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.

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