Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
StatsGem VIP Picks is the measured record
The calendar, historical returns and completed rule reads are visible. Upcoming match details and bookmaker prices are part of a subscription.
Sign in or choose a planSat, 10 Oct 2026 · 61 positions on 34 matches across 7 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem VIP Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions853 awaiting a result
won / lost3 / 5positions won / lost
avg odds2.20mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−1.31units, one a position
ROI, the day−16.3%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 57 of 57 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
GençlerbirliğivAmed Sportif FaaliyetlerTrendyol Süper Lig2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.65 units
Shots · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → +1.65 · ROI +165.0%- Superbetover 27.52.65+42.9%10.2%won +1.65first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 12.52.15+11.3%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
ArsenalvLeeds UnitedPremier League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 26.51.95+6.3%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveover 26.51.85+0.8%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Swansea CityvNorwich CityChampionship2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 27.52.32+30.8%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.32
Shots · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 14.52.30+22.0%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
West Bromwich AlbionvBirmingham CityChampionship2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.04 units
Shots · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.5%- Superbetover 24.52.20+29.7%8.3%won +1.20first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetover 24.52.05+20.8%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Shots · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetover 12.51.92+3.3%8.3%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Charlton AthleticvBristol CityChampionship1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Shots · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 27.52.55+27.8%9.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.87 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Liderbetover 25.51.90+20.4%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Rayo VallecanovAthletic ClubLaLiga2 positions · awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Crocobetunder 6.52.30+34.9%12.4%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 6.52.28+33.7%9.7%awaiting result
- Betliveunder 6.52.25+32.0%12.0%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 7.51.95+41.8%8.4%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Crocobetover 26.51.85+0.8%11.2%awaiting result
GenoavFiorentinaSerie A3 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Crocobetunder 24.52.20+72.0%12.1%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 24.52.20+72.0%12.1%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 24.52.10+64.2%7.9%awaiting result
- Betliveunder 24.52.05+60.3%13.3%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Betliveover 29.52.95+69.2%12.0%awaiting result
- Kambiover 30.52.95+50.9%11.4%awaiting result
- Liderbetover 27.52.40+66.4%13.1%awaiting result
- Crocobetover 27.52.30+59.5%12.4%awaiting result
Throw-ins · home team · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 19.51.95+9.8%11.9%awaiting result
BeneventovCesenaSerie B1 position · awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 16.52.20+19.2%7.9%awaiting result
1. FSV Mainz 05vBayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga2 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Betliveunder 21.52.50+43.0%11.9%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 21.51.87+7.0%7.5%awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Betliveunder 7.52.15+27.2%13.2%awaiting result
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+24.3%12.1%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 7.52.05+21.3%13.3%awaiting result
FC AugsburgvFC Bayern MünchenBundesliga2 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 16.52.27+21.0%8.2%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 16.52.20+17.3%12.1%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Kambiover 32.52.20+15.6%11.2%awaiting result
SC Paderborn 07vVfB StuttgartBundesliga2 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 20.52.12+8.2%7.8%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 12.52.40+31.7%13.1%awaiting result
- Betliveover 12.52.30+26.2%12.4%awaiting result
- Superbetover 12.52.07+13.6%7.8%awaiting result
- Bet365over 12.51.91+4.8%7.9%awaiting result
Al-HazemvNeom SCSaudi Pro League1 position · awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 10.51.87+8.1%7.8%awaiting result
SunderlandvBrighton & Hove AlbionPremier League1 position · awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Betliveunder 7.52.40+53.5%12.1%awaiting result
ChelseavBournemouthPremier League1 position · awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Liderbetunder 8.51.95+6.4%13.8%awaiting result
Ipswich TownvFulhamPremier League2 positions · awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 7.52.00+15.9%8.5%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Kambiover 27.51.92+0.7%10.9%awaiting result
Heart of MidlothianvSt. MirrenScottish Premiership2 positions · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 30.53.55+97.9%10.8%awaiting result
- Betliveover 27.52.10+53.0%14.3%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 19.52.95+54.0%8.0%awaiting result
- Betliveover 18.52.50+50.4%14.1%awaiting result
RangersvKilmarnockScottish Premiership2 positions · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 32.53.40+81.8%11.4%awaiting result
- Betliveover 29.51.95+37.1%13.8%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 24.53.05+80.6%8.0%awaiting result
- Betliveover 22.52.10+51.4%14.3%awaiting result
Derby CountyvWrexhamChampionship1 position · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 24.51.90+16.1%11.5%awaiting result
Sheffield UnitedvLincoln CityChampionship1 position · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 26.52.05+6.7%11.3%awaiting result
WatfordvBurnleyChampionship2 positions · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 27.52.05+25.1%11.3%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 13.52.20+38.5%12.1%awaiting result
Preston North EndvMillwallChampionship1 position · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 27.51.90+24.9%11.5%awaiting result
MiddlesbroughvWolverhamptonChampionship2 positions · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 28.52.05+30.4%11.3%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 15.52.02+10.9%8.0%awaiting result
- Liderbetover 14.51.90+21.6%11.5%awaiting result
Blackburn RoversvCardiff CityChampionship1 position · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 28.52.05+25.8%11.3%awaiting result
Deportivo AlavésvAtlético MadridLaLiga3 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Liderbetunder 24.52.10+9.0%12.1%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 25.52.05+21.8%8.7%awaiting result
- Betliveunder 25.51.85+9.9%11.2%awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Liderbetunder 6.52.30+16.7%12.4%awaiting result
- Betliveunder 6.52.15+9.1%13.2%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 6.52.12+7.6%8.9%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 11.52.05+20.8%13.3%awaiting result
FC BotoșanivUTA AradRomanian Super Liga2 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 23.52.02+16.6%8.3%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 16.52.30+46.7%8.0%awaiting result
AD CeutavCE SabadellLaLiga 21 position · awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 12.52.42+28.2%8.0%awaiting result
Casa PiavSanta ClaraLiga Portugal Betclic2 positions · awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Betliveover 24.52.60+45.8%13.7%awaiting result
- Liderbetover 24.52.35+31.7%11.5%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Betliveover 10.52.10+29.9%14.3%awaiting result
- Liderbetover 10.52.05+26.8%13.3%awaiting result
- Superbetover 10.52.02+24.9%8.3%awaiting result
IntervParmaSerie A3 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Crocobetunder 20.52.20+80.5%12.1%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 20.52.20+80.5%12.1%awaiting result
- Betliveunder 20.52.15+76.4%13.2%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 20.52.05+68.2%7.9%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 33.53.15+83.5%8.1%awaiting result
- Kambiover 33.52.70+50.6%11.4%awaiting result
- Betliveover 30.52.20+56.7%12.1%awaiting result
- Crocobetover 30.52.20+56.8%12.1%awaiting result
- Liderbetover 30.52.20+56.8%12.1%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 24.52.85+97.4%10.2%awaiting result
- Crocobetover 22.52.45+88.5%12.2%awaiting result
- Betliveover 22.52.30+76.3%12.4%awaiting result
- Kambiover 22.52.06+57.9%11.8%awaiting result
Çaykur RizesporvFenerbahçeTrendyol Süper Lig3 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 25.51.82+0.7%8.1%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 30.52.25+21.1%13.4%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 13.52.10+31.7%14.3%awaiting result
BarcelonavGetafeLaLiga4 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Liderbetunder 20.53.05+76.7%12.8%awaiting result
- Superbetunder 22.52.30+68.4%8.0%awaiting result
- Betliveunder 22.52.20+61.1%12.1%awaiting result
- Crocobetunder 22.52.20+61.1%12.1%awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 11.52.02+29.9%8.0%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Kambiover 29.52.18+57.7%11.2%awaiting result
- Liderbetover 29.52.15+55.5%13.2%awaiting result
- Crocobetover 29.52.10+51.9%12.1%awaiting result
- Betliveover 29.52.05+48.3%13.3%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 24.52.90+56.7%10.2%awaiting result
- Betliveover 23.52.65+62.2%11.8%awaiting result
- BetMGM UKover 21.52.28+69.9%11.0%awaiting result
- Kambiover 21.52.23+66.2%11.5%awaiting result
- Crocobetover 21.52.00+49.0%12.5%awaiting result
- Liderbetover 21.52.00+49.0%12.5%awaiting result
RB LeipzigvEintracht FrankfurtBundesliga1 position · awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Betliveunder 8.52.20+19.8%12.1%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 8.52.15+17.1%13.2%awaiting result
Manchester UnitedvTottenham HotspurPremier League1 position · awaiting result
Goal kicks · away team · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 8.52.10+21.6%8.6%awaiting result
- Betliveunder 8.51.85+7.1%11.2%awaiting result
- Liderbetunder 8.51.80+4.2%12.7%awaiting result
FeyenoordvAZ AlkmaarEredivisie3 positions · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 21.51.87+15.0%8.1%awaiting result
Shots · match total · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 32.53.50+81.5%8.4%awaiting result
- Kambiover 31.52.85+65.1%10.9%awaiting result
- Betliveover 29.52.25+56.6%13.4%awaiting result
Shots · home team · over
awaiting result- Superbetover 19.53.00+65.8%8.0%awaiting result
- Betliveover 18.52.70+65.3%14.0%awaiting result
- Kambiover 17.52.10+21.3%11.7%awaiting result
MarítimovFC PortoLiga Portugal Betclic1 position · awaiting result
Fouls · match total · under
awaiting result- Superbetunder 27.51.92+41.6%8.3%awaiting result
Al-HilalvAl-IttihadSaudi Pro League1 position · 1 bookUnlock
Fortuna SittardvFC TwenteEredivisie2 positions · 4 booksUnlock
FCSBvSC Oțelul GalațiRomanian Super Liga2 positions · 1 bookUnlock
LorientvParis FCLigue 12 positions · 7 booksUnlock
AS MonacovToulouseLigue 13 positions · 7 booksUnlock
Paris Saint-GermainvLe MansLigue 12 positions · 6 booksUnlock
NapolivFrosinoneSerie A2 positions · 7 booksUnlock
Stade BrestoisvAngersLigue 13 positions · 7 booksUnlock
Celta Vigo BvReal Sociedad BLaLiga 21 position · 1 bookUnlock
AFC AjaxvNEC NijmegenEredivisie3 positions · 4 booksUnlock
Real MadridvVillarrealLaLiga2 positions · 7 booksUnlock
Vasco da GamavRemoBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 4 booksUnlock
TigrevBanfieldLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 3 booksUnlock
Orlando City SCvColumbus CrewMLS1 position · 1 bookUnlock
Charlotte FCvFC DallasMLS1 position · 1 bookUnlock
Philadelphia UnionvReal Salt LakeMLS1 position · 1 bookUnlock
Inter Miami CFvDC UnitedMLS3 positions · 4 booksUnlock
São PaulovVitóriaBrasileirão Série A1 position · 4 booksUnlock
River PlatevEstudiantes de Río CuartoLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 3 booksUnlock
Austin FCvNashville SCMLS1 position · 1 bookUnlock
Sporting Kansas CityvPortland TimbersMLS1 position · 1 bookUnlock
Minnesota UnitedvHouston DynamoMLS1 position · 1 bookUnlock
Los Angeles FCvVancouver WhitecapsMLS1 position · 1 bookUnlock
Board record · all time
settled positions9869 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost532 / 454positions won / lost
avg odds2.14mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+128.21units, one a position
measured ROI+13.0%986 settled positions in the board record — under the 1,000 the plan's ROI wants
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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