Predictions

The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.

StatsGem Free PicksSG FreeStatsGem VIP PicksSG VIPBenchmarksBenchmarks

Wed, 16 Sept 2026 · 72 positions on 19 matches across 7 bookmakers

How this board differs from Telegram

This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.

That day

settled positions72all with a result
won / lost32 / 40positions won / lost
avg odds2.15mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−4.71units, one a position
ROI, the day−6.5%profit ÷ staked

One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.

Showing 19 of 19 matches

A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.

Omonia NicosiavCelta VigoUEFA Europa League3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.17 units

Offsides · home team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.83 · ROI +82.5%
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.85+9.8%11.2%won +0.85
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.80+6.8%12.7%won +0.80

Saves · match total · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.95+28.7%11.9%lost −1.00

Throw-ins · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 34.52.15+8.1%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 34.52.10+5.6%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 34.51.95−1.9%11.9%lost −1.00
FC Ararat-ArmeniavAC Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.45 units

Saves · match total · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%
  • Crocobetunder 5.52.45+49.8%12.2%won +1.45
Deportivo La CoruñavSevillaLaLiga5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.31 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.52.00+21.0%6.8%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.90+14.9%11.5%lost −1.00

Corners · home team · under

6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +89.6%
  • Superbetunder 4.51.97+1.0%6.9%won +0.97
  • Paddy Powerunder 4.51.95−0.1%8.4%won +0.95first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Bet365under 4.51.91−2.1%7.9%won +0.91first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
  • Betliveunder 4.51.85−5.2%12.9%won +0.85
  • Crocobetunder 4.51.85−5.2%11.2%won +0.85
  • Liderbetunder 4.51.85−5.2%12.9%won +0.85

Goal kicks · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.30+17.2%12.4%won +1.30
  • Betliveunder 6.52.25+14.6%12.0%won +1.25
  • Liderbetunder 6.52.20+12.1%12.1%won +1.20

Saves · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Crocobetover 5.52.00+14.2%12.5%won +1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → +1.16 · ROI +115.5%
  • Superbetover 8.52.32+21.2%8.0%won +1.32
  • Betliveover 8.52.10+9.7%12.1%won +1.10
  • Crocobetover 8.52.10+9.7%12.1%won +1.10
  • Liderbetover 8.52.10+9.7%14.3%won +1.10
Atlético MadridvOsasunaLaLiga4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.09 units

Fouls · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%
  • Superbetunder 12.51.92+0.3%8.3%won +0.92

Goal kicks · away team · under

1 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 9.51.95+28.3%8.1%won +0.95
  • Betliveunder 8.51.95+3.0%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 8.51.90+0.4%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 8.51.85−2.2%12.9%lost −1.00

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 3.52.15+15.9%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 3.52.10+13.3%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 3.52.00+7.8%12.5%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +116.8%
  • Superbetover 9.52.22+13.9%8.3%won +1.22
  • Crocobetover 9.52.20+12.8%12.1%won +1.20
  • Betliveover 9.52.15+10.3%13.2%won +1.15
  • Liderbetover 9.52.10+7.7%14.3%won +1.10
EvertonvWolverhamptonEFL Cup5 positions · 0 of 5 won · −5.00 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.02+9.1%9.4%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.52.00+8.1%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+5.4%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.80−2.8%12.7%lost −1.00

Corners · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 5.51.97+26.8%8.2%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.90+22.3%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 5.51.90+22.3%10.4%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 7.52.25+28.4%12.0%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 7.52.20+25.6%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 7.52.15+22.7%13.2%lost −1.00

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.43 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 3.52.70+42.7%11.7%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 3.52.30+21.6%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 3.52.30+21.6%12.4%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 9.52.00+5.7%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 9.52.00+5.7%8.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 9.51.95+3.0%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 9.51.95+3.0%10.1%lost −1.00
Fleetwood TownvSheffield UnitedEFL Cup1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 9.52.20+12.9%12.1%lost −1.00
Manchester UnitedvBrighton & Hove AlbionEFL Cup8 positions · 2 of 8 won · −3.57 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.31 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.37+31.8%10.7%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.52.35+30.6%12.0%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.30+27.9%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.20+22.3%12.1%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 11.51.83−0.4%12.1%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 6.52.05+4.4%9.4%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 6.51.90−3.3%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 6.51.90−3.3%11.5%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.3%
  • Betliveunder 9.52.00+64.7%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 9.51.90+56.5%11.5%won +0.90
  • Liderbetunder 9.51.90+56.5%11.5%won +0.90

Goals · away team · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.50 avg → +1.50 · ROI +150.0%
  • Bet365over 1.52.50+30.8%6.7%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 3.52.10+32.8%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 3.52.10+32.8%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 3.52.10+32.8%12.1%lost −1.00

Saves · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.51.90+6.9%11.5%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 10.52.25+33.7%12.0%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 10.52.25+33.7%13.4%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 10.52.22+31.9%9.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 10.52.20+30.7%12.1%lost −1.00
Olympiacos FCvJagiellonia BiałystokUEFA Europa League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.15 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.95+12.4%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 2.51.90+9.6%7.3%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%
  • Superbetunder 12.51.90+33.3%7.6%won +0.90

Saves · match total · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 5.52.85+79.2%12.0%lost −1.00

Throw-ins · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Superbetover 38.51.95+2.3%8.1%won +0.95
Coventry CityvAston VillaEFL Cup6 positions · 2 of 6 won · −2.12 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.17+13.0%9.8%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.52.10+9.3%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.00+4.1%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+4.1%12.5%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 10.52.15+13.0%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 10.52.10+10.4%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 10.52.10+10.4%12.1%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.20+12.2%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 6.52.15+9.6%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 6.52.10+7.1%12.1%lost −1.00

Offsides · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%
  • Liderbetunder 2.52.15+39.4%13.2%won +1.15
  • Betliveunder 2.52.00+29.6%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.95+26.4%11.9%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • Crocobetover 8.51.90+8.2%11.5%won +0.90
  • Betliveover 8.51.85+5.3%11.2%won +0.85
  • Liderbetover 8.51.80+2.5%12.7%won +0.80

Throw-ins · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 35.52.70+54.0%12.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 34.52.30+42.2%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 34.52.20+36.0%12.1%lost −1.00
SK Sturm GrazvStade RennaisUEFA Europa League3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −0.67 units

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → +1.33 · ROI +132.5%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.50+31.9%8.0%won +1.50
  • Betliveunder 1.52.30+21.3%12.4%won +1.30
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.30+21.3%12.4%won +1.30
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.20+16.0%12.1%won +1.20

Goal kicks · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.47 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 7.52.55+32.3%12.2%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 7.52.45+27.1%12.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 7.52.40+24.5%13.1%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 9.52.00+2.8%8.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 9.51.95+0.3%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 9.51.95+0.3%11.9%lost −1.00
RSC AnderlechtvOlympique LyonnaisUEFA Europa League3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −0.92 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.70 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 3.52.80+40.2%12.6%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 3.52.75+37.7%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 3.52.65+32.7%11.8%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 3.52.60+30.2%6.9%lost −1.00

Goal kicks · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +107.5%
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.10+24.9%12.1%won +1.10
  • Liderbetunder 6.52.10+24.9%12.1%won +1.10
  • Superbetunder 6.52.10+24.9%9.0%won +1.10
  • Betliveunder 6.52.00+19.0%12.5%won +1.00

Saves · match total · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 5.52.10+49.4%12.1%lost −1.00
Bayer 04 LeverkusenvNK CeljeUEFA Europa League5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +0.92 units

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.13 · ROI +113.3%
  • Crocobetunder 10.52.20+32.4%12.1%won +1.20
  • Betliveunder 10.52.15+29.4%13.2%won +1.15
  • Liderbetunder 10.52.05+23.4%11.3%won +1.05

Goal kicks · home team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%
  • Crocobetunder 3.51.95+2.1%11.9%won +0.95
  • Liderbetunder 3.51.80−5.7%12.7%won +0.80

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.85+30.9%11.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.85+30.9%12.9%lost −1.00

Saves · match total · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 6.52.65+82.3%11.8%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +90.5%
  • Superbetover 7.51.97+6.2%8.6%won +0.97
  • Betliveover 7.51.90+2.4%11.5%won +0.90
  • Crocobetover 7.51.90+2.4%11.5%won +0.90
  • Liderbetover 7.51.85−0.3%12.9%won +0.85
MilanvBenficaUEFA Europa League4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.20 units

Goal kicks · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%
  • Liderbetunder 7.51.80+7.8%12.7%won +0.80

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 7.52.30+48.2%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 7.52.20+41.7%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 7.52.20+41.7%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 8.51.92+46.8%8.3%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 9.52.30+28.8%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 9.52.30+28.8%9.3%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 9.52.20+23.2%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 9.52.15+20.4%13.2%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 4.52.00+2.5%8.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 4.51.80−7.7%12.7%lost −1.00
Hapoel Be'er ShevavGNK Dinamo ZagrebUEFA Europa League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.37 units

Goal kicks · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +96.7%
  • Betliveunder 8.52.00+23.6%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 8.51.95+20.5%11.9%won +0.95
  • Liderbetunder 8.51.95+20.5%13.8%won +0.95

Offsides · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → +1.40 · ROI +140.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.45+31.4%12.2%won +1.45
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.45+31.4%12.2%won +1.45
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.30+23.4%12.4%won +1.30

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 9.52.40+31.4%9.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 9.52.30+25.9%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 9.52.30+25.9%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 9.52.20+20.5%12.1%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 3.52.65+76.6%11.8%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 3.52.45+63.3%12.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 3.52.10+40.0%12.1%lost −1.00
SunderlandvAZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units

Saves · match total · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 5.52.00+30.4%12.5%lost −1.00
BarcelonavRacing de SantanderLaLiga4 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 10.52.30+24.9%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 10.52.15+16.8%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 11.52.10+38.1%12.1%lost −1.00

Saves · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 8.52.20+60.5%12.1%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 3.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 15.55.45+226.2%7.6%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 12.52.20+84.0%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 12.52.20+84.0%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 12.52.15+79.9%13.2%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.84 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 11.53.90+174.7%11.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 10.52.50+98.0%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 10.52.50+98.0%13.0%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 10.52.45+94.0%12.2%lost −1.00
LDUvPalmeirasCONMEBOL Libertadores3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.60 units

Cards · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.52.30+37.7%10.6%won +1.30

Cards · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.52.30+36.4%10.1%won +1.30

Corners · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 5.51.90+24.9%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 5.51.90+24.9%13.2%lost −1.00
Atlético MineirovSantosCONMEBOL Sudamericana5 positions · 5 of 5 won · +6.61 units

Cards · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.92+35.6%8.9%won +0.92

Cards · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.55 avg → +1.55 · ROI +155.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.52.55+69.3%10.6%won +1.55

Corners · home team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.82 avg → +1.82 · ROI +182.0%
  • Superbetunder 4.54.60+134.2%7.9%won +3.60
  • Betliveunder 6.52.25+81.2%12.0%won +1.25
  • Liderbetunder 6.52.25+81.2%13.4%won +1.25
  • BetMGM UKunder 6.52.18+75.5%7.6%won +1.18first captured 2.18 → last pre-kickoff 2.18

Fouls · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → +1.27 · ROI +127.0%
  • Superbetunder 11.52.27+61.1%11.6%won +1.27

Goal kicks · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%
  • Superbetunder 11.52.05+59.5%8.3%won +1.05
BotafogovGrêmioBrasileirão Série A3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +2.78 units

Cards · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +106.7%
  • Superbetunder 2.52.15+37.5%9.8%won +1.15
  • Betliveunder 2.52.10+34.3%14.3%won +1.10
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.95+24.7%13.8%won +0.95

Fouls · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.0%
  • Superbetunder 12.51.83+10.7%10.2%won +0.83

Shots on target · match total · over

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%
  • Superbetover 9.51.90+4.0%7.6%won +0.90
  • Crocobetover 9.51.85+1.3%14.7%won +0.85

Board record · all time

settled positions2,2889 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,154 / 1,134positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+68.04units, one a position
measured ROI+3.0%2,288 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r

How to read a card

  • A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
  • A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
  • Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
  • Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
  • EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
  • The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks

Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.

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