Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sun, 27 Sept 2026 · 53 positions on 16 matches across 7 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions53all with a result
won / lost28 / 25positions won / lost
avg odds2.01mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+2.20units, one a position
ROI, the day+4.2%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 16 of 16 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
Chinav
New ZealandInternational Friendly Games2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.95 units
Corners · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.70 avg → +1.70 · ROI +170.0%- Liderbetunder 3.52.90+54.1%9.1%won +1.90first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.90
- Betliveunder 3.52.75+46.1%12.1%won +1.75first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 3.52.70+43.5%14.0%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Superbetunder 3.52.45+30.2%7.9%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.25+51.6%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Real ValladolidvCórdobaLaLiga 22 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.77 units
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.3%- Betliveunder 4.51.90−2.9%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 4.51.90−2.9%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 4.51.85−5.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +89.3%- Superbetover 4.52.02+4.3%8.3%won +1.02first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetover 4.51.95+0.7%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveover 4.51.80−7.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetover 4.51.80−7.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Lithuaniav
AzerbaijanUEFA Nations League5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +0.91 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.90−1.4%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 2.51.85−4.0%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +88.8%- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+5.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 4.51.95+5.3%8.1%won +0.95first captured 1.77 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 4.51.85−0.1%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 4.51.80−2.9%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 13.51.85+9.6%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 13.51.85+9.6%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Betliveover 2.51.90+14.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetover 2.51.90+14.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetover 2.51.90+14.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Throw-ins · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → +1.12 · ROI +111.7%- Crocobetover 42.52.20+16.0%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveover 42.52.15+13.3%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetover 40.52.00+23.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
MallorcavAlmeríaLaLiga 26 positions · 1 of 6 won · −4.20 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.92+2.4%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85−1.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.05+3.1%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+3.1%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 4.52.02+1.6%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+0.6%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- BetMGM UKunder 4.51.95−1.9%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 4.51.95−1.9%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Bet365under 4.51.91−4.0%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 13.51.80−3.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetunder 13.51.80−3.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 13.51.80−3.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 8.52.05+4.2%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 8.52.00+1.7%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 8.52.05+13.1%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetover 8.52.00+10.3%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots on target · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveover 4.51.80−1.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetover 4.51.80−1.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Serbiav
NetherlandsUEFA Nations League4 positions · 4 of 4 won · +3.66 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → +0.84 · ROI +84.0%- Liderbetunder 1.51.85−7.5%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Kambiunder 1.51.83−8.5%9.9%won +0.83first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.8%- Liderbetunder 10.52.00+15.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 10.51.95+12.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 10.51.95+12.3%8.1%won +0.95first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 10.51.85+6.5%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.00+1.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Throw-ins · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%- Betliveover 31.51.95+0.4%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 31.51.80−7.4%12.7%won +0.80first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Austriav
KosovoUEFA Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.03 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Betliveunder 8.52.10+12.8%12.1%won +1.10first captured 1.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 9.52.00+32.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 9.52.00+32.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Denmarkv
WalesUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.85 units
Offsides · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveover 2.51.85+10.1%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.52.00+17.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 5.51.90+2.0%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Gibraltarv
AndorraUEFA Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.90+10.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 1.51.90+10.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
EibarvLas PalmasLaLiga 23 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.30+32.2%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Kambiunder 4.52.30+32.2%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Superbetunder 4.52.17+24.7%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Betliveunder 4.52.00+14.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+14.9%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 4.52.00+14.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 4.52.10+8.0%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetover 4.52.10+8.0%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetover 4.52.10+8.0%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.10+11.5%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Burgos Club de FútbolvCD EldenseLaLiga 21 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.95 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveunder 8.52.05+14.4%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 8.51.85+3.3%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Norwayv
PortugalUEFA Nations League7 positions · 3 of 7 won · −1.28 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiunder 1.51.84−3.3%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 1.84
Corners · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.51.85−6.2%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 4.51.85−6.2%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- BetMGM UKunder 4.51.83−7.2%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 10.52.30+40.0%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 10.51.95+18.7%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 10.51.90+15.7%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +97.0%- Superbetunder 7.51.97+16.8%7.9%won +0.97first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.05+5.9%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 6.52.00+3.3%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 6.51.90−1.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Saves · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetover 6.51.90+2.0%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetover 6.51.90+2.0%11.5%won +0.90first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveover 4.51.85−0.7%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Israelv
IrelandUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.91 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%- Superbetunder 12.51.88−2.8%8.1%won +0.88first captured 1.66 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Liderbetunder 1.52.15+13.9%13.2%won +1.15first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Betliveunder 1.52.00+6.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 1.51.95+3.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 7.51.82−1.5%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.79 → last pre-kickoff 1.82
Germanyv
GreeceUEFA Nations League5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +0.65 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 10.52.10+5.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 10.52.10+5.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 10.52.00+0.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.95+8.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 5.51.95+8.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 8.51.90−3.2%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 8.51.80−8.3%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Offsides · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 1.51.85−6.9%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 1.51.85−6.9%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.85−6.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Real OviedovSporting GijónLaLiga 26 positions · 1 of 6 won · −3.95 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.12+11.2%8.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+2.3%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 2.51.95+2.3%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85−3.0%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Cards · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.63 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 2.52.70+42.3%12.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Betliveunder 2.52.60+37.0%13.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
- Crocobetunder 2.52.60+37.0%13.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.30+23.1%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 4.52.27+21.5%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
- Betliveunder 4.52.20+17.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 4.52.10+12.4%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 4.52.00+7.0%9.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.21 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 3.52.27+18.6%8.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.27 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
- Betliveover 3.52.25+17.6%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetover 3.52.10+9.8%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 5.51.85−6.3%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Liderbetover 7.52.10+12.2%8.2%won +1.10first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveover 7.52.05+9.6%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetover 7.52.00+6.9%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Haitiv
Costa RicaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+10.8%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Betliveunder 4.51.95+5.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Columbus CrewvInter Miami CFMLS3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.95 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetunder 6.51.90+2.4%8.2%won +0.90first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.40 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 2.53.40+76.5%6.3%lost −1.00first captured 3.00 → last pre-kickoff 3.40
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Liderbetover 3.52.10+17.6%8.2%won +1.10first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveover 3.52.05+14.8%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetover 3.52.00+12.0%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Board record · all time
settled positions2,2889 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,154 / 1,134positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+68.04units, one a position
measured ROI+3.0%2,288 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.