Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sat, 3 Oct 2026 · 59 positions on 19 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions59all with a result
won / lost36 / 23positions won / lost
avg odds2.04mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+15.06units, one a position
ROI, the day+25.5%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 19 of 19 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
Albacete BalompiévEibarLaLiga 24 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.09 units
Cards · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +89.3%- Superbetunder 2.51.97+30.5%8.2%won +0.97first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+29.1%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+22.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 2.51.80+19.2%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.20+34.9%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 4.52.20+34.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 4.52.20+34.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 4.52.20+34.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.03 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 4.52.15+31.9%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- BetMGM UKunder 4.51.95+19.6%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 4.51.95+19.6%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → +1.35 · ROI +134.8%- Bet365over 1.52.38+33.7%7.3%won +1.38first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- BetMGM UKover 1.52.32+30.6%9.8%won +1.32first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.32
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+2.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Finlandv
AlbaniaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.53 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 4.51.88+14.0%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Betliveunder 4.51.85+12.2%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.75+92.3%12.1%won +1.75first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 7.52.00+63.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 7.52.00+63.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Liderbetunder 7.52.30+48.5%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 7.52.20+42.1%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 6.52.85+43.6%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%- Betliveunder 1.51.85+23.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+23.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 1.51.80+19.7%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
AlmeríavBurgos Club de FútbolLaLiga 22 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.20 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiunder 5.51.91+11.4%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Betliveunder 5.51.90+10.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+10.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.80+5.0%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetover 8.51.80+1.7%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Icelandv
BulgariaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.94 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.00+2.1%8.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 2.51.85−5.6%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.51.90+23.4%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+20.1%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 5.51.85+20.1%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.78 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.83+18.8%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.93 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
- Kambiunder 5.51.83+18.8%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.51.85+0.7%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%- Crocobetunder 8.51.85+21.7%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 8.51.80+18.4%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Betliveunder 7.51.85−2.6%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.23 · ROI +123.3%- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+32.3%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 1.52.25+29.4%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+23.7%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Croatiav
EnglandUEFA Nations League3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +2.81 units
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.7%- Betliveunder 3.52.05+27.8%11.3%won +1.05first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Paddy Powerunder 3.51.95+21.5%8.4%won +0.95first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 3.51.92+19.7%7.0%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Crocobetunder 3.51.90+18.4%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 3.51.90+18.4%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Kambiunder 3.51.84+14.7%9.9%won +0.84first captured 1.94 → last pre-kickoff 1.84
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 7.51.85+5.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Liderbetunder 5.52.10+26.7%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 5.52.00+20.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+20.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Belarusv
San MarinoUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.88 units
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.0%- Betliveunder 6.51.95+14.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 6.51.95+14.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.67 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 6.51.93+13.0%9.6%won +0.93first captured 1.71 → last pre-kickoff 1.93
- Superbetunder 6.51.92+12.4%7.6%won +0.92first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Crocobetunder 6.51.90+11.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 10.52.00+14.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 10.51.95+11.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 10.51.95+11.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Saves · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.95+16.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 6.51.95+16.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Estoniav
LuxembourgUEFA Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.08 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 3.52.30+47.9%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 3.52.25+44.7%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 3.52.20+41.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 3.52.20+41.5%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Kambiunder 3.52.02+29.9%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.23 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +108.3%- Betliveunder 7.52.10+71.3%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+71.3%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.05+67.2%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
CádizvLeganésLaLiga 22 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.15 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 4.51.90+5.1%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 4.51.85+2.4%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 4.51.80−0.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 4.51.80−0.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Offsides · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.90+30.9%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 2.51.80+24.0%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.50 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Defensa y JusticiavSan LorenzoLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.00+6.6%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 2.52.00+21.9%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Canadav
PeruInternational Friendly Games4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.15 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveunder 1.51.80+9.2%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.09 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.52.15+12.5%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Betliveunder 5.52.10+9.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 5.52.10+9.9%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.28 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+4.7%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Betliveunder 13.52.10+33.4%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 13.52.00+27.1%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 8.51.95+22.4%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Switzerlandv
SloveniaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.75 units
Corners · home team · under
7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.25+21.5%11.6%won +1.25first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 5.52.25+21.5%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 5.52.20+18.8%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Bet365under 5.52.10+13.4%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 5.52.07+11.8%8.2%won +1.07first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Paddy Powerunder 5.52.05+10.7%8.8%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Kambiunder 5.51.92+3.6%9.9%won +0.92first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 11.52.30+36.4%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 11.52.25+33.5%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 11.52.20+30.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.10+40.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+37.3%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+33.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.13 · ROI +113.3%- Crocobetunder 8.52.20+33.7%12.1%won +1.20first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 8.52.20+33.7%12.1%won +1.20first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 8.52.00+21.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Saves · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.85+17.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 6.51.85+17.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Spainv
CzechiaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.38 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 9.52.45+27.8%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 9.52.40+25.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Liderbetunder 10.52.15+35.7%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Betliveunder 9.52.10+18.6%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 9.52.00+12.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 9.52.00+12.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Saves · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → +1.33 · ROI +133.3%- Betliveover 6.52.35+18.7%11.5%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetover 6.52.35+18.7%11.5%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetover 6.52.30+16.2%12.4%won +1.30first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Shots on target · home team · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Superbetover 8.52.10+7.1%8.2%won +1.10first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Bet365over 8.52.00+2.0%7.9%won +1.00first captured 3.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveover 8.52.00+2.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 8.52.00+2.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
North Macedoniav
ScotlandUEFA Nations League4 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 12.51.87+9.2%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.78 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.10+14.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+14.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.10+14.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.90+17.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 6.51.90+17.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 6.51.85+14.8%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 2.52.28+33.3%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.49 → last pre-kickoff 2.28
- BetMGM UKover 2.52.20+28.6%13.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.56 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Atlético TucumánvBarracas CentralLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.07 units
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.25+30.9%12.0%won +1.25first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 4.52.25+30.9%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 4.52.20+28.0%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 4.52.15+25.1%8.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.10+22.2%9.0%won +1.10first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 4.52.07+20.5%8.9%won +1.07first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Bet365over 0.51.91+4.5%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- BetMGM UKover 0.51.89+3.4%8.5%won +0.89first captured 1.76 → last pre-kickoff 1.89
Newell's Old BoysvLanúsLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 12.51.95+11.4%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 12.51.80+2.8%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Atlético MineirovRed Bull BragantinoBrasileirão Série A5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.15 units
Cards · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +122.3%- Betliveunder 2.52.35+53.2%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+43.5%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 2.52.12+38.2%7.8%won +1.12first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
Corners · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +89.7%- Superbetunder 5.51.92+3.3%8.3%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Bet365under 5.51.91+2.7%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.88+1.2%9.7%won +0.88first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Kambiunder 5.51.88+1.2%9.7%won +0.88first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.20+33.8%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 13.52.00+41.2%10.6%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+9.8%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.0%- Crocobetover 9.51.95+7.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Bet365over 9.51.91+5.0%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Argentinav
Burkina FasoInternational Friendly Games1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.02 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Betliveunder 1.52.05+2.7%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+0.2%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
USAv
MexicoInternational Friendly Games5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.59 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.12+11.7%8.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Kambiunder 1.52.08+9.6%9.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.79 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +103.5%- Superbetunder 1.52.07+21.8%8.5%won +1.07first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Kambiunder 1.52.00+17.7%9.5%won +1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +119.6%- Betliveunder 3.52.30+21.7%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 3.52.20+16.4%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 3.52.17+14.8%8.2%won +1.17first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Kambiunder 3.52.16+14.3%8.8%won +1.16first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.16
- BetMGM UKunder 3.52.15+13.8%8.6%won +1.15first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → +1.35 · ROI +135.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.35+31.7%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 5.52.35+31.7%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.52.10+25.3%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Belizev
French GuianaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.62 units
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.63 avg → +1.62 · ROI +162.5%- Bet365over 1.52.63+53.4%7.3%won +1.62first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.63
Board record · all time
settled positions2,6859 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,320 / 1,365positions won / lost
avg odds2.08mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+14.16units, one a position
measured ROI+0.5%2,685 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Each bookmaker and market cell is measured separately. Its own record needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive 14- and 30-day returns. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes that bookmaker's offer at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes it below +10 %. Other bookmakers on the same market can have different states. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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