Predictions

The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.

StatsGem Free PicksSG FreeStatsGem VIP PicksSG VIPBenchmarksBenchmarks

Fri, 18 Sept 2026 · 60 positions on 18 matches across 6 bookmakers

How this board differs from Telegram

This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.

That day

settled positions60all with a result
won / lost28 / 32positions won / lost
avg odds2.04mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−2.04units, one a position
ROI, the day−3.4%profit ÷ staked

One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.

Showing 18 of 18 matches

A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.

SpVgg Greuther Fürthv1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +0.86 units

Cards · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.82 · ROI +82.3%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.87+13.4%9.0%won +0.87
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.80+9.2%14.4%won +0.80
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.80+9.2%14.4%won +0.80

Corners · home team · under

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → +0.99 · ROI +99.2%
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+17.6%11.3%won +1.05
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.05+17.6%13.3%won +1.05
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.00+14.7%14.5%won +1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.51.95+11.9%7.8%won +0.95
  • Bet365under 4.51.91+9.5%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91

Fouls · away team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%
  • Betliveunder 11.52.25+25.4%13.4%won +1.25
  • Crocobetunder 12.51.85+22.9%14.7%won +0.85

Offsides · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 4.52.80+41.0%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 4.52.80+41.0%13.8%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 10.52.10+23.6%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 10.52.00+17.7%14.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 10.51.85+8.9%14.7%lost −1.00
VfL WolfsburgvDarmstadt 982. Bundesliga2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 10.52.80+67.3%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 9.52.00+41.4%14.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 10.51.85+10.5%14.7%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveover 6.52.60+50.0%13.7%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 6.52.50+44.3%14.1%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 6.51.85+6.8%14.7%lost −1.00
KasımpaşavKonyasporTrendyol Süper Lig3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 4.51.97+2.6%7.9%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 4.51.95+1.6%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.51.95+1.6%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.51.95+1.6%13.8%lost −1.00
  • BetMGM UKunder 4.51.92+0.0%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
  • Bet365under 4.51.91−0.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.91

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 13.52.05+6.7%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 13.51.80−6.3%14.4%lost −1.00

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.10+13.6%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.80−2.7%14.4%lost −1.00
FC GroningenvPEC ZwolleEredivisie4 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.51.80−7.9%14.4%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 9.52.50+27.0%14.1%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 9.52.35+19.4%14.0%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 10.51.92+19.7%8.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 10.51.90+18.4%13.2%lost −1.00

Goals · away team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.63 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365over 1.52.63+57.9%7.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.63 → last pre-kickoff 2.63

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 11.52.60+44.8%9.9%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 11.52.20+22.5%12.1%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 11.52.10+17.0%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 11.52.10+17.0%14.3%lost −1.00
Stade de ReimsvMontpellierLigue 21 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+8.4%11.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.05+8.4%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.52.05+8.4%7.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.00+5.8%14.5%lost −1.00
  • Bet365under 4.51.91+0.9%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Stade LavalloisvSochauxLigue 21 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Bet365under 4.52.10+12.7%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.10+12.7%14.3%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+10.0%11.3%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.52.02+8.4%7.6%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.00+7.3%12.5%lost −1.00
  • BetMGM UKunder 4.51.86−0.2%9.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
Albacete BalompiévCórdobaLaLiga 24 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.19 units

Cards · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.80+10.5%14.4%won +0.80

Corners · home team · under

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → +1.01 · ROI +101.0%
  • Bet365under 4.52.10+12.2%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Betliveunder 4.52.00+6.9%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.00+6.9%14.5%won +1.00
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.00+6.9%12.5%won +1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.51.95+4.2%7.8%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 9.51.97+5.3%8.2%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 9.51.95+4.3%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 9.51.95+4.3%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetover 9.51.85−1.1%14.7%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 4.51.80−0.4%12.7%lost −1.00
FC Bayern Münchenv1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +2.61 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 1.52.05+16.8%13.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+14.0%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 1.51.97+12.3%6.9%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+11.1%11.9%lost −1.00

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Betliveunder 9.52.10+26.8%12.1%won +1.10
  • Crocobetunder 9.51.95+17.7%11.9%won +0.95
  • Liderbetunder 9.51.95+17.7%13.8%won +0.95

Saves · match total · over

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 8.52.00+1.1%12.5%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 3.01 avg → +2.01 · ROI +201.3%
  • Superbetover 14.53.50+93.0%10.5%won +2.50
  • Crocobetover 14.53.30+82.0%12.3%won +2.30
  • Liderbetover 14.53.15+73.7%12.4%won +2.15
  • Betliveover 12.52.10+56.4%12.1%won +1.10

Shots on target · home team · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.60 avg → +1.60 · ROI +160.0%
  • Superbetover 12.54.65+139.5%10.8%won +3.65
  • Betliveover 9.51.95+59.8%11.9%won +0.95
  • Crocobetover 9.51.90+55.7%11.5%won +0.90
  • Liderbetover 9.51.90+55.7%11.5%won +0.90
Juve StabiavCesenaSerie B3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.80+4.6%14.4%lost −1.00

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetover 8.51.95+16.1%13.8%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 8.51.88+11.9%8.1%lost −1.00

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 4.51.90+3.6%8.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 4.51.80−1.8%14.4%lost −1.00
KAA GentvStandard LiègePro League3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +2.98 units

Cards · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.10+19.7%8.6%won +1.10
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+11.2%13.8%won +0.95
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.95+11.2%13.8%won +0.95

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.13 · ROI +113.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.27+17.1%9.0%won +1.27
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.10+8.3%14.3%won +1.10
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.10+8.3%14.3%won +1.10
  • Betliveunder 1.52.05+5.7%13.3%won +1.05

Corners · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%
  • BetMGM UKunder 5.51.85+17.8%9.3%won +0.85first captured 1.84 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
AS MonacovRC LensLigue 14 positions · 3 of 4 won · +1.92 units

Cards · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.7%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.00+5.4%7.1%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.90+0.1%11.5%won +0.90
  • Betliveunder 1.51.85−2.5%11.2%won +0.85

Corners · home team · under

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.4%
  • Liderbetunder 4.52.10+7.9%12.1%won +1.10
  • Betliveunder 4.52.05+5.3%13.3%won +1.05
  • Superbetunder 4.52.02+3.8%7.0%won +1.02
  • Bet365under 4.52.00+2.8%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
  • Crocobetunder 4.51.95+0.2%11.9%won +0.95

Offsides · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +98.3%
  • Betliveover 3.52.10+5.5%12.1%won +1.10
  • Crocobetover 3.51.95−2.0%11.9%won +0.95
  • Liderbetover 3.51.90−4.5%13.2%won +0.90

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.90−3.4%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.90−3.4%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.51.85−6.0%11.2%lost −1.00
MonzavSassuoloSerie A7 positions · 6 of 7 won · +5.90 units

Cards · home team · under

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.02+9.7%7.3%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+8.6%12.5%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 1.51.90+3.2%11.5%lost −1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.90+3.2%11.5%lost −1.00

Cards · away team · under

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.5%
  • Superbetunder 1.52.07+6.3%7.8%won +1.07
  • Betliveunder 1.52.00+2.7%12.5%won +1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.00+2.7%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.95+0.1%11.9%won +0.95

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → +1.38 · ROI +138.3%
  • Crocobetunder 10.52.85+63.7%12.0%won +1.85
  • Liderbetunder 11.52.20+51.1%12.1%won +1.20
  • Betliveunder 11.52.10+44.2%12.1%won +1.10

Offsides · home team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → +1.40 · ROI +140.0%
  • Crocobetunder 1.52.65+33.1%11.8%won +1.65
  • Betliveunder 1.52.35+18.1%12.0%won +1.35
  • Liderbetunder 1.52.20+10.5%12.1%won +1.20

Saves · match total · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Crocobetover 6.51.95+8.4%11.9%won +0.95

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Betliveover 8.52.05+47.9%13.3%won +1.05
  • Liderbetover 8.52.00+44.3%12.5%won +1.00
  • Crocobetover 8.51.95+40.7%11.9%won +0.95

Shots on target · home team · over

5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.0%
  • Betliveover 4.52.45+47.5%12.2%won +1.45
  • Crocobetover 4.52.30+38.4%12.4%won +1.30
  • Liderbetover 4.52.30+38.4%12.4%won +1.30
  • BetMGM UKover 4.51.90+14.4%11.1%won +0.90first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Superbetover 4.51.90+14.4%7.6%won +0.90
EspanyolvElcheLaLiga5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.13 units

Cards · away team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.95+14.8%11.9%won +0.95

Fouls · away team · under

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +106.7%
  • Betliveunder 12.52.10+17.5%12.1%won +1.10
  • Crocobetunder 12.52.10+17.5%12.1%won +1.10
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.00+11.9%12.5%won +1.00

Offsides · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%
  • Crocobetover 3.52.10+25.9%12.1%won +1.10
  • Liderbetover 3.52.00+19.9%12.5%won +1.00
  • Betliveover 3.51.90+13.9%11.5%won +0.90

Shots on target · match total · over

4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.11 avg → +1.11 · ROI +111.3%
  • Crocobetover 9.52.20+25.3%12.1%won +1.20
  • Betliveover 9.52.10+19.6%12.1%won +1.10
  • Liderbetover 9.52.10+19.6%14.3%won +1.10
  • Superbetover 9.52.05+16.8%7.9%won +1.05

Shots on target · home team · over

0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetover 5.52.30+15.7%12.4%lost −1.00
  • Betliveover 5.52.15+8.2%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetover 5.52.15+8.2%13.2%lost −1.00
  • Superbetover 5.52.07+4.1%8.2%lost −1.00
Bristol CityvWatfordChampionship1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.84 units

Shots on target · match total · over

3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → +0.84 · ROI +83.6%
  • Bet365over 8.51.91+7.8%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
  • Betliveover 8.51.80+1.6%14.4%won +0.80
  • Crocobetover 8.51.80+1.6%14.4%won +0.80
BrentfordvChelseaPremier League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.87 units

Shots on target · home team · over

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +87.0%
  • Superbetover 4.51.87−4.3%7.5%won +0.87
Central CórdobavDefensa y JusticiaLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units

Corners · home team · under

0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 4.52.00+13.1%14.5%lost −1.00
  • Betliveunder 4.51.95+10.2%11.9%lost −1.00
  • Superbetunder 4.51.95+10.2%8.1%lost −1.00
  • Bet365under 4.51.91+7.9%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
  • Liderbetunder 4.51.90+7.4%13.2%lost −1.00

Offsides · home team · under

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 1.51.85−5.7%14.7%lost −1.00
  • Liderbetunder 1.51.80−8.3%14.4%lost −1.00
New York City FCvNew York Red BullsMLS6 positions · 2 of 6 won · −1.98 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 2.51.88+25.4%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
  • Betliveunder 2.51.85+23.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.85+23.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Liderbetunder 12.52.00+26.8%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00

Goal kicks · home team · under

1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +107.0%
  • Superbetunder 6.52.07+5.9%8.2%won +1.07first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.07

Goal kicks · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 7.51.97+3.3%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.97

Offsides · home team · under

2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%
  • Crocobetunder 2.51.95+26.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Liderbetunder 2.51.95+26.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Shots on target · match total · over

0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetover 9.51.95+4.8%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
  • Crocobetover 9.51.90+2.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Racing ClubvSarmientoLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units

Cards · away team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Crocobetunder 2.52.20+18.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
  • Betliveunder 2.52.10+13.1%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
  • Superbetunder 2.51.95+5.0%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 1.95

Corners · home team · under

0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Betliveunder 5.51.90+6.6%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Liderbetunder 5.51.90+6.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
  • Crocobetunder 5.51.80+1.0%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80

Fouls · away team · under

0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%
  • Superbetunder 12.51.92+8.3%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92

Board record · all time

settled positions2,5989 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,291 / 1,307positions won / lost
avg odds2.08mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+40.73units, one a position
measured ROI+1.6%2,598 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r

How to read a card

  • A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
  • A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
  • Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
  • Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
  • EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
  • The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks

Each bookmaker and market cell is measured separately. Its own record needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive 14- and 30-day returns. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes that bookmaker's offer at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes it below +10 %. Other bookmakers on the same market can have different states. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.

StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.

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