Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Thu, 8 Oct 2026 · 54 positions on 5 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions54all with a result
won / lost32 / 22positions won / lost
avg odds2.05mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+10.79units, one a position
ROI, the day+20.0%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 5 of 5 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
CFR 1907 ClujvFC Universitatea ClujRomanian Super Liga10 positions · 6 of 10 won · +2.82 units
Corners · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 4.52.14+16.8%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 4.51.95+1.2%—lost −1.00
Fouls · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetunder 11.51.80+12.3%—won +0.80
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Superbetunder 11.52.00+37.8%8.1%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 11.51.85+27.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 10.52.45+43.2%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Goal kicks · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → +1.27 · ROI +127.0%- Superbetover 18.52.27+43.1%—won +1.27
Goal kicks · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +97.0%- Superbetover 8.51.97+42.3%—won +0.97
Goals · away team · over
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → +1.06 · ROI +106.4%- Bet365over 1.52.20+14.1%7.4%won +1.20first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetover 1.52.17+12.6%4.9%won +1.17first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Betliveover 1.52.00+3.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 1.52.00+3.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 1.51.95+1.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 9.52.15+59.8%8.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Betliveover 9.51.95+44.9%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 9.51.85+37.5%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.49 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 5.52.87+66.4%10.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.87
- Liderbetover 5.52.50+45.0%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Betliveover 5.52.10+21.8%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · away team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.62 avg → +1.62 · ROI +161.7%- Betliveover 4.52.70+67.3%—won +1.70
- Liderbetover 5.52.70+37.6%—won +1.70
- Superbetover 5.52.45+24.8%—won +1.45
Throw-ins · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 17.52.45+42.3%—lost −1.00
SantosvFlamengoBrasileirão Série A14 positions · 5 of 14 won · −3.91 units
Cards · match total · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.10+30.0%—lost −1.00
- Superbetunder 4.51.90+17.6%—lost −1.00
- Betliveunder 4.51.80+11.4%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetunder 4.51.80+11.4%—lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 4.51.80+11.4%—lost −1.00
Cards · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 2.52.25+35.7%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiunder 2.51.93+16.4%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.93
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+11.6%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Bet365over 9.52.00+20.4%—won +1.00
Fouls · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 24.52.25+40.0%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetunder 23.51.95+7.1%—lost −1.00
Fouls · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.35+22.1%—lost −1.00
- Superbetunder 12.51.92+20.5%—lost −1.00
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 12.52.00+25.0%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 12.51.95+21.8%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 12.51.80+12.5%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 2.51.95+20.9%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Offsides · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetover 1.52.00+11.0%—won +1.00
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.10+18.2%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.8%- Bet365over 9.52.00+21.5%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 9.51.95+18.4%13.8%won +0.95first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetover 9.51.95+18.4%8.4%won +0.95first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 9.51.85+12.3%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 4.52.25+13.6%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetover 4.52.20+11.0%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- BetMGM UKover 4.52.17+9.5%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.28 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Superbetover 4.52.17+9.5%8.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Kambiover 4.52.12+7.0%10.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.28 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
Shots on target · away team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.3%- Bet365over 5.52.20+16.3%—won +1.20
- Superbetover 5.52.17+14.8%—won +1.17
- Crocobetover 5.52.00+5.8%—won +1.00
Throw-ins · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 36.51.95+26.1%—lost −1.00
- Liderbetunder 36.51.95+26.1%—lost −1.00
Throw-ins · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.03 · ROI +102.5%- Crocobetunder 18.52.20+48.6%—won +1.20
- Liderbetunder 19.51.85+37.9%—won +0.85
AthleticovAtlético MineiroBrasileirão Série A9 positions · 6 of 9 won · +3.17 units
Cards · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.07+31.2%7.5%won +1.07first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Crocobetunder 2.51.95+23.6%13.8%won +0.95first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 2.51.93+22.3%9.0%won +0.93first captured 1.74 → last pre-kickoff 1.93
- Betliveunder 2.51.85+17.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 5.52.00+2.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetunder 5.52.00+2.3%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Paddy Powerunder 5.51.95−0.3%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 5.51.90−2.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90−2.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85−5.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 4.52.12+18.0%—lost −1.00
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetunder 25.52.20+22.6%—won +1.20
- Superbetunder 26.52.00+25.3%—won +1.00
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.3%- Crocobetunder 12.52.10+32.4%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 12.52.05+29.2%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 13.51.92+39.5%8.3%won +0.92first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Shots · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- BetMGM UKover 14.51.85+8.0%—won +0.85
- Kambiover 14.51.85+8.0%—won +0.85
Shots on target · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → +1.38 · ROI +138.0%- Superbetover 9.52.72+37.7%8.2%won +1.72first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.72
- Crocobetover 9.52.35+19.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetover 9.52.25+13.9%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiover 9.52.20+11.4%11.2%won +1.20first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +87.0%- Superbetover 4.51.87+13.4%8.1%won +0.87first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Throw-ins · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 37.52.10+33.6%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
PalmeirasvBahiaBrasileirão Série A11 positions · 8 of 11 won · +5.06 units
Cards · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Paddy Powerover 4.52.20+24.0%—lost −1.00
- Bet365over 4.52.10+18.4%—lost −1.00
- Kambiover 4.51.94+9.4%—lost −1.00
Fouls · match total · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → +1.27 · ROI +126.7%- Liderbetunder 24.52.40+38.5%—won +1.40
- Superbetunder 24.52.30+32.7%—won +1.30
- Crocobetunder 24.52.10+21.1%—won +1.10
Fouls · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.5%- Liderbetunder 12.51.95+4.0%—won +0.95
- Superbetunder 12.51.92+2.5%—won +0.92
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Superbetunder 12.52.05+34.1%7.6%won +1.05first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 12.52.00+30.8%14.5%won +1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 13.51.80+34.5%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Offsides · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +107.5%- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+15.3%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 1.51.95+2.2%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 10.52.00+2.8%—lost −1.00
Shots on target · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +91.3%- Bet365over 9.52.10+29.0%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiover 9.51.90+16.7%11.1%won +0.90first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetover 9.51.85+13.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetover 9.51.80+10.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · home team · over
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.11 avg → +1.11 · ROI +110.8%- Crocobetover 6.52.35+17.9%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Bet365over 6.52.10+5.3%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- BetMGM UKover 6.52.10+5.3%11.3%won +1.10first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiover 6.52.10+5.3%11.3%won +1.10first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetover 6.52.05+2.8%8.7%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetover 6.51.95−2.2%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · away team · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 3.52.25+20.9%—lost −1.00
- Kambiover 3.52.18+17.1%—lost −1.00
- Superbetover 3.52.12+13.9%—lost −1.00
- Crocobetover 3.51.95+4.8%—lost −1.00
Throw-ins · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetunder 36.51.95+16.6%—won +0.95
Throw-ins · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 20.51.85+30.9%—won +0.85
FluminensevCoritibaBrasileirão Série A10 positions · 7 of 10 won · +3.66 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +107.5%- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+24.9%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+10.7%13.8%won +0.95first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Corners · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Paddy Powerunder 10.51.95+2.6%—won +0.95
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +90.8%- Betliveunder 6.51.95+2.0%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 6.51.95+2.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Bet365under 6.51.91−0.1%7.9%won +0.91first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Superbetunder 6.51.88−1.7%8.1%won +0.88first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Crocobetunder 6.51.85−3.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · away team · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 3.52.04+12.3%—lost −1.00
- BetMGM UKover 3.51.92+5.7%—lost −1.00
- Bet365over 3.51.91+5.1%—lost −1.00
- Betliveover 3.51.85+1.9%—lost −1.00
Fouls · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Superbetunder 23.52.25+15.5%—won +1.25
- Liderbetunder 24.51.80+5.7%—won +0.80
Fouls · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → +0.84 · ROI +84.0%- Superbetunder 12.51.92+24.2%—won +0.92
- Crocobetunder 12.51.80+16.5%—won +0.80
- Liderbetunder 12.51.80+16.5%—won +0.80
Offsides · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetover 2.51.95+2.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 2.51.85−2.8%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.51.95+2.0%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 10.52.35+27.0%—lost −1.00
Shots on target · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → +0.96 · ROI +96.3%- Bet365over 9.52.00+11.5%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 9.52.00+11.5%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetover 9.52.00+11.5%8.5%won +1.00first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 9.51.85+3.1%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Board record · all time
settled positions2,1589 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,093 / 1,065positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+75.98units, one a position
measured ROI+3.5%2,158 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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