Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Mon, 5 Oct 2026 · 61 positions on 18 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions61all with a result
won / lost30 / 31positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit−0.68units, one a position
ROI, the day−1.1%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 18 of 18 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
Japanv
New ZealandInternational Friendly Games2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.15 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 1.51.85−4.8%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 1.51.85−4.8%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 9.51.85+10.1%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 9.51.85+10.1%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Cyprusv
LatviaUEFA Nations League3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.10 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.56 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.53.10+68.2%12.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
- Crocobetunder 4.52.95+60.0%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
- Superbetunder 4.52.85+54.6%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.42 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
- Kambiunder 4.52.48+34.5%10.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.48
- Liderbetunder 5.52.10+47.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.85+30.3%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.66 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 12.51.95+4.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 12.51.90+1.4%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 12.51.85−1.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.85+58.4%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
- Crocobetunder 8.52.30+57.6%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 9.51.80+42.4%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.45 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
CórdobavCD TenerifeLaLiga 21 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.85 units
Corners · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Kambiunder 5.51.85−6.4%9.9%won +0.85first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Italyv
TürkiyeUEFA Nations League6 positions · 4 of 6 won · +1.93 units
Corners · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.5%- Bet365under 5.52.00+15.8%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 5.51.85+7.1%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Liderbetunder 11.52.00+15.3%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.21 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.65+37.5%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Betliveunder 5.52.45+27.1%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Superbetunder 5.51.90−1.4%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 6.51.85+24.3%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.5%- Betliveunder 7.52.45+41.3%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Crocobetunder 7.52.30+32.7%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Superbetunder 8.51.90+33.8%7.6%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 8.51.85+30.3%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+18.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 1.52.20+18.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+16.2%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Saves · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%- Liderbetover 6.51.90−0.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetover 6.51.85−2.8%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Northern Irelandv
GeorgiaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.95 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 3.52.20+15.2%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.20+15.2%9.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 3.52.15+12.6%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 3.52.15+12.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Kambiunder 3.52.14+12.1%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Superbetunder 3.52.12+11.0%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Crocobetunder 3.52.10+10.0%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.28 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.45+34.5%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 12.52.40+31.8%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Liderbetunder 12.52.40+31.8%13.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Superbetunder 13.51.87+20.0%7.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.20+27.9%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 6.52.10+22.1%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 6.52.00+16.3%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.30+38.3%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 6.52.20+32.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 6.52.10+26.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Kambiover 6.51.95+8.8%11.2%won +0.95first captured 1.78 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Liechtensteinv
GibraltarInternational Friendly Games1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.15 units
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → +1.15 · ROI +115.0%- Crocobetunder 3.52.35+55.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Superbetunder 3.52.25+48.4%7.7%won +1.25first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 3.52.20+45.1%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 3.52.05+35.3%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Kambiunder 3.51.90+25.4%9.1%won +0.90first captured 2.18 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Francev
BelgiumUEFA Nations League6 positions · 3 of 6 won · +0.42 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 5.52.05+19.0%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Bet365under 5.52.00+16.1%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 5.52.00+16.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 5.51.95+13.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Paddy Powerunder 5.51.95+13.2%8.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 5.51.95+13.2%6.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 5.51.90+10.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → +1.32 · ROI +132.5%- Betliveunder 10.52.65+53.1%11.8%won +1.65first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Crocobetunder 10.52.65+53.1%11.8%won +1.65first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Liderbetunder 11.52.05+39.1%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 11.51.95+32.3%8.1%won +0.95first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Superbetunder 5.52.10+42.4%8.2%won +1.10first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 5.52.00+35.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 5.51.95+32.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 4.52.95+50.4%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.20+12.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 7.52.20+12.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 8.52.07+33.3%8.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Liderbetunder 8.51.80+15.9%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetunder 1.51.85+6.7%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Saves · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 6.51.85−2.9%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetover 6.51.85−2.9%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetover 6.51.80−5.6%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Montenegrov
ArmeniaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.06 units
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +86.8%- Kambiunder 5.52.02+24.8%10.1%won +1.02first captured 1.68 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Superbetunder 5.51.87+15.5%8.1%won +0.87first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+14.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 5.51.80+11.2%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 5.51.80+11.2%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.28 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 10.52.30+19.7%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 10.52.30+19.7%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 10.52.25+17.1%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +106.7%- Betliveunder 8.52.10+24.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 8.52.10+24.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 8.52.00+18.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 8.51.90+2.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetover 8.51.90+2.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetover 8.51.90+2.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Bosnia & Herzegovinav
PolandUEFA Nations League6 positions · 3 of 6 won · +0.11 units
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.4%- Superbetunder 3.52.07+42.9%7.1%won +1.07first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.05+41.5%8.8%won +1.05first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Bet365under 3.52.00+38.0%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 3.51.95+34.6%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 3.51.95+34.6%10.1%won +0.95first captured 1.96 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Betliveunder 12.52.15+18.6%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 12.52.10+15.8%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 13.52.00+28.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetunder 12.51.88+3.7%7.8%won +0.88first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.00+5.7%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 7.51.95+3.0%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 7.51.95+3.0%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.45+50.0%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 5.52.35+43.9%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.29 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.52.38+23.9%7.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- BetMGM UKover 1.52.20+14.7%8.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.14 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Saves · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +107.5%- Liderbetunder 5.52.20+13.3%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 5.51.95+0.4%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Romaniav
SwedenUEFA Nations League3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 7.52.10+15.5%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 7.52.05+12.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.45+33.5%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Liderbetunder 5.52.45+33.5%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 6.52.10+46.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 8.51.90+0.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetover 8.51.90+0.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Ukrainev
HungaryUEFA Nations League4 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.40+43.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Crocobetunder 6.52.30+37.5%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 6.52.25+34.5%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.43 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.45+42.4%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Crocobetunder 1.52.45+42.4%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Liderbetunder 1.52.40+39.5%13.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 7.51.94−1.5%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 1.94
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 3.51.80−4.0%13.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.50 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Deportivo RiestravCentral CórdobaLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.99 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiunder 2.51.83+24.5%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.8%- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.02+15.2%9.0%won +1.02first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Kambiunder 4.52.02+15.2%9.0%won +1.02first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Betliveunder 4.51.90+8.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 4.51.90+8.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 4.51.85+5.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Betliveunder 10.52.10+43.2%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 10.52.10+43.2%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 10.51.95+33.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Cubav
Saint Kitts and NevisCONCACAF Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.70 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.20+22.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 4.52.20+22.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.70 avg → +1.70 · ROI +170.0%- Bet365over 1.53.00+54.3%6.7%won +2.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 3.00
- BetMGM UKover 1.52.40+23.4%11.6%won +1.40first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
Vélez SarsfieldvPlatenseLiga Profesional de Fútbol6 positions · 5 of 6 won · +3.73 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.80+17.7%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Cards · away team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +118.4%- Betliveunder 2.52.50+30.7%14.1%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+15.0%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Kambiunder 2.52.20+15.0%10.0%won +1.20first captured 2.04 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 2.52.02+5.6%8.7%won +1.02first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Liderbetunder 2.52.00+4.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Corners · home team · under
7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → +1.01 · ROI +101.3%- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.17+16.1%9.4%won +1.17first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Kambiunder 4.52.17+16.1%9.4%won +1.17first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Bet365under 4.52.10+12.3%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 4.52.05+9.6%7.6%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Betliveunder 4.51.90+1.6%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 4.51.90+1.6%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 4.51.80−3.7%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.8%- Superbetunder 12.52.00+17.4%7.8%won +1.00first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 12.51.95+14.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 12.51.95+14.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 12.51.85+8.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 3.52.20+30.0%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveover 3.52.10+24.1%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetover 4.51.80−9.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Estudiantes de La PlatavGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.23 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 13.52.35+38.0%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 13.51.85+8.7%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.23 · ROI +122.5%- Betliveover 4.52.35+31.8%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetover 4.52.10+17.8%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Bermudav
BarbadosCONCACAF Nations League3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.15 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.35+21.4%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetunder 1.52.30+18.8%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Corners · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 3.51.85+7.7%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 3.51.85+7.7%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 2.52.25+14.6%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
BanfieldvRosario CentralLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.63 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.80−6.5%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.83 · ROI +82.5%- Liderbetunder 2.51.85+2.6%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 2.51.80−0.2%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 11.52.05+10.6%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Hondurasv
JamaicaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.51.80−4.1%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 4.51.80−4.1%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Board record · all time
settled positions2,1589 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,093 / 1,065positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+75.98units, one a position
measured ROI+3.5%2,158 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.