Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Wed, 7 Oct 2026 · 20 positions on 6 matches across 6 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions20all with a result
won / lost12 / 8positions won / lost
avg odds2.05mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+3.76units, one a position
ROI, the day+18.8%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 6 of 6 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
InternacionalvCorinthiansBrasileirão Série A4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.05 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiunder 2.52.02+4.9%9.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.89 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Superbetunder 2.51.92−0.3%7.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Betliveunder 2.51.80−6.5%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Cards · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.52+35.0%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.52
- Kambiunder 2.52.30+23.2%8.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.28 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 2.52.25+20.5%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+17.8%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.25+14.1%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 12.52.17+10.1%7.8%won +1.17first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Liderbetunder 13.51.90+16.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 13.51.80+10.0%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.5%- Superbetover 7.51.97+0.2%8.2%won +0.97first captured 1.57 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Kambiover 7.51.86−5.4%11.2%won +0.86first captured 1.49 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
RemovGrêmioBrasileirão Série A5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −1.29 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.26 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 2.52.35+50.0%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 2.52.35+50.0%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Superbetunder 2.52.25+43.6%7.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiunder 2.52.10+34.0%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiunder 5.51.91−1.2%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Betliveunder 5.51.90−1.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85−4.3%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 5.51.85−4.3%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.26 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 11.52.27+41.9%7.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
- Liderbetunder 11.52.25+40.6%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Shots on target · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +86.7%- Bet365over 8.52.00+20.3%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 8.51.80+8.3%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetover 8.51.80+8.3%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → +0.84 · ROI +83.6%- Bet365over 4.51.91+12.0%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Crocobetover 4.51.80+5.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetover 4.51.80+5.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Red Bull BragantinovMirassolBrasileirão Série A2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.22 units
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Liderbetunder 10.52.05+17.6%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 10.52.00+14.7%8.5%won +1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Shots on target · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Superbetover 10.52.45+26.5%9.3%won +1.45first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Liderbetover 10.52.35+21.4%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Kambiover 10.52.20+13.6%11.2%won +1.20first captured 2.43 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetover 9.51.80+14.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
VitóriavChapecoenseBrasileirão Série A3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.15 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 12.52.25+27.0%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 12.52.02+14.0%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
Shots on target · match total · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +107.0%- Superbetover 9.52.15+23.8%7.9%won +1.15first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetover 9.52.10+20.9%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetover 9.52.10+20.9%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiover 9.51.93+11.1%11.3%won +0.93first captured 1.98 → last pre-kickoff 1.93
Shots on target · home team · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +108.3%- Bet365over 5.52.20+34.4%7.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetover 5.52.05+25.3%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetover 5.52.00+22.2%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
BotafogovVasco da GamaBrasileirão Série A3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.85 units
Cards · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → +0.96 · ROI +95.8%- Superbetunder 2.52.07+35.6%7.5%won +1.07first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+27.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 2.51.95+27.8%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 2.51.86+21.9%9.0%won +0.86first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +88.5%- Superbetunder 12.51.97+12.5%8.2%won +0.97first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Liderbetunder 12.51.80+2.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 10.52.30+17.8%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetover 10.52.25+15.3%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetover 10.52.12+8.6%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Crocobetover 10.52.00+2.5%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
CruzeirovSão PauloBrasileirão Série A3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.89 units
Cards · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → +1.06 · ROI +105.5%- Crocobetunder 2.52.10+15.0%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 2.52.10+15.0%7.5%won +1.10first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 2.52.05+12.3%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Kambiunder 2.51.97+7.9%9.2%won +0.97first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.50+36.7%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetunder 12.52.35+28.5%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetunder 13.52.10+36.3%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 13.52.00+29.8%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%- Liderbetover 2.51.90+24.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveover 2.51.80+17.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetover 2.51.80+17.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Board record · all time
settled positions2,1589 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,093 / 1,065positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+75.98units, one a position
measured ROI+3.5%2,158 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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