Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Fri, 2 Oct 2026 · 70 positions on 22 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions70all with a result
won / lost39 / 31positions won / lost
avg odds2.10mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+9.91units, one a position
ROI, the day+14.2%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 22 of 22 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
South Koreav
VenezuelaInternational Friendly Games2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.05 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 11.52.25+17.0%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Throw-ins · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveover 30.51.95+2.2%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Chinav
PalestineInternational Friendly Games1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.58 units
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.58 avg → +1.58 · ROI +158.3%- Betliveunder 3.52.70+37.4%12.2%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Crocobetunder 3.52.70+37.4%14.0%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Superbetunder 3.52.35+19.6%8.3%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Kazakhstanv
MoldovaUEFA Nations League2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 3.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 3.53.70+102.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 4.50 → last pre-kickoff 3.70
- Betliveunder 3.53.60+97.4%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 4.35 → last pre-kickoff 3.60
- Superbetunder 3.53.35+83.7%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 3.50 → last pre-kickoff 3.35
- Crocobetunder 3.53.30+81.0%12.3%lost −1.00first captured 4.00 → last pre-kickoff 3.30
- Kambiunder 4.52.28+66.1%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.18 → last pre-kickoff 2.28
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.75+38.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Betliveunder 6.52.40+20.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Crocobetunder 6.52.30+15.9%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Latviav
MontenegroUEFA Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.32 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 3.51.91+13.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → +1.32 · ROI +131.7%- Liderbetunder 9.52.35+70.7%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Betliveunder 9.52.30+67.0%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 9.52.30+67.0%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Cyprusv
ArmeniaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 5 of 5 won · +5.05 units
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.82 · ROI +81.7%- Crocobetunder 4.51.85+22.6%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 4.51.80+19.3%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 4.51.80+19.3%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +118.3%- Crocobetunder 11.52.45+23.0%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 12.52.10+26.1%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 12.52.00+20.1%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.75+76.0%11.5%won +1.75first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 8.52.00+51.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 8.52.00+51.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Liderbetunder 1.51.90+12.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.90−4.9%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
CD EldensevReal OviedoLaLiga 25 positions · 2 of 5 won · −1.25 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 2.52.05+2.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 2.52.05+2.8%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 2.51.90−4.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85−7.3%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.05+8.8%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+8.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.36 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Bet365under 4.52.00+6.1%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.51.98+5.0%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.98
- Superbetunder 4.51.97+4.5%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+3.5%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 13.52.05+20.0%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetover 5.51.85−0.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Throw-ins · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetover 41.51.95+4.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveover 41.51.85−1.4%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Belgiumv
TürkiyeUEFA Nations League7 positions · 3 of 7 won · −0.70 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.05+17.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.90+37.1%7.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Kambiunder 2.51.87+35.0%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → +0.86 · ROI +85.7%- Betliveunder 5.51.90+6.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Kambiunder 5.51.87+4.6%10.0%won +0.87first captured 1.64 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Liderbetunder 5.51.80+0.7%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 10.52.35+34.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 10.52.10+20.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 10.52.05+17.6%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 11.51.88+26.9%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.52.05+5.0%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 5.51.80−7.8%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +121.8%- Betliveunder 7.52.80+50.1%12.1%won +1.80first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Liderbetunder 8.52.05+36.7%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 8.52.02+34.7%8.0%won +1.02first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetunder 8.52.00+33.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +121.7%- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+25.0%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 1.52.20+19.6%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+16.9%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Hungaryv
GeorgiaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.15 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.85+8.5%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.67 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Paddy Powerunder 3.53.10+61.1%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
- Superbetunder 3.52.95+53.3%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
- Liderbetunder 3.52.80+45.5%12.6%lost −1.00first captured 3.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Betliveunder 3.52.75+42.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 3.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 3.52.65+37.7%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 3.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Kambiunder 3.52.45+27.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Bet365under 4.52.00+40.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.52.95+65.3%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
- Betliveunder 7.52.10+46.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.10+46.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Saves · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.90+6.0%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+6.0%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Bosnia & Herzegovinav
SwedenUEFA Nations League5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +4.68 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.38+29.1%8.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- Kambiunder 3.52.23+21.2%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.23
- Superbetunder 3.52.20+19.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 3.52.15+16.8%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 3.52.15+16.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 3.52.10+14.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.53 avg → +1.53 · ROI +153.3%- Crocobetunder 11.52.95+99.1%12.0%won +1.95first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
- Liderbetunder 12.52.35+79.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Betliveunder 12.52.30+75.1%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.70+37.2%11.7%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Crocobetunder 6.52.65+34.6%11.8%won +1.65first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Liderbetunder 7.52.00+30.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +121.7%- Crocobetunder 6.52.45+36.3%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 6.52.35+30.8%12.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetunder 7.51.85+28.5%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → +1.48 · ROI +148.3%- Liderbetunder 1.52.55+42.5%12.2%won +1.55first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Betliveunder 1.52.45+36.9%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Crocobetunder 1.52.45+36.9%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Francev
ItalyUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.18 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.15+24.9%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 5.52.15+24.9%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Bet365under 5.52.10+22.0%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 5.52.07+20.3%6.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.78 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+16.2%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Paddy Powerunder 5.52.00+16.2%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 5.51.96+13.9%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.84 → last pre-kickoff 1.96
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.8%- Superbetunder 11.51.97+18.7%7.9%won +0.97first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Crocobetunder 11.51.95+17.5%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 11.51.90+14.5%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 11.51.85+11.5%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Betliveunder 5.51.90+26.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.90+26.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+26.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.15+14.1%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+11.4%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.10+11.4%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 8.51.90+25.7%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Polandv
RomaniaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.95 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.39 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.55+44.2%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Liderbetunder 4.52.55+44.2%11.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Crocobetunder 4.52.45+38.6%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Superbetunder 4.52.40+35.7%6.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Paddy Powerunder 4.52.30+30.1%8.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.25+27.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.48 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiunder 4.52.25+27.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.43 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → +1.15 · ROI +115.5%- Liderbetunder 12.52.40+42.3%13.1%won +1.40first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Crocobetunder 12.52.30+36.3%12.4%won +1.30first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 12.52.00+18.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetunder 12.51.92+13.8%7.6%won +0.92first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetunder 6.51.90+19.2%7.6%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.31 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 7.52.65+46.7%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Betliveunder 7.52.60+43.9%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
- Superbetunder 8.52.02+38.0%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Liderbetunder 8.51.95+33.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.65+34.2%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
Ukrainev
Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.00+31.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Paddy Powerunder 4.51.95+28.1%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 4.51.90+24.8%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 7.52.20+42.0%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 7.52.15+38.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+35.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Faroe Islandsv
SlovakiaUEFA Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.03 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Crocobetunder 6.52.10+65.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 6.52.05+61.5%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 6.51.95+53.6%13.8%won +0.95first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+2.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
CA IndependientevInstituto De CórdobaLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.12 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.27+17.5%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+13.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 2.52.10+8.7%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 2.52.10+8.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 2.51.82−5.8%18.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.82
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +104.5%- Betliveunder 4.52.15+9.2%11.0%won +1.15first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 4.52.15+9.2%13.2%won +1.15first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 4.52.10+6.6%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Bet365under 4.52.00+1.6%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetunder 4.52.00+1.6%8.1%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.51.87−5.1%9.0%won +0.87first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +108.3%- Betliveunder 12.52.25+17.2%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 12.52.20+14.6%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 13.51.80+13.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
São PaulovSantosBrasileirão Série A6 positions · 5 of 6 won · +3.76 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.7%- Crocobetunder 2.51.95+20.4%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 2.51.95+20.4%6.8%won +0.95first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 2.51.85+14.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 5.52.10+11.3%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 5.52.10+11.3%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 5.52.02+7.1%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Betliveunder 5.52.00+6.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 5.52.00+6.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.96+3.9%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.79 → last pre-kickoff 1.96
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +86.7%- Superbetunder 13.52.00+52.3%8.1%won +1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 13.51.80+37.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 13.51.80+37.1%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetunder 9.51.92+32.2%7.6%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Shots on target · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Bet365over 8.52.10+14.1%7.6%won +1.10first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetover 8.52.10+14.1%12.1%won +1.10first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetover 8.51.95+6.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Liderbetover 4.52.00+5.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Colombiav
ParaguayInternational Friendly Games5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.19 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.80−0.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +104.4%- Betliveunder 4.52.10+8.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 4.52.10+8.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 4.52.05+5.8%7.9%won +1.05first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+3.2%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.51.97+1.7%8.9%won +0.97first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.05+9.2%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 12.51.85−1.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveunder 6.51.80+2.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → +1.35 · ROI +135.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.35+38.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 7.52.35+38.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Martiniquev
HondurasCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.51.91+8.1%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Bonairev
GrenadaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.86 units
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → +0.86 · ROI +86.0%- BetMGM UKover 1.51.86+7.6%11.2%won +0.86first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
Barbadosv
BermudaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.52.25+28.5%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- BetMGM UKover 1.51.96+12.0%11.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 1.96
Independiente RivadaviavGimnasia y EsgrimaLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.78 units
Cards · away team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.8%- Kambiunder 2.52.02+33.8%9.7%won +1.02first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+29.1%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 2.51.92+27.2%8.3%won +0.92first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Liderbetunder 2.51.90+25.8%13.2%won +0.90first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+22.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 11.51.85−3.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.51.80−6.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetunder 7.51.80−6.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Boca JuniorsvClub Atlético Unión de Santa FeLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.75 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveunder 12.51.80+8.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.50 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 3.52.50+29.5%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetover 3.52.50+29.5%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
Shots on target · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveover 5.51.95+20.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 5.51.95+20.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
El Salvadorv
JamaicaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.07 units
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +107.0%- Bet365over 1.52.10+24.4%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- BetMGM UKover 1.52.04+20.8%11.5%won +1.04first captured 2.04 → last pre-kickoff 2.04
Board record · all time
settled positions2,1589 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,093 / 1,065positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+75.98units, one a position
measured ROI+3.5%2,158 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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