Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sun, 4 Oct 2026 · 72 positions on 23 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions693 awaiting a result
won / lost36 / 33positions won / lost
avg odds2.04mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+2.56units, one a position
ROI, the day+3.7%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 23 of 23 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
Real Sociedad BvGranadaLaLiga 27 positions · 6 of 7 won · +4.53 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.95+1.4%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 2.51.80−6.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetunder 2.51.80−6.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Cards · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +97.3%- Superbetunder 2.52.02+15.9%8.7%won +1.02first captured 1.69 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+11.9%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 2.51.95+11.9%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.2%- Superbetunder 4.52.00+0.7%7.8%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 4.51.95−1.8%8.1%won +0.95first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Bet365under 4.51.91−3.9%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Betliveunder 4.51.90−4.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 4.51.85−6.9%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%- Crocobetunder 12.51.85−1.9%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 12.51.85−1.9%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 12.51.80−4.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → +0.98 · ROI +97.5%- Crocobetunder 8.52.00+15.5%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 8.51.95+12.6%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetover 8.51.92+4.6%7.6%won +0.92first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Shots on target · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +91.0%- Superbetover 4.51.97+1.0%8.6%won +0.97first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Liderbetover 4.51.85−5.1%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Azerbaijanv
LithuaniaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.10 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.87−3.5%7.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Cards · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.95+7.2%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 2.51.90+4.5%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 2.51.85+1.7%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+1.7%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 14.51.95−1.5%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 14.51.85−6.6%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.51.85+44.5%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Kyrgyzstanv
LebanonInternational Friendly Games3 positions · awaiting result
Cards · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 3.52.20+11.8%—awaiting result
- Crocobetover 3.52.00+1.6%—awaiting result
Corners · match total · under
awaiting result- Bet365under 8.52.00+13.6%—awaiting result
- Superbetunder 8.52.00+13.6%—awaiting result
Corners · home team · under
awaiting result- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+7.9%—awaiting result
- BetMGM UKunder 4.51.93+4.1%—awaiting result
Sporting GijónvCelta Vigo BLaLiga 22 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.06 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+20.5%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+17.3%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +94.0%- Superbetover 8.52.02+14.4%8.7%won +1.02first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetover 8.51.95+10.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveover 8.51.85+4.8%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Kosovov
AustriaUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.49 units
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +104.5%- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.15+30.5%9.0%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Bet365under 3.52.10+27.5%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 3.52.02+22.6%8.3%won +1.02first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Betliveunder 3.52.00+21.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 3.52.00+21.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 3.52.00+21.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 12.53.10+82.7%12.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
- Liderbetunder 14.51.95+47.9%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 14.51.90+44.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.45+79.6%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Maltav
AndorraUEFA Nations League5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.41 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.10+22.4%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 4.52.10+22.4%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 4.52.05+19.5%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+19.5%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+16.6%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.51.97+14.8%10.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.06 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → +1.27 · ROI +127.5%- Crocobetunder 17.52.30+16.0%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 17.52.25+13.5%12.0%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Goal kicks · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.5%- Betliveunder 5.52.15+18.2%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 5.52.10+15.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 0.52.25+17.7%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- BetMGM UKover 0.52.08+8.8%9.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +101.7%- Betliveunder 1.52.05+21.4%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+18.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 1.52.00+18.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Las PalmasvReal ValladolidLaLiga 23 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.72 units
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.6%- Betliveunder 4.51.95+6.0%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+6.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 4.51.90+3.3%9.8%won +0.90first captured 1.98 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 4.51.90+3.3%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Superbetunder 4.51.88+2.2%7.8%won +0.88first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 4.52.25+48.1%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetover 4.52.15+41.5%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetover 4.52.00+31.6%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Liderbetover 5.51.80+9.0%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
CD CastellónvAD CeutaLaLiga 24 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.17 units
Offsides · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.83 · ROI +82.5%- Betliveover 3.51.85+4.9%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetover 3.51.80+2.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.10+43.7%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.09 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 9.52.50+96.7%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetover 9.52.20+73.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetover 9.51.87+47.2%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Liderbetover 9.51.80+41.6%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 8.53.30+70.8%10.9%lost −1.00first captured 3.30 → last pre-kickoff 3.30
- Betliveover 6.52.60+98.0%13.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
- Crocobetover 6.52.50+90.4%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Liderbetover 7.52.20+41.8%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
HuracánvAldosiviLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.04 units
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +104.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.10+6.5%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 11.52.10+6.5%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 12.51.92+18.9%8.3%won +0.92first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Moroccov
MaliInternational Friendly Games1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.25+32.4%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 12.52.10+23.6%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Greecev
GermanyUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.98 units
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +89.3%- Paddy Powerunder 3.51.95+27.1%8.4%won +0.95first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 3.51.90+23.9%11.5%won +0.90first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Kambiunder 3.51.83+19.3%9.9%won +0.83first captured 2.06 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 10.52.20+17.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 10.52.00+6.8%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 11.51.85+17.9%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 9.52.20+53.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 9.52.20+53.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 9.52.00+39.3%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.13 · ROI +113.3%- Crocobetunder 5.52.30+67.4%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 5.52.10+52.9%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 5.52.00+45.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Saves · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.51.95−1.7%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 6.51.90−4.2%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Walesv
DenmarkUEFA Nations League5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.04 units
Corners · home team · under
8 of 8 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +107.5%- Betliveunder 3.52.20+25.3%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 3.52.20+25.3%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 3.52.20+25.3%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 3.52.05+16.8%6.9%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Bet365under 3.52.00+13.9%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.00+13.9%7.9%won +1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- BetMGM UKunder 3.51.98+12.8%10.0%won +0.98first captured 2.04 → last pre-kickoff 1.98
- Kambiunder 3.51.97+12.2%9.6%won +0.97first captured 2.04 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.5%- Superbetunder 10.52.00+7.7%8.1%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 10.51.90+2.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 10.51.90+2.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 10.51.90+2.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 7.52.45+46.9%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 7.52.35+40.9%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetunder 8.51.80+30.4%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.14 avg → +1.14 · ROI +113.8%- Liderbetunder 5.52.25+19.7%11.1%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 5.52.15+14.4%8.6%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 5.52.10+11.7%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 5.52.05+9.1%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Offsides · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Betliveunder 1.51.90+18.4%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 1.51.90+18.4%11.5%won +0.90first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Portugalv
NorwayUEFA Nations League6 positions · 3 of 6 won · −0.35 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.58 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 4.52.80+48.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Betliveunder 4.52.70+42.8%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Crocobetunder 4.52.65+40.2%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Kambiunder 4.52.50+32.2%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Superbetunder 4.52.45+29.6%7.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Paddy Powerunder 4.52.40+27.0%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 9.51.90+13.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 9.51.85+10.2%11.2%won +0.85first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 9.51.80+7.2%12.7%won +0.80first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 8.51.90+52.1%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 8.51.85+48.1%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+34.4%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 1.52.25+31.5%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 1.52.25+31.5%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Saves · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveover 6.51.95+10.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 6.51.95+10.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetover 6.51.95+10.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 9.51.85−7.1%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Irelandv
IsraelUEFA Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.07 units
Corners · home team · under
8 of 8 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +107.3%- Superbetunder 4.52.22+29.5%6.8%won +1.22first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.22
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.14+24.8%10.0%won +1.14first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Kambiunder 4.52.12+23.7%10.5%won +1.12first captured 1.84 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Bet365under 4.52.10+22.5%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+19.6%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Betliveunder 4.52.00+16.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+16.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Paddy Powerunder 4.51.95+13.8%9.2%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.10+15.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 5.52.10+15.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 5.52.00+10.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Netherlandsv
SerbiaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.75 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 10.52.65+59.6%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Superbetunder 10.52.07+24.6%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Liderbetunder 11.52.05+43.7%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 11.51.95+36.7%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 3.53.05+85.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 3.05 → last pre-kickoff 3.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.10+64.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 4.52.00+56.4%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.40 avg → +1.40 · ROI +140.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.40+50.6%13.1%won +1.40first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetover 9.51.85−0.8%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 7.52.20+16.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetover 7.52.10+11.2%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Bet365over 7.52.00+5.9%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveover 7.51.90+0.6%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetover 7.51.85−2.1%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Girona FCvMallorcaLaLiga 26 positions · 2 of 6 won · −2.26 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.95−0.1%7.8%won +0.95first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 2.51.80−7.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetunder 2.51.80−7.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.30+29.8%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Kambiunder 4.52.28+28.7%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.28 → last pre-kickoff 2.28
- Betliveunder 4.52.20+24.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 4.52.20+24.1%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 4.52.20+24.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 13.51.85+5.5%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 13.51.80+2.6%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetunder 13.51.80+2.6%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.51.95+0.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 8.51.87+11.7%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Shots on target · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +88.5%- Superbetover 4.51.97+6.0%7.9%won +0.97first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Crocobetover 4.51.80−3.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
CE SabadellvFC AndorraLaLiga 21 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.51.95+14.1%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+14.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 4.51.95+14.1%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 4.51.95+14.1%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Bet365under 4.51.91+11.7%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
TalleresvBelgranoLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.17 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 2.52.35+23.8%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 2.52.35+23.8%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%- Betliveunder 4.51.85+10.1%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 4.51.85+10.1%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 4.51.80+7.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Bahamasv
US Virgin IslandsCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.08 units
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +108.0%- BetMGM UKover 2.52.08+4.1%11.4%won +1.08first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
Puerto Ricov
Cayman IslandsCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.00+19.4%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 7.52.00+19.4%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Argentinos JuniorsvTigreLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.14 units
Cards · away team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → +1.12 · ROI +111.8%- Liderbetunder 2.52.45+35.4%13.3%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Superbetunder 2.52.07+14.4%8.9%won +1.07first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Betliveunder 2.52.05+13.3%13.3%won +1.05first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Kambiunder 2.52.02+11.7%9.7%won +1.02first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetunder 2.52.00+10.5%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Liderbetunder 11.52.05+5.3%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 11.52.00+2.7%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Costa Ricav
HaitiCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.52.20+12.6%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 3.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- BetMGM UKover 1.52.06+5.4%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.06 → last pre-kickoff 2.06
Estudiantes de Río CuartovRacing ClubLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.13 units
Cards · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +86.7%- Superbetunder 2.51.95+11.6%8.1%won +0.95first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+5.9%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 2.51.80+3.0%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.10+22.3%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 11.52.10+22.3%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 12.51.92+32.6%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Board record · all time
settled positions2,1589 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,093 / 1,065positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+75.98units, one a position
measured ROI+3.5%2,158 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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