Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Tue, 6 Oct 2026 · 65 positions on 20 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions641 awaiting a result
won / lost33 / 31positions won / lost
avg odds2.06mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+2.64units, one a position
ROI, the day+4.1%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 20 of 20 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
South Koreav
UzbekistanInternational Friendly Games2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.68 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.88−0.8%7.8%won +0.88first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetunder 11.51.80−5.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 11.51.80−5.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Kazakhstanv
Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.14 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.30+56.7%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 4.52.30+56.7%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 4.52.20+49.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Bet365under 4.52.10+43.0%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 4.52.10+43.0%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 4.51.86+26.7%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.79 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
Algeriav
NigerInternational Friendly Games1 position · awaiting result
Corners · away team · over
awaiting result- BetMGM UKover 2.52.02+5.8%—awaiting result
- Kambiover 2.52.02+5.8%—awaiting result
Estoniav
IcelandUEFA Nations League4 positions · 4 of 4 won · +3.77 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +86.7%- Crocobetunder 2.51.90−3.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 2.51.85−6.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 2.51.85−6.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 3.51.85+13.9%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Liderbetunder 11.51.95+1.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Offsides · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.10+32.2%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 1.52.10+32.2%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Luxembourgv
BulgariaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.10 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Betliveunder 2.51.90−0.0%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.07+32.1%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Bet365under 4.52.00+27.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 4.52.00+27.6%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+24.4%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 4.51.90+21.2%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.00+27.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 6.52.00+27.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 6.52.00+27.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 1.52.35+37.3%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+34.4%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+25.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Albaniav
San MarinoUEFA Nations League7 positions · 3 of 7 won · −1.06 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.88+23.1%7.8%won +0.88first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 7.51.97+10.9%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.76 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Betliveunder 7.51.95+9.8%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 7.51.95+9.8%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 7.51.95+9.8%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- BetMGM UKunder 7.51.89+6.4%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.66 → last pre-kickoff 1.89
- Kambiunder 7.51.89+6.4%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.68 → last pre-kickoff 1.89
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 13.52.10+48.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 13.52.10+48.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 13.52.10+48.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 3.52.10+10.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 3.52.10+10.7%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 3.52.05+8.0%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 10.52.20+15.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 10.52.15+12.6%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 10.52.10+10.0%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.3%- Crocobetunder 1.51.95+7.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 1.51.95+7.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 1.51.90+5.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Shots on target · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.13 · ROI +113.3%- Betliveover 9.52.20+12.0%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetover 9.52.20+12.0%12.1%won +1.20first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetover 9.52.00+1.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Switzerlandv
North MacedoniaUEFA Nations League7 positions · 4 of 7 won · +1.11 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.95+2.5%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.20+11.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Kambiunder 6.52.17+10.4%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Superbetunder 6.52.17+10.4%7.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Betliveunder 6.52.15+9.4%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Bet365under 6.52.00+1.7%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 6.52.00+1.7%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.30+75.4%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 12.52.15+64.0%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 13.51.80+49.9%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 3.52.10+20.8%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 3.52.10+20.8%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 3.51.90+9.3%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.3%- Crocobetunder 10.51.95+8.7%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 10.51.95+8.7%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 10.51.90+5.9%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.28 avg → +1.28 · ROI +128.3%- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+22.3%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 1.52.30+22.3%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 1.52.25+19.7%12.0%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetunder 7.51.95+15.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Belarusv
FinlandUEFA Nations League5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.11 units
Corners · home team · under
7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → +1.06 · ROI +106.0%- Bet365under 3.52.20+39.0%7.4%won +1.20first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 3.52.20+39.0%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 3.52.17+37.1%8.2%won +1.17first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Betliveunder 3.52.05+29.5%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 3.52.05+29.5%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- BetMGM UKunder 3.51.88+18.8%10.0%won +0.88first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Kambiunder 3.51.87+18.1%10.0%won +0.87first captured 1.81 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +108.3%- Liderbetunder 12.52.15+24.5%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 12.52.10+21.6%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 12.52.00+15.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → +1.12 · ROI +111.7%- Betliveunder 7.52.15+20.4%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+17.6%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.10+17.6%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.85+20.2%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 6.51.85+20.2%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 5.51.90−2.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Scotlandv
SloveniaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.69 units
Corners · home team · under
7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.46 avg → +1.46 · ROI +146.5%- Liderbetunder 4.52.80+59.8%12.1%won +1.80first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Betliveunder 4.52.75+56.9%11.5%won +1.75first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 4.52.65+51.2%11.8%won +1.65first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Paddy Powerunder 4.52.38+35.5%8.8%won +1.38first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- Superbetunder 4.52.27+29.5%6.9%won +1.27first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.23+27.2%9.8%won +1.23first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.23
- Kambiunder 4.52.18+24.4%10.0%won +1.18first captured 2.18 → last pre-kickoff 2.18
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 12.52.40+37.3%13.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Crocobetunder 12.52.30+31.6%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 12.52.20+25.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 12.52.02+15.6%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.25+32.0%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 6.52.05+20.2%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 6.52.00+17.3%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.42 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.80+56.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Liderbetunder 7.52.25+56.6%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 7.52.20+53.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+3.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Englandv
CzechiaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 0 of 5 won · −5.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 11.52.00+45.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 11.52.00+45.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 11.51.95+42.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 12.51.95+57.6%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 9.52.35+30.8%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 9.52.30+28.1%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Superbetunder 9.51.90+5.8%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.88 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 10.51.85+24.3%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.15+10.9%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 9.51.90−0.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetover 9.51.90−0.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Superbetover 9.51.88−1.2%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Betliveover 9.51.85−2.8%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 7.52.15+15.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Croatiav
SpainUEFA Nations League4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +1.85 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.98 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 9.52.00+5.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 9.52.00+5.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 9.51.95+2.5%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 9.51.95+2.5%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveunder 8.52.00+24.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 8.51.95+21.4%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 8.51.90+18.3%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Superbetunder 4.52.00+32.5%8.1%won +1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Saves · match total · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Betliveunder 6.51.90+6.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 6.51.90+6.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 6.51.90+6.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Moldovav
SlovakiaUEFA Nations League3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +2.72 units
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.3%- Crocobetunder 8.51.90+6.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 8.51.90+6.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 8.51.85+3.4%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.7%- Crocobetunder 5.51.95+25.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 5.51.95+25.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 5.51.85+19.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.5%- Betliveover 2.51.95+4.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 2.51.90+1.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Angolav
MalawiAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.41 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKunder 5.52.14+34.5%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Kambiunder 5.52.14+34.5%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.14 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Superbetunder 5.52.07+30.1%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Betliveunder 5.52.05+28.8%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 5.52.05+28.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 5.51.95+22.5%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.41 avg → +1.41 · ROI +141.0%- Bet365over 0.52.50+33.0%6.7%won +1.50first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- BetMGM UKover 0.52.32+23.4%8.9%won +1.32first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.32
Montserratv
Turks and Caicos IslandsCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.34 units
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.34 avg → +1.34 · ROI +133.8%- Bet365over 0.52.38+27.4%7.3%won +1.38first captured 3.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- BetMGM UKover 0.52.30+23.4%11.5%won +1.30first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Saint Vincent and the Grenadinesv
Sint MaartenCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.00+4.8%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Argentinav
BeninInternational Friendly Games2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.45 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 11.52.25+53.0%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 11.52.00+36.0%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 11.52.00+36.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Liderbetover 4.52.55+40.4%11.7%won +1.55first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Betliveover 4.52.45+34.9%13.8%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Crocobetover 4.52.35+29.3%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Colombiav
PeruInternational Friendly Games3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.19 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → +0.99 · ROI +99.3%- Superbetunder 1.52.07+19.4%8.5%won +1.07first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Kambiunder 1.51.96+13.1%9.2%won +0.96first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.96
- Liderbetunder 1.51.95+12.5%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.50 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Betliveunder 13.52.45+51.4%13.8%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Crocobetunder 14.51.95+36.4%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 0.52.20+10.3%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
USAv
CanadaInternational Friendly Games2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.00+9.7%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.76 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+1.5%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 1.51.85+1.5%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 1.51.80−1.3%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 11.52.25+20.5%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 12.51.80+13.5%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Chicago FirevVancouver WhitecapsMLS4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.08 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 6.51.95+8.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 6.51.95+8.1%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 3.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 2.53.25+68.5%5.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 3.25
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.7%- Liderbetover 3.52.05+15.3%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Betliveover 3.51.85+4.1%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetover 3.51.85+4.1%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 9.51.87+5.1%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Crocobetover 9.51.80+1.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Mexicov
ChileInternational Friendly Games2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.08 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.22+35.5%9.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.22
- Liderbetunder 1.52.10+28.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 1.51.80+9.8%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.5%- Crocobetunder 12.51.95+8.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 12.51.90+5.7%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Board record · all time
settled positions2,1589 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,093 / 1,065positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+75.98units, one a position
measured ROI+3.5%2,158 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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