Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Thu, 1 Oct 2026 · 50 positions on 16 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions464 awaiting a result
won / lost26 / 20positions won / lost
avg odds2.10mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+8.51units, one a position
ROI, the day+18.5%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 16 of 16 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
Panamav
New ZealandInternational Friendly Games1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.13 units
Corners · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.13 · ROI +113.5%- Liderbetunder 4.52.20+20.9%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 4.52.07+13.7%7.8%won +1.07first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
Uzbekistanv
SyriaInternational Friendly Games5 positions · 1 of 1 won · 4 awaiting result · +0.93 units
Cards · match total · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 2.51.90+20.9%—awaiting result
Cards · away team · over
awaiting result- Liderbetover 1.52.15+20.1%—awaiting result
- Betliveover 1.52.10+17.3%—awaiting result
Corners · match total · over
awaiting result- Bet365over 8.51.91+1.5%—awaiting result
Corners · home team · under
awaiting result- Betliveunder 5.51.85+2.0%—awaiting result
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.5%- Bet365over 0.52.00+12.3%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- BetMGM UKover 0.51.85+3.9%9.3%won +0.85first captured 1.98 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Guineav
KenyaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.50 units
Cards · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.45+35.1%13.8%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Superbetunder 1.52.25+24.1%10.2%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+21.3%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Corners · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Superbetunder 7.52.25+23.5%—won +1.25
- Betliveunder 7.52.15+18.1%—won +1.15
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 0.52.20+21.8%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- BetMGM UKover 0.52.20+21.8%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Azerbaijanv
LiechtensteinUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.41 units
Corners · home team · under
4 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.51 avg → +1.51 · ROI +150.6%- Liderbetunder 6.52.20+44.7%12.1%won +1.20first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- BetMGM UKunder 6.52.12+39.5%9.7%won +1.12first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Kambiunder 6.52.12+39.5%9.7%won +1.12first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Bet365under 6.52.00+31.6%7.9%won +1.00first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 5.53.15+60.3%11.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 3.15
- Superbetunder 5.53.00+52.6%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 3.00
- Crocobetunder 5.52.95+50.1%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 1.52.35+25.0%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+17.0%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+14.3%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.90+18.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Austria Wien (Women)vInter (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.02+21.2%9.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
HB Køge (Women)vServette FC Chênois FémininUEFA Women's Champions League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.15+30.7%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Maltav
GibraltarUEFA Nations League5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.08 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.34 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.60+67.1%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
- Liderbetunder 5.52.55+63.9%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Superbetunder 5.52.42+55.5%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.42
- Crocobetunder 5.52.20+41.4%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- BetMGM UKunder 5.52.14+37.5%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Kambiunder 5.52.14+37.5%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
Goal kicks · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.20+16.5%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 4.52.20+16.5%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%- Crocobetunder 9.51.90+6.5%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 9.51.85+3.7%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.10+16.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 1.52.10+16.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+9.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Greecev
NetherlandsUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.11 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 8 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 3.52.20+55.8%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.20+55.8%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 3.52.13+50.8%8.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.13
- Betliveunder 3.52.05+45.2%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 3.52.02+43.0%6.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetunder 3.52.00+41.6%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- BetMGM UKunder 3.51.93+36.7%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.93
- Kambiunder 3.51.90+34.5%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.08 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.8%- Superbetunder 11.52.00+35.1%8.1%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 10.51.95+12.0%9.1%won +0.95first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 10.51.90+9.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 10.51.90+9.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.3%- Liderbetunder 5.52.04+35.5%9.3%won +1.04first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.04
- Betliveunder 5.51.95+29.6%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 5.51.95+29.6%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 6.51.87+49.2%8.1%won +0.87first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 1.52.03+19.7%9.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.03
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+18.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 1.51.95+15.0%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Israelv
KosovoUEFA Nations League3 positions · 0 of 3 won · −3.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 3.52.05+40.0%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.05+40.0%8.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 3.52.03+38.6%8.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.03
- Crocobetunder 3.52.00+36.6%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetunder 3.52.00+36.6%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.32 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 3.51.98+35.2%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.98
- Bet365under 3.51.91+30.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.36 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.75+88.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 6.52.20+79.0%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 6.52.13+73.3%9.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.13
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.52.00+6.8%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Irelandv
AustriaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.54 units
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.15+42.2%9.0%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 3.52.05+35.5%8.3%won +1.05first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 3.52.05+35.5%7.6%won +1.05first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Bet365under 3.52.00+32.2%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 3.51.95+28.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 3.51.95+28.9%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 13.52.25+34.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.61 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Betliveunder 13.52.15+28.3%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 12.52.00+0.6%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.52 avg → +1.52 · ROI +151.7%- Liderbetunder 5.52.65+60.9%10.2%won +1.65first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Betliveunder 5.52.45+48.8%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Crocobetunder 5.52.45+48.8%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 5.51.85−0.1%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Denmarkv
PortugalUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.43 units
Corners · home team · under
8 of 8 books won · 1 unit @ 2.42 avg → +1.42 · ROI +141.6%- Liderbetunder 3.52.85+65.6%9.2%won +1.85first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
- Betliveunder 3.52.60+51.1%12.0%won +1.60first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.55+48.1%8.2%won +1.55first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Superbetunder 3.52.50+45.3%6.7%won +1.50first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetunder 3.52.45+42.3%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- BetMGM UKunder 3.52.14+24.3%10.0%won +1.14first captured 1.98 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Kambiunder 3.52.14+24.3%10.0%won +1.14first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Bet365under 3.52.10+22.0%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 10.52.65+46.0%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Liderbetunder 11.52.16+41.1%9.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.16
- Betliveunder 11.52.10+37.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 7.52.00+67.6%9.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetunder 7.51.97+65.1%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Crocobetunder 7.51.95+63.4%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 7.51.90+59.2%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Saves · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.01 avg → +1.01 · ROI +101.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.08+7.0%8.0%won +1.08first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
- Betliveover 6.52.00+2.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 6.51.95+0.3%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Germanyv
SerbiaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.93 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 6.52.22+22.7%6.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.22
- Liderbetunder 6.52.14+18.3%8.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Bet365under 6.52.10+16.1%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 6.52.05+13.3%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Kambiunder 6.51.93+6.7%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.93
- Crocobetunder 6.51.90+5.1%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- BetMGM UKunder 6.51.89+4.5%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.89
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 10.52.15+13.5%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 10.52.14+13.0%9.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.14
- Betliveunder 10.52.00+5.6%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 10.52.00+5.6%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.63 avg → +1.63 · ROI +163.3%- Crocobetunder 3.53.30+72.8%12.3%won +2.30first captured 3.30 → last pre-kickoff 3.30
- Betliveunder 4.52.45+73.9%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Liderbetunder 4.52.15+52.6%9.4%won +1.15first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Liderbetover 6.52.30+33.8%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 7.52.00+11.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Walesv
NorwayUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.91 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Superbetunder 10.52.00+17.2%8.1%won +1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +91.3%- Betliveunder 9.51.95+46.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 9.51.95+46.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 9.51.84+38.5%9.9%won +0.84first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.84
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.52.05+26.9%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 5.52.00+23.8%9.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Manchester City (Women)vReal Madrid (Women)UEFA Women's Champions League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.09 units
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → +0.91 · ROI +91.3%- Superbetunder 5.51.95+23.5%7.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.91+21.0%9.2%won +0.91first captured 1.94 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Kambiunder 5.51.91+21.0%9.2%won +0.91first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Bet365under 5.51.91+20.9%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Betliveunder 5.51.90+20.3%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+20.3%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.28 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 10.52.28+35.6%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.28 → last pre-kickoff 2.28
Curaçaov
Trinidad and TobagoCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.10+27.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 4.52.10+27.5%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Seattle Sounders FCvSporting Kansas CityMLS5 positions · 5 of 5 won · +4.85 units
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Liderbetunder 11.52.05+21.4%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 11.51.95+15.5%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 12.51.95+35.7%7.8%won +0.95first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 11.51.85+9.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +96.7%- Betliveover 2.52.10+24.6%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetover 2.52.00+18.7%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetover 2.51.80+6.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Liderbetover 6.51.95+12.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · match total · over
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.94 avg → +0.94 · ROI +93.6%- Superbetover 10.52.25+25.8%8.5%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiover 10.51.88+5.1%11.3%won +0.88first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Betliveover 10.51.85+3.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetover 10.51.85+3.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetover 10.51.85+3.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +104.5%- Superbetover 6.52.32+26.4%9.3%won +1.32first captured 2.27 → last pre-kickoff 2.32
- Betliveover 6.52.05+11.7%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetover 6.52.05+11.7%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- BetMGM UKover 6.51.95+6.2%11.2%won +0.95first captured 1.96 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 6.51.95+6.2%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiover 6.51.95+6.2%11.2%won +0.95first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Board record · all time
settled positions2,1589 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,093 / 1,065positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+75.98units, one a position
measured ROI+3.5%2,158 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.