Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Sat, 3 Oct 2026 · 59 positions on 19 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions59all with a result
won / lost36 / 23positions won / lost
avg odds2.04mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+15.06units, one a position
ROI, the day+25.5%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 19 of 19 matches
A match is included whenever the bookmaker has odds on a board position, even if that price does not pay.
Albacete BalompiévEibarLaLiga 24 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.09 units
Cards · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → +0.89 · ROI +89.3%- Superbetunder 2.51.97+30.5%8.2%won +0.97first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+29.1%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+22.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 2.51.80+19.2%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.20+34.9%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 4.52.20+34.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 4.52.20+34.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 4.52.20+34.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.03 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 4.52.15+31.9%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- BetMGM UKunder 4.51.95+19.6%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 4.51.95+19.6%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → +1.35 · ROI +134.8%- Bet365over 1.52.38+33.7%7.3%won +1.38first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- BetMGM UKover 1.52.32+30.6%9.8%won +1.32first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.32
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+2.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Finlandv
AlbaniaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.53 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 4.51.88+14.0%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Betliveunder 4.51.85+12.2%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.75+92.3%12.1%won +1.75first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 7.52.00+63.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 7.52.00+63.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Liderbetunder 7.52.30+48.5%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 7.52.20+42.1%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 6.52.85+43.6%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%- Betliveunder 1.51.85+23.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+23.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 1.51.80+19.7%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
AlmeríavBurgos Club de FútbolLaLiga 22 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.20 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiunder 5.51.91+11.4%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- Betliveunder 5.51.90+10.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+10.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.80+5.0%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Shots on target · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Crocobetover 8.51.80+1.7%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Icelandv
BulgariaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.94 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.00+2.1%8.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 2.51.85−5.6%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.51.90+23.4%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+20.1%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 5.51.85+20.1%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.78 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.83+18.8%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.93 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
- Kambiunder 5.51.83+18.8%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.83
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.51.85+0.7%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%- Crocobetunder 8.51.85+21.7%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 8.51.80+18.4%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Betliveunder 7.51.85−2.6%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.23 · ROI +123.3%- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+32.3%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 1.52.25+29.4%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+23.7%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Croatiav
EnglandUEFA Nations League3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +2.81 units
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.7%- Betliveunder 3.52.05+27.8%11.3%won +1.05first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Paddy Powerunder 3.51.95+21.5%8.4%won +0.95first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 3.51.92+19.7%7.0%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Crocobetunder 3.51.90+18.4%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 3.51.90+18.4%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Kambiunder 3.51.84+14.7%9.9%won +0.84first captured 1.94 → last pre-kickoff 1.84
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 7.51.85+5.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Liderbetunder 5.52.10+26.7%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 5.52.00+20.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+20.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Belarusv
San MarinoUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.88 units
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.0%- Betliveunder 6.51.95+14.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 6.51.95+14.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.67 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Kambiunder 6.51.93+13.0%9.6%won +0.93first captured 1.71 → last pre-kickoff 1.93
- Superbetunder 6.51.92+12.4%7.6%won +0.92first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Crocobetunder 6.51.90+11.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 10.52.00+14.1%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 10.51.95+11.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 10.51.95+11.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Saves · match total · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.95+16.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 6.51.95+16.1%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Estoniav
LuxembourgUEFA Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.08 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.19 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 3.52.30+47.9%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 3.52.25+44.7%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 3.52.20+41.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 3.52.20+41.5%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Kambiunder 3.52.02+29.9%10.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.23 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +108.3%- Betliveunder 7.52.10+71.3%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+71.3%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.05+67.2%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
CádizvLeganésLaLiga 22 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.15 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.84 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 4.51.90+5.1%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 4.51.85+2.4%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 4.51.80−0.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 4.51.80−0.4%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Offsides · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.90+30.9%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 2.51.80+24.0%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.50 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Defensa y JusticiavSan LorenzoLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 11.52.00+6.6%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Crocobetunder 2.52.00+21.9%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Canadav
PeruInternational Friendly Games4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.15 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveunder 1.51.80+9.2%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.09 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.52.15+12.5%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Betliveunder 5.52.10+9.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 5.52.10+9.9%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.28 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+4.7%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Betliveunder 13.52.10+33.4%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 13.52.00+27.1%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 8.51.95+22.4%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Switzerlandv
SloveniaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.75 units
Corners · home team · under
7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.12 avg → +1.12 · ROI +112.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.25+21.5%11.6%won +1.25first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 5.52.25+21.5%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 5.52.20+18.8%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Bet365under 5.52.10+13.4%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 5.52.07+11.8%8.2%won +1.07first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Paddy Powerunder 5.52.05+10.7%8.8%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Kambiunder 5.51.92+3.6%9.9%won +0.92first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 11.52.30+36.4%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 11.52.25+33.5%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 11.52.20+30.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.10+40.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+37.3%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+33.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → +1.13 · ROI +113.3%- Crocobetunder 8.52.20+33.7%12.1%won +1.20first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetunder 8.52.20+33.7%12.1%won +1.20first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 8.52.00+21.5%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Saves · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.85+17.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 6.51.85+17.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Spainv
CzechiaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 3 of 4 won · +2.38 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 9.52.45+27.8%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 9.52.40+25.2%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Liderbetunder 10.52.15+35.7%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Betliveunder 9.52.10+18.6%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 9.52.00+12.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 9.52.00+12.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Saves · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → +1.33 · ROI +133.3%- Betliveover 6.52.35+18.7%11.5%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetover 6.52.35+18.7%11.5%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetover 6.52.30+16.2%12.4%won +1.30first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Shots on target · home team · over
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Superbetover 8.52.10+7.1%8.2%won +1.10first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Bet365over 8.52.00+2.0%7.9%won +1.00first captured 3.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveover 8.52.00+2.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 8.52.00+2.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
North Macedoniav
ScotlandUEFA Nations League4 positions · 0 of 4 won · −4.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 12.51.87+9.2%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.78 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.10+14.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+14.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.10+14.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.90+17.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 6.51.90+17.9%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 6.51.85+14.8%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiover 2.52.28+33.3%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.49 → last pre-kickoff 2.28
- BetMGM UKover 2.52.20+28.6%13.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.56 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Atlético TucumánvBarracas CentralLiga Profesional de Fútbol2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +2.07 units
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.17 avg → +1.17 · ROI +117.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.25+30.9%12.0%won +1.25first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 4.52.25+30.9%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 4.52.20+28.0%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 4.52.15+25.1%8.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.10+22.2%9.0%won +1.10first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 4.52.07+20.5%8.9%won +1.07first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Bet365over 0.51.91+4.5%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- BetMGM UKover 0.51.89+3.4%8.5%won +0.89first captured 1.76 → last pre-kickoff 1.89
Newell's Old BoysvLanúsLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 12.51.95+11.4%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetunder 12.51.80+2.8%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Atlético MineirovRed Bull BragantinoBrasileirão Série A5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +3.15 units
Cards · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +122.3%- Betliveunder 2.52.35+53.2%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+43.5%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 2.52.12+38.2%7.8%won +1.12first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
Corners · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +89.7%- Superbetunder 5.51.92+3.3%8.3%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Bet365under 5.51.91+2.7%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.88+1.2%9.7%won +0.88first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
- Kambiunder 5.51.88+1.2%9.7%won +0.88first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Crocobetunder 12.52.20+33.8%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 13.52.00+41.2%10.6%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+9.8%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.0%- Crocobetover 9.51.95+7.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Bet365over 9.51.91+5.0%7.9%won +0.91first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Argentinav
Burkina FasoInternational Friendly Games1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.02 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +102.5%- Betliveunder 1.52.05+2.7%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+0.2%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
USAv
MexicoInternational Friendly Games5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.59 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.12+11.7%8.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Kambiunder 1.52.08+9.6%9.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.79 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +103.5%- Superbetunder 1.52.07+21.8%8.5%won +1.07first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Kambiunder 1.52.00+17.7%9.5%won +1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +119.6%- Betliveunder 3.52.30+21.7%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 3.52.20+16.4%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Superbetunder 3.52.17+14.8%8.2%won +1.17first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.17
- Kambiunder 3.52.16+14.3%8.8%won +1.16first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.16
- BetMGM UKunder 3.52.15+13.8%8.6%won +1.15first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → +1.35 · ROI +135.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.35+31.7%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 5.52.35+31.7%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.52.10+25.3%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Belizev
French GuianaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.62 units
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.63 avg → +1.62 · ROI +162.5%- Bet365over 1.52.63+53.4%7.3%won +1.62first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.63
Board record · all time
settled positions2,1589 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,093 / 1,065positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+75.98units, one a position
measured ROI+3.5%2,158 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks is public. A subscription opens upcoming match details and bookmaker prices on StatsGem VIP Picks.