Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Fri, 2 Oct 2026 · 70 positions on 22 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions70all with a result
won / lost39 / 31positions won / lost
avg odds2.10mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+9.91units, one a position
ROI, the day+14.2%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 22 of 22 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
South Koreav
VenezuelaInternational Friendly Games2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.05 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 11.52.25+17.0%13.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Throw-ins · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveover 30.51.95+2.2%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Chinav
PalestineInternational Friendly Games1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.58 units
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.58 avg → +1.58 · ROI +158.3%- Betliveunder 3.52.70+37.4%12.2%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Crocobetunder 3.52.70+37.4%14.0%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Superbetunder 3.52.35+19.6%8.3%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Kazakhstanv
MoldovaUEFA Nations League2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 3.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 3.53.70+102.9%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 4.50 → last pre-kickoff 3.70
- Betliveunder 3.53.60+97.4%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 4.35 → last pre-kickoff 3.60
- Superbetunder 3.53.35+83.7%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 3.50 → last pre-kickoff 3.35
- Crocobetunder 3.53.30+81.0%12.3%lost −1.00first captured 4.00 → last pre-kickoff 3.30
- Kambiunder 4.52.28+66.1%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.18 → last pre-kickoff 2.28
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.75+38.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Betliveunder 6.52.40+20.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Crocobetunder 6.52.30+15.9%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Latviav
MontenegroUEFA Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.32 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 3.51.91+13.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → +1.32 · ROI +131.7%- Liderbetunder 9.52.35+70.7%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Betliveunder 9.52.30+67.0%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 9.52.30+67.0%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Cyprusv
ArmeniaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 5 of 5 won · +5.05 units
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → +0.82 · ROI +81.7%- Crocobetunder 4.51.85+22.6%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Betliveunder 4.51.80+19.3%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 4.51.80+19.3%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +118.3%- Crocobetunder 11.52.45+23.0%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 12.52.10+26.1%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 12.52.00+20.1%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.75+76.0%11.5%won +1.75first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 8.52.00+51.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 8.52.00+51.9%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Liderbetunder 1.51.90+12.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Saves · match total · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.90−4.9%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
CD EldensevReal OviedoLaLiga 25 positions · 2 of 5 won · −1.25 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 2.52.05+2.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 2.52.05+2.8%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 2.51.90−4.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85−7.3%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.05+8.8%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 4.52.05+8.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.36 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Bet365under 4.52.00+6.1%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.51.98+5.0%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.98
- Superbetunder 4.51.97+4.5%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+3.5%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 13.52.05+20.0%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Saves · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetover 5.51.85−0.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Throw-ins · match total · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Crocobetover 41.51.95+4.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveover 41.51.85−1.4%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Belgiumv
TürkiyeUEFA Nations League7 positions · 3 of 7 won · −0.70 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.05+17.8%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.89 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.90+37.1%7.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Kambiunder 2.51.87+35.0%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → +0.86 · ROI +85.7%- Betliveunder 5.51.90+6.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Kambiunder 5.51.87+4.6%10.0%won +0.87first captured 1.64 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Liderbetunder 5.51.80+0.7%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 10.52.35+34.8%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 10.52.10+20.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 10.52.05+17.6%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 11.51.88+26.9%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 5.52.05+5.0%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 5.51.80−7.8%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +121.8%- Betliveunder 7.52.80+50.1%12.1%won +1.80first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Liderbetunder 8.52.05+36.7%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 8.52.02+34.7%8.0%won +1.02first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Crocobetunder 8.52.00+33.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +121.7%- Crocobetunder 1.52.30+25.0%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Liderbetunder 1.52.20+19.6%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+16.9%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Hungaryv
GeorgiaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −2.15 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Liderbetunder 2.51.85+8.5%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.67 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Paddy Powerunder 3.53.10+61.1%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 3.10 → last pre-kickoff 3.10
- Superbetunder 3.52.95+53.3%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
- Liderbetunder 3.52.80+45.5%12.6%lost −1.00first captured 3.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.80
- Betliveunder 3.52.75+42.9%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 3.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Crocobetunder 3.52.65+37.7%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 3.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Kambiunder 3.52.45+27.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Bet365under 4.52.00+40.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.52.95+65.3%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
- Betliveunder 7.52.10+46.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.10+46.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Saves · match total · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.90+6.0%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+6.0%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Bosnia & Herzegovinav
SwedenUEFA Nations League5 positions · 4 of 5 won · +4.68 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.38+29.1%8.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.38
- Kambiunder 3.52.23+21.2%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.23
- Superbetunder 3.52.20+19.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 3.52.15+16.8%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 3.52.15+16.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 3.52.10+14.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.53 avg → +1.53 · ROI +153.3%- Crocobetunder 11.52.95+99.1%12.0%won +1.95first captured 2.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.95
- Liderbetunder 12.52.35+79.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Betliveunder 12.52.30+75.1%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.45 avg → +1.45 · ROI +145.0%- Betliveunder 6.52.70+37.2%11.7%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Crocobetunder 6.52.65+34.6%11.8%won +1.65first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Liderbetunder 7.52.00+30.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → +1.22 · ROI +121.7%- Crocobetunder 6.52.45+36.3%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Betliveunder 6.52.35+30.8%12.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetunder 7.51.85+28.5%12.9%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.48 avg → +1.48 · ROI +148.3%- Liderbetunder 1.52.55+42.5%12.2%won +1.55first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Betliveunder 1.52.45+36.9%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Crocobetunder 1.52.45+36.9%12.2%won +1.45first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
Francev
ItalyUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.18 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 5.52.15+24.9%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 5.52.15+24.9%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Bet365under 5.52.10+22.0%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 5.52.07+20.3%6.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.78 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+16.2%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Paddy Powerunder 5.52.00+16.2%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 5.51.96+13.9%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.84 → last pre-kickoff 1.96
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.8%- Superbetunder 11.51.97+18.7%7.9%won +0.97first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
- Crocobetunder 11.51.95+17.5%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 11.51.90+14.5%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 11.51.85+11.5%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Betliveunder 5.51.90+26.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 5.51.90+26.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+26.6%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.15+14.1%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+11.4%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 7.52.10+11.4%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 8.51.90+25.7%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Polandv
RomaniaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.95 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.39 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.55+44.2%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Liderbetunder 4.52.55+44.2%11.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Crocobetunder 4.52.45+38.6%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Superbetunder 4.52.40+35.7%6.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Paddy Powerunder 4.52.30+30.1%8.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- BetMGM UKunder 4.52.25+27.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.48 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiunder 4.52.25+27.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.43 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Fouls · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → +1.15 · ROI +115.5%- Liderbetunder 12.52.40+42.3%13.1%won +1.40first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Crocobetunder 12.52.30+36.3%12.4%won +1.30first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Betliveunder 12.52.00+18.6%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetunder 12.51.92+13.8%7.6%won +0.92first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Superbetunder 6.51.90+19.2%7.6%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.31 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 7.52.65+46.7%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
- Betliveunder 7.52.60+43.9%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
- Superbetunder 8.52.02+38.0%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Liderbetunder 8.51.95+33.2%11.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.65 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.65+34.2%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.65
Ukrainev
Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 4.52.00+31.3%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Paddy Powerunder 4.51.95+28.1%9.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 4.51.90+24.8%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goal kicks · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 7.52.20+42.0%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 7.52.15+38.8%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 7.52.10+35.5%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Faroe Islandsv
SlovakiaUEFA Nations League2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.03 units
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → +1.03 · ROI +103.3%- Crocobetunder 6.52.10+65.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 6.52.05+61.5%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Liderbetunder 6.51.95+53.6%13.8%won +0.95first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 5.52.00+2.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
CA IndependientevInstituto De CórdobaLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.12 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.27+17.5%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.27
- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+13.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 2.52.10+8.7%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 2.52.10+8.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Kambiunder 2.51.82−5.8%18.6%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.82
Corners · home team · under
6 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +104.5%- Betliveunder 4.52.15+9.2%11.0%won +1.15first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 4.52.15+9.2%13.2%won +1.15first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 4.52.10+6.6%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Bet365under 4.52.00+1.6%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Superbetunder 4.52.00+1.6%8.1%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.51.87−5.1%9.0%won +0.87first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → +1.08 · ROI +108.3%- Betliveunder 12.52.25+17.2%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Liderbetunder 12.52.20+14.6%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 13.51.80+13.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
São PaulovSantosBrasileirão Série A6 positions · 5 of 6 won · +3.76 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +91.7%- Crocobetunder 2.51.95+20.4%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 2.51.95+20.4%6.8%won +0.95first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 2.51.85+14.2%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Corners · home team · under
0 of 6 books won · 1 unit @ 2.03 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 5.52.10+11.3%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 5.52.10+11.3%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 5.52.02+7.1%8.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Betliveunder 5.52.00+6.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 5.52.00+6.0%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.22 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- BetMGM UKunder 5.51.96+3.9%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.79 → last pre-kickoff 1.96
Fouls · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +86.7%- Superbetunder 13.52.00+52.3%8.1%won +1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 13.51.80+37.1%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 13.51.80+37.1%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Superbetunder 9.51.92+32.2%7.6%won +0.92first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Shots on target · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.05 avg → +1.05 · ROI +105.0%- Bet365over 8.52.10+14.1%7.6%won +1.10first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetover 8.52.10+14.1%12.1%won +1.10first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetover 8.51.95+6.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Liderbetover 4.52.00+5.2%12.5%won +1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Colombiav
ParaguayInternational Friendly Games5 positions · 3 of 5 won · +1.19 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.80−0.9%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → +1.04 · ROI +104.4%- Betliveunder 4.52.10+8.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 4.52.10+8.4%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 4.52.05+5.8%7.9%won +1.05first captured 2.02 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 4.52.00+3.2%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Kambiunder 4.51.97+1.7%8.9%won +0.97first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 1.97
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.05+9.2%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 12.51.85−1.4%14.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveunder 6.51.80+2.8%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goal kicks · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → +1.35 · ROI +135.0%- Betliveunder 7.52.35+38.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 7.52.35+38.0%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Martiniquev
HondurasCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.51.91+8.1%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.91 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Bonairev
GrenadaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +0.86 units
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.86 avg → +0.86 · ROI +86.0%- BetMGM UKover 1.51.86+7.6%11.2%won +0.86first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.86
Barbadosv
BermudaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 1.52.25+28.5%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.38 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- BetMGM UKover 1.51.96+12.0%11.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 1.96
Independiente RivadaviavGimnasia y EsgrimaLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.78 units
Cards · away team · under
5 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +92.8%- Kambiunder 2.52.02+33.8%9.7%won +1.02first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Betliveunder 2.51.95+29.1%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Superbetunder 2.51.92+27.2%8.3%won +0.92first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
- Liderbetunder 2.51.90+25.8%13.2%won +0.90first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 2.51.85+22.5%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Betliveunder 11.51.85−3.6%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 7.51.80−6.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetunder 7.51.80−6.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Boca JuniorsvClub Atlético Unión de Santa FeLiga Profesional de Fútbol3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.75 units
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveunder 12.51.80+8.6%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Offsides · match total · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.50 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveover 3.52.50+29.5%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetover 3.52.50+29.5%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
Shots on target · home team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Betliveover 5.51.95+20.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 5.51.95+20.3%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
El Salvadorv
JamaicaCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.07 units
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +107.0%- Bet365over 1.52.10+24.4%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- BetMGM UKover 1.52.04+20.8%11.5%won +1.04first captured 2.04 → last pre-kickoff 2.04
Board record · all time
settled positions2,5989 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,291 / 1,307positions won / lost
avg odds2.08mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+40.73units, one a position
measured ROI+1.6%2,598 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Each bookmaker and market cell is measured separately. Its own record needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive 14- and 30-day returns. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes that bookmaker's offer at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes it below +10 %. Other bookmakers on the same market can have different states. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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