Predictions
The 9 October board's current cells are replayed over results from 30 July through 9 October. Later results use each publication day's benchmark snapshot. Cards show where badagbet's walk-forward number disagrees with bookmaker prices. One card per match, one row per position, with the latest current offer or last pre-kickoff price — green while it pays, red once it does not.
Tue, 29 Sept 2026 · 80 positions on 30 matches across 8 bookmakers
How this board differs from Telegram
This board is one kickoff day (UTC−6), and green means the model still has any edge at a book's own line. The StatsGem Free Picks bot answers /picks for the next 7 days, one section per kickoff day, and calls a position paying only at breakeven +10 %, so the two lists differ by design.
That day
settled positions80all with a result
won / lost44 / 36positions won / lost
avg odds2.10mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+11.27units, one a position
ROI, the day+14.1%profit ÷ staked
One flat unit per cell and fixture, priced at each book's last pre-kickoff offer. EV and margin use the walk-forward model number for that line.
Showing 30 of 30 matches
A match stays visible when at least one position matches the selected filters.
Comorosv
NamibiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.53 units
Cards · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.52 avg → +1.53 · ROI +152.5%- Betliveunder 1.52.70+58.1%14.0%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Crocobetunder 1.52.35+37.6%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Corners · home team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 4.51.95+27.7%13.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 4.51.90+24.4%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Mozambiquev
SudanAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.4 positions · 2 of 4 won · −0.27 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.51.80+23.6%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.08 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 1.52.10+12.2%14.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Betliveunder 1.52.05+9.6%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Corners · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveunder 4.51.80+6.5%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetunder 4.51.80+6.5%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.93 avg → +0.93 · ROI +93.0%- BetMGM UKover 0.51.93+13.4%11.3%won +0.93first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 1.93
South Sudanv
EgyptAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.30 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.30 avg → +1.30 · ROI +130.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.50+28.2%14.1%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetunder 1.52.35+20.5%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Liderbetunder 1.52.05+5.1%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Lesothov
MoroccoAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 1 of 2 won · +0.68 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.68 avg → +1.68 · ROI +168.3%- Liderbetunder 1.52.75+40.6%12.7%won +1.75first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Betliveunder 1.52.70+38.0%14.0%won +1.70first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Crocobetunder 1.52.60+32.9%13.7%won +1.60first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKover 3.51.95+18.4%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Ethiopiav
SenegalAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.07 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → +1.07 · ROI +106.7%- Betliveunder 1.52.10+21.2%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 1.52.10+21.2%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 1.52.00+15.4%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Burundiv
AlgeriaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.23 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.23 avg → +1.23 · ROI +123.3%- Betliveunder 1.52.25+20.1%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 1.52.25+20.1%10.2%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+17.4%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Madagascarv
TanzaniaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.90+13.6%9.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Cards · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.25+21.7%10.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Ghanav
GambiaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −1.90 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.04 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.07+34.3%9.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Betliveunder 1.52.05+33.0%13.3%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+29.8%14.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.35 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.35+30.3%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 1.52.35+30.3%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Corners · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.39 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.45+34.7%11.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.45
- Superbetunder 4.52.37+30.3%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.37 → last pre-kickoff 2.37
- Crocobetunder 4.52.35+29.2%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Goals · away team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.10 avg → +1.10 · ROI +110.0%- Bet365over 0.52.10+14.8%7.6%won +1.10first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Guinea-Bissauv
NigeriaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.85+2.6%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKover 1.51.87+1.5%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Cape Verdev
RwandaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.44 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.37 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 1.52.40+30.4%13.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.44 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Betliveunder 1.52.35+27.6%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Crocobetunder 1.52.35+27.6%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Corners · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.38 avg → +1.38 · ROI +137.5%- Betliveunder 4.52.40+38.7%12.1%won +1.40first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Liderbetunder 4.52.40+38.7%13.1%won +1.40first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Crocobetunder 4.52.35+35.8%14.0%won +1.35first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Superbetunder 4.52.35+35.8%7.9%won +1.35first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → +1.06 · ROI +106.0%- BetMGM UKover 0.52.12+17.8%11.7%won +1.12first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Bet365over 0.52.00+11.2%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Zambiav
TogoAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.06 units
Cards · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.06 avg → +1.06 · ROI +105.7%- Betliveunder 1.52.10+11.2%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 1.52.07+9.6%10.0%won +1.07first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+5.9%14.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Ugandav
LibyaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.12 units
Cards · away team · under
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.42 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.50+49.7%14.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Crocobetunder 1.52.35+40.8%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
Corners · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%- Betliveunder 4.51.90+27.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 4.51.85+23.7%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Finlandv
BelarusUEFA Nations League4 positions · 1 of 4 won · −1.80 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.56 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 4.52.90+47.3%12.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.90
- Betliveunder 4.52.85+44.8%12.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
- Crocobetunder 4.52.70+37.1%12.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.70
- Superbetunder 4.52.50+27.0%8.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
- Kambiunder 5.51.84+23.7%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.84
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 6.52.25+61.0%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Betliveunder 6.52.20+57.4%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 6.52.20+57.4%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Liderbetunder 8.52.25+30.2%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 8.52.20+27.3%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 8.52.15+24.4%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Saves · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 5.51.85+7.1%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Moldovav
Faroe IslandsUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.90 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.13 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365under 3.52.20+26.4%7.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 3.52.20+26.4%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 3.52.15+23.5%11.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 3.52.15+23.5%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Kambiunder 3.52.07+18.9%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Superbetunder 3.52.07+18.9%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- BetMGM UKunder 3.52.04+17.2%9.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.04
Offsides · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +87.5%- Liderbetunder 1.51.90+1.4%13.2%won +0.90first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Crocobetunder 1.51.85−1.3%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Throw-ins · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.02 avg → +1.02 · ROI +101.7%- Betliveover 45.52.10+7.9%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetover 45.52.00+2.8%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetover 45.51.95+0.2%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Luxembourgv
IcelandUEFA Nations League2 positions · 2 of 2 won · +1.79 units
Cards · home team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.96 avg → +0.96 · ROI +96.0%- Superbetunder 2.52.07+14.9%8.5%won +1.07first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
- Liderbetunder 2.51.85+2.7%11.2%won +0.85first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.83 avg → +0.83 · ROI +83.3%- Betliveunder 7.51.85+8.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 7.51.85+8.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 7.51.80+5.1%12.7%won +0.80first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Slovakiav
KazakhstanUEFA Nations League6 positions · 3 of 6 won · −0.28 units
Cards · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.87 avg → +0.87 · ROI +87.0%- Superbetunder 2.51.87−4.1%8.1%won +0.87first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
Corners · home team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Kambiunder 6.51.91+21.4%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 1.68 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.33 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 12.52.55+32.5%11.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.55 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Liderbetunder 12.52.25+17.0%11.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 12.52.20+14.3%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Saves · match total · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetunder 6.51.85−5.7%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Shots on target · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → +0.95 · ROI +95.0%- Liderbetover 8.52.00+2.0%7.8%won +1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveover 8.51.95−0.6%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Crocobetover 8.51.90−3.1%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Betliveover 5.51.90+16.3%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Bulgariav
EstoniaUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.94 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 4.52.35+46.6%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.70 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Betliveunder 4.52.30+43.5%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 4.52.30+43.5%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.65 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Superbetunder 4.52.25+40.4%7.7%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Kambiunder 4.52.15+34.2%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.18 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Goal kicks · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +96.7%- Betliveunder 8.52.00+16.7%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 8.51.95+13.7%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Liderbetunder 8.51.95+13.7%11.9%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Offsides · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +96.7%- Crocobetunder 1.52.00+16.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 1.52.00+16.0%12.5%won +1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Betliveunder 1.51.90+10.2%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Scotlandv
SwitzerlandUEFA Nations League3 positions · 1 of 3 won · −1.03 units
Corners · home team · under
7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 1.97 avg → +0.97 · ROI +97.3%- Paddy Powerunder 3.52.05+39.6%8.8%won +1.05first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Superbetunder 3.52.02+37.5%8.0%won +1.02first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.02
- Bet365under 3.52.00+36.2%7.9%won +1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Liderbetunder 3.52.00+36.2%10.6%won +1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 3.51.95+32.8%11.9%won +0.95first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 3.51.90+29.4%13.2%won +0.90first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Kambiunder 3.51.89+28.7%9.7%won +0.89first captured 1.97 → last pre-kickoff 1.89
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 11.52.00+1.5%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.22 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 7.52.25+21.3%9.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Betliveunder 7.52.20+18.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Crocobetunder 7.52.20+18.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Czechiav
EnglandUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.06 units
Corners · home team · under
7 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +118.3%- Paddy Powerunder 2.52.25+18.5%8.1%won +1.25first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 2.52.25+18.5%6.9%won +1.25first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 2.52.20+15.9%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Kambiunder 2.52.18+14.9%10.0%won +1.18first captured 2.14 → last pre-kickoff 2.18
- Betliveunder 2.52.15+13.3%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Liderbetunder 2.52.15+13.3%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Bet365under 2.52.10+10.6%7.6%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goal kicks · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 8.51.95+16.3%8.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.92 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
- Betliveunder 8.51.85+10.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 8.51.85+10.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Liderbetunder 8.51.85+10.3%12.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%- Crocobetunder 5.51.90+9.8%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+9.8%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Superbetunder 5.51.87+8.1%8.1%won +0.87first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Betliveunder 5.51.85+7.0%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Sloveniav
North MacedoniaUEFA Nations League3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.16 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 5 books won · 1 unit @ 1.95 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKunder 5.52.08+58.9%10.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.61 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
- Kambiunder 5.52.08+58.9%10.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.08
- Liderbetunder 5.51.90+45.1%8.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 5.51.85+41.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 5.51.85+41.3%11.2%lost −1.00first captured 1.65 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → +1.24 · ROI +123.7%- Liderbetunder 5.52.26+20.0%10.0%won +1.26first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.26
- Betliveunder 5.52.25+19.5%12.0%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 5.52.20+16.8%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Offsides · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.92 avg → +0.92 · ROI +92.0%- Liderbetunder 1.51.92+15.2%9.5%won +0.92first captured 1.70 → last pre-kickoff 1.92
Spainv
CroatiaUEFA Nations League5 positions · 2 of 5 won · −0.87 units
Corners · home team · under
0 of 7 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 5.52.40+20.7%13.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Betliveunder 5.52.35+18.2%12.5%lost −1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Superbetunder 5.52.32+16.7%6.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.07 → last pre-kickoff 2.32
- Crocobetunder 5.52.20+10.6%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Kambiunder 5.52.20+10.6%10.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.16 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Paddy Powerunder 5.52.20+10.6%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Bet365under 5.52.10+5.6%7.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Goal kicks · away team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.25 avg → +1.25 · ROI +125.0%- Betliveunder 8.52.85+58.0%12.0%won +1.85first captured 2.85 → last pre-kickoff 2.85
- Crocobetunder 9.52.10+42.0%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Liderbetunder 9.52.10+42.0%12.1%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Superbetunder 10.51.95+51.7%7.8%won +0.95first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Offsides · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Liderbetunder 1.52.47+33.4%9.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.47
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+18.8%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Betliveunder 1.52.15+16.1%13.2%lost −1.00first captured 2.15 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
Shots on target · match total · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.07 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetover 9.52.07+6.8%7.8%lost −1.00first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.07
Shots on target · home team · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%- Superbetover 6.51.88+9.5%8.1%won +0.88first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
San Marinov
AlbaniaUEFA Nations League4 positions · 2 of 4 won · +0.45 units
Fouls · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.37 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 10.52.40+27.1%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.40 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Liderbetunder 10.52.40+27.1%13.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.46 → last pre-kickoff 2.40
- Crocobetunder 10.52.30+21.8%12.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
Goal kicks · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → +1.27 · ROI +126.7%- Betliveunder 9.52.75+40.0%11.5%won +1.75first captured 2.75 → last pre-kickoff 2.75
- Liderbetunder 10.52.15+34.7%13.2%won +1.15first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.15
- Crocobetunder 10.51.90+19.0%11.5%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Shots on target · match total · over
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.18 avg → +1.18 · ROI +118.3%- Betliveover 8.52.30+28.8%12.4%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetover 8.52.20+23.2%12.1%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Liderbetover 8.52.05+14.8%11.3%won +1.05first captured 2.36 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
Shots on target · home team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 3.38 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Crocobetover 1.53.70+124.1%11.8%lost −1.00first captured 3.70 → last pre-kickoff 3.70
- Liderbetover 1.53.05+84.7%12.1%lost −1.00first captured 3.75 → last pre-kickoff 3.05
Congo Republicv
CameroonAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 0 of 2 won · −2.00 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 1.82 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.51.87+14.5%9.0%lost −1.00first captured 1.87 → last pre-kickoff 1.87
- Betliveunder 1.51.80+10.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Crocobetunder 1.51.80+10.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
- Liderbetunder 1.51.80+10.2%12.7%lost −1.00first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Goals · away team · over
0 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKover 1.51.88+3.1%11.3%lost −1.00first captured 1.68 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Gabonv
NigerAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +1.35 units
Cards · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.80 avg → +0.80 · ROI +80.0%- Betliveunder 1.51.80+6.4%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.55 avg → +1.55 · ROI +155.0%- Betliveunder 4.52.60+32.1%12.0%won +1.60first captured 2.60 → last pre-kickoff 2.60
- Superbetunder 4.52.55+29.6%8.2%won +1.55first captured 2.45 → last pre-kickoff 2.55
- Crocobetunder 4.52.50+27.0%14.1%won +1.50first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.50
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 1.91 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Bet365over 0.51.91+11.1%7.9%lost −1.00first captured 1.83 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
- BetMGM UKover 0.51.90+10.5%11.5%lost −1.00first captured 1.86 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Beninv
MauritaniaAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.3 positions · 3 of 3 won · +3.52 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.11 avg → +1.11 · ROI +110.7%- Superbetunder 1.52.12+32.7%10.1%won +1.12first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Betliveunder 1.52.10+31.4%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- Crocobetunder 1.52.10+31.4%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Cards · away team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.20 avg → +1.20 · ROI +120.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.25+35.7%13.4%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Superbetunder 1.52.25+35.7%10.2%won +1.25first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
- Crocobetunder 1.52.10+26.7%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.21 avg → +1.21 · ROI +120.7%- Betliveunder 3.52.30+31.4%11.5%won +1.30first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Superbetunder 3.52.22+26.8%8.3%won +1.22first captured 2.17 → last pre-kickoff 2.22
- Crocobetunder 3.52.10+20.0%14.3%won +1.10first captured 2.10 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
Liberiav
MaliAfrica Cup of Nations Qual.2 positions · 1 of 2 won · −0.15 units
Cards · home team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.28 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Betliveunder 1.52.35+23.0%14.0%lost −1.00first captured 2.35 → last pre-kickoff 2.35
- Superbetunder 1.52.30+20.4%10.6%lost −1.00first captured 2.30 → last pre-kickoff 2.30
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+15.2%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Corners · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.85 avg → +0.85 · ROI +85.0%- Superbetunder 3.51.90+8.0%7.6%won +0.90first captured 1.90 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
- Betliveunder 3.51.85+5.1%11.2%won +0.85first captured 1.85 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
- Crocobetunder 3.51.80+2.3%14.4%won +0.80first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 1.80
British Virgin Islandsv
Turks and Caicos IslandsCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 1 of 1 won · +1.32 units
Corners · match total · over
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 2.32 avg → +1.32 · ROI +132.0%- Superbetover 9.52.32+16.8%—won +1.32
USAv
ChileInternational Friendly Games3 positions · 2 of 3 won · +0.99 units
Cards · home team · under
3 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 1.99 avg → +0.99 · ROI +99.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.12+40.6%8.9%won +1.12first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Kambiunder 1.52.00+32.6%9.5%won +1.00first captured 2.05 → last pre-kickoff 2.00
- Crocobetunder 1.51.85+22.7%14.7%won +0.85first captured 1.75 → last pre-kickoff 1.85
Cards · away team · under
0 of 3 books won · 1 unit @ 2.24 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- Superbetunder 1.52.32+20.9%8.9%lost −1.00first captured 2.27 → last pre-kickoff 2.32
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+14.7%14.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Kambiunder 1.52.20+14.7%9.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.25 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
Fouls · away team · under
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.0%- Liderbetunder 11.52.05+14.6%13.3%won +1.05first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 2.05
- Crocobetunder 11.51.95+9.0%13.8%won +0.95first captured 1.95 → last pre-kickoff 1.95
Mexicov
PeruInternational Friendly Games4 positions · 4 of 4 won · +3.93 units
Cards · home team · under
4 of 4 books won · 1 unit @ 2.15 avg → +1.15 · ROI +114.8%- Superbetunder 1.52.37+40.6%9.3%won +1.37first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.37
- Crocobetunder 1.52.20+30.5%14.4%won +1.20first captured 2.20 → last pre-kickoff 2.20
- Kambiunder 1.52.12+25.7%9.3%won +1.12first captured 2.12 → last pre-kickoff 2.12
- Liderbetunder 1.51.90+12.7%13.2%won +0.90first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Corners · home team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.88 avg → +0.88 · ROI +88.0%- Superbetunder 5.51.88−2.6%8.1%won +0.88first captured 1.82 → last pre-kickoff 1.88
Fouls · away team · under
1 of 1 books won · 1 unit @ 1.90 avg → +0.90 · ROI +90.0%- Liderbetunder 13.51.90+22.2%13.2%won +0.90first captured 2.00 → last pre-kickoff 1.90
Goals · away team · over
2 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.00 avg → +1.00 · ROI +100.5%- Bet365over 0.52.10+6.1%7.6%won +1.10first captured 1.80 → last pre-kickoff 2.10
- BetMGM UKover 0.51.91−3.5%8.5%won +0.91first captured 1.73 → last pre-kickoff 1.91
Belizev
Saint Vincent and the GrenadinesCONCACAF Nations League1 position · 0 of 1 won · −1.00 units
Goals · away team · over
0 of 2 books won · 1 unit @ 2.27 avg → −1.00 · ROI −100.0%- BetMGM UKover 1.52.28+27.9%11.4%lost −1.00first captured 2.28 → last pre-kickoff 2.28
- Bet365over 1.52.25+26.2%8.1%lost −1.00first captured 2.50 → last pre-kickoff 2.25
Board record · all time
settled positions2,3019 October cells through 9 October; daily snapshots after
won / lost1,159 / 1,142positions won / lost
avg odds2.07mean last pre-kickoff odds
profit+65.03units, one a position
measured ROI+2.8%2,301 settled positions in the board record · the calculator's r
How to read a card
- A card is a match, and it opens. The header carries the competition's badge and both crests — a national team shows its flag where a club wears a crest — beside the match's own record, so a closed board reads as a list of matches. Open one for every position on it and every book pricing it. Upcoming matches on StatsGem VIP Picks without a subscription show counts only: completed historical reads remain open, while upcoming prices and positions require access.
- A position is one market opinion — shots over the match total, corners under the away team, and so on. A match appears once per position.
- Every book that prices it is listed, each with its own line. Books sit on different rungs of the same ladder, so the line beside a book is the one that book is actually quoting. A book quoting more than one rung opens: its name is the control, and the whole ladder is inside — every threshold that book prices, each with its own price, EV, margin and verdict, and the rung the row above is showing marked. A book with a single price has nothing to open and stays flat.
- Green pays, red does not. A price is green while the model's number times that price is still above one; it turns red when the book shortens, when the price stops paying for the model's number, or when the model changes its mind. Historical rows show the last pre-kickoff offer; on a played day the row also shows the result at that line.
- EV is the model's claim, margin is the book's cut. EV is the model's probability times the price minus one — what a unit at that price is expected to return by the model's numbers. Margin is the book's overround on the market the price came from, because the same EV is a different offer at a 2 % cut and at a 9 % one.
- The historical replay starts on 30 July. Through 9 October, results use the cells on that day's StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks boards, applied to earlier fixtures; this does not claim those cells were published on each past date. From 10 October onward, completed results follow each date's benchmark snapshot. Rows reconstructed after kickoff remain included without a separate label. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
StatsGem Free Picks and StatsGem VIP Picks
Board membership follows one daily gate pipeline. A cell needs at least 30 settled matches, positive full-record return, a positive newest 30 %, and positive own-match returns over 14 and 30 days. Once every gate clears,StatsGem VIP Picks takes cells at +10 % or better; StatsGem Free Picks takes positive cells below +10 %. Candidates and failing cells remain visible on Benchmarks but are not on either board. The 9 October board cells are applied to results from 30 July through 9 October. Later completed results use the benchmark snapshot for their date. Upcoming positions continue to use the current publishing rule.
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