Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

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Board

Matches

24 matches

06:00Real Sociedad BvGranadaLaLiga 25 won / 0 lost · +5.27u · 5 picks

Cards · Granada total

Open match →FreeWon

under 2.5Actual: 2+1.02u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.024 Oct, 05:11

Closing odds—

Closing comparison in pick details

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Load bookmaker comparisons and the recommendation record.

Matches

Cards · Granada total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Real Sociedad B total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Granada total

Cards · Azerbaijan total

Cards · Lithuania total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Azerbaijan total

Offsides · Lithuania total

Saves · Azerbaijan total

Shots · Azerbaijan total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Azerbaijan total

Cards · match total

Corners · match total

Corners · Kyrgyzstan total

Corners · Lebanon total

Saves · match total

Shots on target · Sporting Gijón total

Shots on target · Celta Vigo B total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Sporting Gijón total

Throw-ins · Celta Vigo B total

Cards · match total

Corners · Andorra total

Fouls · Malta total

Fouls · Andorra total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Andorra total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Malta total

Shots on target · Andorra total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Malta total

Throw-ins · Andorra total

Corners · Austria total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Kosovo total

Fouls · Austria total

Goal kicks · Kosovo total

Throw-ins · match total

Corners · match total

Offsides · match total

Offsides · Las Palmas total

Offsides · Real Valladolid total

Throw-ins · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Saves · match total

Shots · CD Castellón total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · CD Castellón total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · CD Castellón total

Throw-ins · AD Ceuta total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Huracán total

Offsides · Aldosivi total

Cards · Mali total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Mali total

Offsides · Morocco total

Shots · Morocco total

Shots on target · Mali total

Cards · South Africa total

Goal kicks · match total

Offsides · Egypt total

Shots on target · match total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · South Africa total

Cards · match total

Cards · Portugal total

Corners · match total

Corners · Portugal total

Corners · Norway total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Portugal total

Offsides · match total

Saves · Norway total