Morocco vs Mali 1-1 — International Friendly Games

International Friendly GamesInt. Friendly Games 2026

Morocco

1–1

HT 1–0

Mali

Sun 4 Oct·12:00·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

5Corners3
1Cards5
11Shots11
4Shots on target3
4Fouls24
24Throw-ins14
0Offsides2
7Goal kicks7
2Saves3
11Tackles16
6Interceptions13
9Dribbles6

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

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Board

Matches

1 match

12:00

Moroccov

MaliInternational Friendly Games1 won / 5 lost · −3.75u · 6 picks

Cards · Mali total

Open match →FreeWon

over 1.5Actual: 5+1.25u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.254 Oct, 11:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 1.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 1.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.6%EV+4.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:08: over 1.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 24.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.104 Oct, 11:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:08: under 24.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Mali total

Open match →FreeLost

under 12.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.254 Oct, 11:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 12.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:08: under 12.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Offsides · Morocco total

Open match →FreeLost

over 1.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 11:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 1.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:08: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Morocco total

Open match →FreeLost

over 13.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.254 Oct, 11:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Archived model estimate: 53.4%
Minimum odds from archived estimate: 1.88
EV from archived model estimate: +20.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Archived model estimate 53.4% · Minimum odds from archived estimate 1.88. EV from archived model estimate: +20.1%.

Original odds and result stay fixed. The model estimate was saved 4 Oct, 03:31 before the announcement.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceArchived model estimateover 13.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.4%EV+20.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:08: over 13.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Mali total

Open match →FreeLost

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.104 Oct, 11:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:08: under 2.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−62.5%ROI · 6 units staked

Profit−3.75units

W / L1 / 5picks

Avg odds2.16settled picks

Recorded picks61 matches

Around this match

CompetitionInternational Friendly Games Home teamMorocco Away teamMali

Previous meetings

Fri 26 DecMorocco 1-1 Mali