Malta vs Andorra 1-0 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Malta

1–0

HT 0–0

Andorra

Sun 4 Oct·10:00·Matchday 4·National Stadium Ta' Qali·Malta won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners5
2Cards3
12Shots12
6Shots on target3
14Fouls16
16Throw-ins15
1Offsides1
5Goal kicks10
3Saves5
17Tackles22
8Interceptions5
8Dribbles11

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

10:00

Maltav

AndorraUEFA Nations League5 won / 7 lost · −0.42u · 12 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.254 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 5.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV+9.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV-3.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV-1.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 5.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 5+0.83u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.834 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365Original model estimate unavailableover 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 2.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 2.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableover 2.5
At recommendation1.79
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-7.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.77
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.3%EV-0.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 2.5 at 1.83 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Malta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 13.5Actual: 14+1.95u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.954 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 13.5
At recommendation2.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 13.5 at 2.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 16+1.30u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.304 Oct, 09:19

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:19: under 17.5 at 2.30 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 14.5Actual: 15+0.85u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.854 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 14.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance35.6%EV-35.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 14.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 10+1.65u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.654 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 9.5
At recommendation2.65
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 9.5 at 2.65 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.304 Oct, 09:19

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 7.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 7.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 7.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:19: under 7.5 at 2.30 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Malta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.804 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: under 2.5 at 2.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 47.5Actual: 31−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.404 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 47.5
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 47.5 at 2.40 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Malta total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 24.5Actual: 16−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 24.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 24.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 24.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 24.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Andorra total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 21.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 09:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 21.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 21.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 09:08: over 21.5 at 2.00 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−3.5%ROI · 12 units staked

Profit−0.42units

W / L5 / 7picks

Avg odds2.28settled picks

Recorded picks121 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamMalta Away teamAndorra RefereeMikkel Redder

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Corners · Andorra total

Fouls · Malta total

Fouls · Andorra total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Andorra total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Malta total

Shots on target · Andorra total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Malta total

Throw-ins · Andorra total

This match

Around this match

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