Talleres vs Belgrano 0-1 — Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Liga Profesional de FútbolPrimera LPF 2026

Talleres

0–1

HT 0–0

Belgrano

Sun 4 Oct·14:00·Matchday 11·Mario Alberto Kempes·Belgrano won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners5
3Cards3
15Shots11
6Shots on target2
12Fouls11
22Throw-ins27
2Offsides0
3Goal kicks10
1Saves6
17Tackles18
7Interceptions5
6Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

14:00TalleresvBelgranoLiga Profesional de Fútbol1 won / 4 lost · −3.05u · 5 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.504 Oct, 13:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 5.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 13:08: under 5.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Cards · Talleres total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.354 Oct, 13:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 2.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.7%EV-13.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 13:08: under 2.5 at 2.35 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 8.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 13:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 8.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 8.5
At recommendation1.94
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 8.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.5%EV+9.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.5%EV+9.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.5%EV+9.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 13:08: under 8.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · Talleres total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 12+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.954 Oct, 13:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 11.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 11.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.8%EV+6.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 13:08: over 11.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Talleres total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 13.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.104 Oct, 13:19

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 13.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.0%EV+10.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 13:19: under 13.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−61.0%ROI · 5 units staked

Profit−3.05units

W / L1 / 4picks

Avg odds2.18settled picks

Recorded picks51 matches

Around this match

CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol Home teamTalleres Away teamBelgrano RefereeFacundo Raul Tello Figueroa

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Cards · Talleres total

Corners · match total

Fouls · Talleres total

Shots · Talleres total

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