Ireland vs Israel 1-1 — UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League 26/27

Ireland

1–1

HT 1–0

Israel

Sun 4 Oct·12:45·Matchday 4·Neutral venue·Gradski Stadion·Drawn

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners3
1Cards3
16Shots10
4Shots on target2
13Fouls15
24Throw-ins12
1Offsides2
7Goal kicks6
1Saves3
11Tackles11
4Interceptions11
5Dribbles1

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

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0Free available0VIP available6Recorded Free3Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45

Irelandv

IsraelUEFA Nations League2 won / 7 lost · −5.00u · 9 picks

Corners · Israel total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 11:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.7%EV-19.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.7%EV-24.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.7%EV-19.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.7%EV-19.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.7%EV-18.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance44.7%EV-15.1%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 24.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.924 Oct, 11:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 24.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV-5.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV+0.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 24.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance59.0%EV-5.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: under 24.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 13−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.154 Oct, 11:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.5
At recommendation2.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.5
At recommendation2.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 15.5
At recommendation3.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 15.5 at 3.15 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Goal kicks · Israel total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 7.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.104 Oct, 11:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 7.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 7.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 23.5Actual: 26+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 04:38

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Archived model estimate: 50.7%
Minimum odds from archived estimate: 1.98
EV from archived model estimate: +1.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Archived model estimate 50.7% · Minimum odds from archived estimate 1.98. EV from archived model estimate: +1.4%.

Original odds and result stay fixed. The model estimate was saved 4 Oct, 04:10 before the announcement.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceArchived model estimateover 23.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV+1.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveOriginal model estimate unavailableover 23.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableover 23.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetArchived model estimateover 23.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.7%EV-3.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.6%EV-18.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 04:38: over 23.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots · Israel total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.304 Oct, 04:38

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveArchived model estimateover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+3.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetArchived model estimateover 10.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+0.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetArchived model estimateover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+3.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 10.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 04:38: over 10.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Shots on target · Ireland total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 4+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.004 Oct, 11:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.1%EV+7.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.1%EV+7.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.1%EV+4.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Ireland total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.054 Oct, 04:38

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetOriginal model estimate unavailableunder 17.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 04:38: under 17.5 at 2.05 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Throw-ins · Israel total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.454 Oct, 11:49

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: —
Break-even odds: —
Expected value at recommendation: —

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

The original model estimate was not retained. The result uses the recorded line and odds.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceOriginal model estimate unavailableover 16.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 4 Oct, 11:49: over 16.5 at 2.45 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−55.6%ROI · 9 units staked

Profit−5.00units

W / L2 / 7picks

Avg odds2.22settled picks

Recorded picks91 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Nations League Home teamIreland Away teamIsrael RefereeJuan Martinez Munuera

Previous meetings

Sun 27 SepIsrael 0-3 Ireland

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Israel total

Fouls · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Israel total

Shots · match total

Shots · Israel total

Shots on target · Ireland total

Throw-ins · Ireland total

Throw-ins · Israel total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

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