Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

PredictionsPredictions Player propsProps FantasyFantasy BenchmarksBenchmarks

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28 picks shown with Paddy Power prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

14 matches

10:45RC LensvSportingUEFA Champions League1 won / 0 lost · +1.25u · 1 pick

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 9.5Actual: 9+1.25u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2512 Oct, 06:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+16.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-1.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-4.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-4.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-1.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-4.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV+0.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.6%EV-0.9%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:06: under 9.5 at 2.25 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

10:45Sabah FKvSK Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League1 won / 0 lost · +0.90u · 1 pick

Corners · Sabah FK total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 3+0.90u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9011 Oct, 11:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.3%EV+14.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-1.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-2.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-0.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-8.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-2.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.9%EV-2.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 11:03: under 4.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:02. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45WrexhamvWest Bromwich AlbionChampionship0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.0%EV+2.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+8.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+2.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+5.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.66
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV-5.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+14.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.92
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+9.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 3.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 9.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1212 Oct, 06:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +6.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.4%EV+6.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+3.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-1.4%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-1.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-1.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV-0.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.9%EV+3.8%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:06: under 9.5 at 2.12 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 09:06. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45Bristol CityvBlackburn RoversChampionship1 won / 1 lost · −0.09u · 2 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+18.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+6.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+6.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+24.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+19.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →VIPWon

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.91u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9113 Oct, 12:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 38 settled picksand +12.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+1.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+1.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-2.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.76
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-6.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 12:30: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:42. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45WolverhamptonvBolton WanderersChampionship2 won / 0 lost · +1.92u · 2 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 10.5Actual: 12+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0011 Oct, 06:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.6%EV+15.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.2%EV+1.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV-0.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV-0.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV-0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+9.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:36: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Bolton Wanderers total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 3+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9212 Oct, 23:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+0.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-3.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-6.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-2.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-5.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-6.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-5.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-2.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 23:03: under 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45MillwallvSwansea CityChampionship1 won / 1 lost · +0.00u · 2 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPLost

under 9.5Actual: 14−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1513 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 41 settled picksand +10.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.4%EV+10.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+2.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+2.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+2.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+7.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV+7.9%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 9.5 at 2.15 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Swansea City total

Open match →FreeWon

under 4.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0012 Oct, 04:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.5%EV+2.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.4%EV+0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+0.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.4%EV+0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.4%EV+7.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.9%EV-1.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.9%EV+7.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 04:32: under 4.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:06. The original pick remains in the results.

12:45Cardiff CityvWatfordChampionship0 won / 1 lost · −1.00u · 1 pick

Corners · Watford total

Open match →FreeLost

over 4.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2013 Oct, 10:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+12.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+4.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+14.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+29.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-0.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV+4.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV+5.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:06: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

13:00Birmingham CityvPreston North EndChampionship0 won / 2 lost · −2.00u · 2 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.5013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.96
Expected value at recommendation: +27.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.96. Expected value at recommendation: +27.8%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.1%EV+27.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+7.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+9.7%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+12.2%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+7.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV-18.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.0%EV+14.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 3.5 at 2.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Preston North End total

Open match →VIPLost

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9113 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 35 settled picksand +17.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+6.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV+2.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV-10.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV-13.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV-4.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV+0.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.69
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.0%EV-5.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: over 3.5 at 1.91 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

13:00Viking FKvFC Bayern MünchenUEFA Champions League1 won / 3 lost · −2.02u · 4 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 2.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3711 Oct, 13:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +34.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +34.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.37
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.5%EV+34.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.4%EV+36.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.4%EV+36.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.4%EV+21.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.4%EV+36.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.4%EV+38.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:36: under 2.5 at 2.37 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

under 10.5Actual: 22−1.00u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2312 Oct, 06:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +23.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +23.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+23.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+4.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+2.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+2.6%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+1.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+2.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV-0.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance57.0%EV+5.5%
17 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:06: under 10.5 at 2.23 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Viking FK total

Open match →FreeLost

under 2.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.607 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +32.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +32.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation2.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+32.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.1%EV+3.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.1%EV+6.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.1%EV+1.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.1%EV+6.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.1%EV+1.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.47
No saved recommendation
Model chance46.1%EV+13.8%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 2.5 at 2.60 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.5Actual: 6+0.98u on one unit

Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.988 Oct, 11:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.80
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.98
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.7%EV+10.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.5%EV+11.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.06
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.5%EV+20.4%
30 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.5%EV+8.2%
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.5%EV+11.1%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.5%EV+8.2%
17 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.5%EV+11.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.5%EV+14.0%
24 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 8 Oct, 11:36: over 4.5 at 1.98 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 9 Oct, 02:17. The original pick remains in the results.

Result corrected: Provider full-time score differs from the originally recorded goal result.

13:00GalatasarayvBarcelonaUEFA Champions League3 won / 0 lost · +4.19u · 3 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 2.5Actual: 2+2.05u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation3.0511 Oct, 13:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +63.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +63.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
At recommendation3.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.6%EV+63.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV+55.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV+55.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV+60.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV+55.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds3.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV+60.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:03: under 2.5 at 3.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 10.5Actual: 7+1.14u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1412 Oct, 06:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +27.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +27.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation2.14
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.7%EV+27.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.0%EV+6.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.0%EV+4.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.0%EV+4.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.0%EV-1.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.0%EV-7.1%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.0%EV+0.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance58.0%EV+13.2%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:06: under 10.5 at 2.14 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Galatasaray total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 1+1.00u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +5.4%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 66 settled picksand +0.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.7%EV+5.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV-1.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.84
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV-4.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV-6.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV-4.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.84
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV-4.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV-6.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.7%EV-5.9%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: under 3.5 at 2.00 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00Atlético MadridvManchester UnitedUEFA Champions League3 won / 0 lost · +3.21u · 3 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 2+1.15u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1511 Oct, 13:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +14.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +14.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.3%EV+14.6%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.6%EV-14.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.6%EV-19.0%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.6%EV-19.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.02
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.6%EV-13.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.6%EV-19.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.6%EV-21.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:03: under 3.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPWon

under 9.5Actual: 7+0.86u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8613 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 41 settled picksand +10.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation1.86
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+0.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV-0.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV-2.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV-2.5%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV-2.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV-2.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.87
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+1.3%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: under 9.5 at 1.86 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:07. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Atlético Madrid total

Open match →FreeWon

under 5.5Actual: 2+1.20u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2011 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +34.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +34.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.0%EV+34.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.9%EV+16.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.9%EV+16.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.9%EV+16.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.93
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.9%EV+25.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.9%EV+16.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.9%EV+13.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.9%EV+18.1%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 00:06: under 5.5 at 2.20 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

13:00ArsenalvLilleUEFA Champions League1 won / 0 lost · +1.23u · 1 pick

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 9.5Actual: 7+1.23u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2312 Oct, 06:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +18.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +18.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.0%EV+18.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-7.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-10.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-10.2%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-14.3%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-10.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-11.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.3%EV-7.7%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:06: under 9.5 at 2.23 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:18. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00Stoke CityvMiddlesbroughChampionship1 won / 1 lost · −0.08u · 2 picks

Corners · Stoke City total

Open match →FreeLost

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.4813 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +28.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +28.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 77 settled picksand +6.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+26.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.48
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+28.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.47
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+27.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+26.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+24.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+39.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 5.5 at 2.48 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:10. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Middlesbrough total

Open match →FreeWon

under 5.5Actual: 3+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9213 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.59
Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 63.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 102 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.0%EV+16.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.0%EV+13.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.0%EV+20.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+17.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+15.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.77
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+13.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+12.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: under 5.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

13:00RB LeipzigvPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League1 won / 1 lost · −0.08u · 2 picks

Corners · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPWon

over 5.5Actual: 6+0.92u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9213 Oct, 04:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+1.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+2.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+3.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+3.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+6.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 04:06: over 5.5 at 1.92 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · RB Leipzig total

Open match →FreeLost

under 5.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+11.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.0%EV+15.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-20.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.0%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 5.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Selected day

Tue, 13 Oct 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

Return+17.2%ROI · 134 units staked

Profit+23.02units

W / L75 / 59picks

Avg odds2.10settled picks

Recorded picks13419 matches

All dates

Overall results

5,130 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,974 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 18 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.7%

Profit+138.37 u

W / L2,521 / 2,609

Avg odds2.12

How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.