Cardiff City vs Watford 5-1 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Cardiff City

5–1

HT 4–0

Watford

Tue 13 Oct·12:45·Matchday 10·Cardiff City Stadium·Cardiff City won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners1
1Cards · Result conflict4
22Shots14
10Shots on target4
12Fouls12
16Throw-ins20
4Offsides4
5Goal kicks6
3Saves6
9Tackles20
14Interceptions7
10Dribbles10

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45Cardiff CityvWatfordChampionship0 won / 3 lost · −3.00u · 3 picks

Corners · Cardiff City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0713 Oct, 07:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +3.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +3.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.2%EV+3.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV+0.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-4.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-7.1%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-5.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.2%EV-4.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 07:03: over 6.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:00. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Watford total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2013 Oct, 10:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.97
Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.0%EV+12.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+4.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+14.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.9%EV+29.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV-0.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV+4.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV+5.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:06: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Watford total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0212 Oct, 06:02

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +14.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 56.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +14.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.6%EV+14.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.0%EV-18.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.0%EV-8.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance39.0%EV-27.9%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 06:02: under 3.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 06:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−100.0%ROI · 3 units staked

Profit−3.00units

W / L0 / 3picks

Avg odds2.10settled picks

Recorded picks31 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamCardiff City Away teamWatford RefereeJohn Busby

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Cardiff City total

Corners · Watford total

Shots on target · Watford total

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