Bristol City vs Blackburn Rovers 0-1 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Bristol City

0–1

HT 0–1

Blackburn Rovers

Tue 13 Oct·12:45·Matchday 10·Ashton Gate·Blackburn Rovers won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

10Corners5
0Cards0
20Shots3
7Shots on target1
8Fouls7
31Throw-ins27
3Offsides5
5Goal kicks7
0Saves7
16Tackles19
8Interceptions12
5Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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0Free available0VIP available3Recorded Free1Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:45Bristol CityvBlackburn RoversChampionship1 won / 3 lost · −2.09u · 4 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 56.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +0.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+18.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+6.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+13.0%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+6.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+24.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.12
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.5%EV+19.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 5+0.91u on one unit

Paddy Powerrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9113 Oct, 12:30

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Paddy Power’s overall market record had 38 settled picksand +12.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

KambiAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+1.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy Powerresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.2%EV+1.5%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-2.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-9.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.76
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.2%EV-6.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 12:30: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Paddy Power. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:42. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Bristol City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 20−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0012 Oct, 16:18

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 14.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.9%EV+15.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+6.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance61.0%EV+6.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 16:18: under 14.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:03. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Blackburn Rovers total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 21.5Actual: 27−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2513 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 65.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.52
Expected value at recommendation: +48.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 65.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +48.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand +3.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 21.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.9%EV+48.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: under 21.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−52.3%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit−2.09units

W / L1 / 3picks

Avg odds2.04settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamBristol City Away teamBlackburn Rovers RefereeDavid Webb

Match overview

Matches

Cards · match total

Corners · Blackburn Rovers total

Shots · Bristol City total

Throw-ins · Blackburn Rovers total

This match

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