Stoke City vs Middlesbrough 2-3 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Stoke City

2–3

HT 0–0

Middlesbrough

Tue 13 Oct·13:00·Matchday 10·bet365 Stadium·Middlesbrough won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

4Corners3
1Cards1
8Shots20
1Shots on target9
9Fouls11
21Throw-ins13
1Offsides1
9Goal kicks7
7Saves0
6Tackles20
6Interceptions8
6Dribbles8

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

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We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

13:00Stoke CityvMiddlesbroughChampionship3 won / 1 lost · +2.08u · 4 picks

Corners · Stoke City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.4813 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.94
Expected value at recommendation: +28.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.94. Expected value at recommendation: +28.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 77 settled picksand +6.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.45
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.7%EV+26.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.48
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+28.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.47
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.6%EV+27.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+26.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+24.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.6%EV+39.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 5.5 at 2.48 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:10. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Middlesbrough total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 3+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9213 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 63.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.59
Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 63.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 102 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.0%EV+16.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.0%EV+13.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.0%EV+20.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+17.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+15.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.77
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+13.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance64.0%EV+12.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: under 5.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Stoke City total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 8+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9112 Oct, 05:37

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.85
Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.85. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.1%EV+3.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV+1.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV+7.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 05:37: under 11.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Middlesbrough total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 19.5Actual: 13+1.25u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2513 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +20.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +20.3%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand +3.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 19.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.4%EV+20.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: under 19.5 at 2.25 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+52.0%ROI · 4 units staked

Profit+2.08units

W / L3 / 1picks

Avg odds2.14settled picks

Recorded picks41 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamStoke City Away teamMiddlesbrough RefereeElliot Bell

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Stoke City total

Corners · Middlesbrough total

Shots · Stoke City total

Throw-ins · Middlesbrough total

This match

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