RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven 1-0 — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

RB Leipzig

1–0

HT 0–0

PSV Eindhoven

Tue 13 Oct·13:00·Matchday 2·Red Bull Arena, Leipzig·RB Leipzig won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

6Corners12
1Cards2
19Shots11
7Shots on target5
13Fouls12
19Throw-ins15
0Offsides6
4Goal kicks6
5Saves6
10Tackles19
8Interceptions9
8Dribbles9

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Board

Matches

1 match

13:00RB LeipzigvPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League9 won / 4 lost · +5.28u · 13 picks

Cards · match total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 3+1.15u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1511 Oct, 13:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.89
Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 53.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.89. Expected value at recommendation: +14.1%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.1%EV+14.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+19.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.08
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+12.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+13.9%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+13.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.08
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+12.8%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.2%EV+13.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:03: under 3.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 00:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPWon

over 5.5Actual: 6+0.92u on one unit

BetMGM UKrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9213 Oct, 04:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.8%EV+1.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+2.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.9%EV+3.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+3.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV-2.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance54.4%EV+6.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 04:06: over 5.5 at 1.92 with BetMGM UK. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · RB Leipzig total

Open match →FreeLost

under 5.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.007 Oct, 10:51

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +15.9%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetMGM UKAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.6%EV+11.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.0%EV+15.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-20.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.82
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.6%EV-17.0%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 7 Oct, 10:51: under 5.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 7 Oct, 16:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreeLost

under 11.5Actual: 12−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8812 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.65
Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.8%EV+14.3%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.0%EV+25.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.0%EV+22.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.0%EV+32.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: under 11.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Goal kicks · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPWon

under 6.5Actual: 4+1.10u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 04:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 59.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +24.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +24.5%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+24.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.4%EV+39.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetAt recommendationunder 6.5
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.3%EV+33.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.9%EV+11.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 04:06: under 6.5 at 2.10 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 3.5Actual: 6+1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 01:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 51.9%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

CrocobetAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.9%EV+1.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance51.9%EV+3.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV-3.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.56
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.1%EV-18.8%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 01:36: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 03:06. The original pick remains in the results.

Saves · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPWon

over 2.5Actual: 5+0.90u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9013 Oct, 08:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 54.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 54.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.4%EV+3.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.64
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV-9.6%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+7.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 08:32: over 2.5 at 1.90 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 29.5Actual: 30+0.91u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9111 Oct, 13:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +14.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +14.8%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 29.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.2%EV+14.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 29.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV-10.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV-20.3%
15 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 29.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV-20.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 29.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV-20.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance51.4%EV-20.3%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:08: over 29.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 19:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · RB Leipzig total

Open match →VIPWon

over 18.5Actual: 19+1.20u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 55.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +22.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +22.2%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 136 settled picksand +22.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 18.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.4%EV+24.1%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance55.5%EV+22.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 18.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance56.7%EV+33.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance56.2%EV+15.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 18.5 at 2.20 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:48. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · RB Leipzig total

Open match →FreeLost

under 16.5Actual: 19−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0012 Oct, 16:42

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.93
Expected value at recommendation: +4.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +4.0%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.0%EV+4.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-35.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-37.0%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-38.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-35.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-38.5%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-37.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 16:42: under 16.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 01:36. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreeLost

over 13.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0012 Oct, 00:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 61.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.63
Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 61.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +23.4%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.7%EV+23.4%
KambiAt recommendationover 13.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.7%EV+29.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.2%EV-41.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.2%EV-45.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.2%EV-47.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.2%EV-47.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 13.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance29.2%EV-37.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 00:06: over 13.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 12 Oct, 02:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPWon

over 10.5Actual: 12+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0011 Oct, 13:08

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.72
Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.1%EV+16.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+14.1%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+17.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+12.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+7.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.76
No saved recommendation
Model chance65.2%EV+14.7%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 13:08: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 11 Oct, 19:47. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.5Actual: 5+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 11:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 62.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +31.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 62.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +31.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +8.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.4%EV+31.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV-17.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV-15.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.96
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV-10.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV-17.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance45.8%EV-16.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:45: over 4.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+40.6%ROI · 13 units staked

Profit+5.28units

W / L9 / 4picks

Avg odds2.01settled picks

Recorded picks131 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Champions League Home teamRB Leipzig Away teamPSV Eindhoven RefereeNick Walsh