Wolverhampton vs Bolton Wanderers 1-3 — Championship

ChampionshipChampionship 26/27

Wolverhampton

1–3

HT 0–1

Bolton Wanderers

Tue 13 Oct·12:45·Matchday 10·Molineux Stadium·Bolton Wanderers won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

9Corners3
3Cards2
19Shots10
3Shots on target6
11Fouls14
22Throw-ins15
6Offsides1
1Goal kicks14
3Saves2
15Tackles17
3Interceptions7
8Dribbles3

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

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Board

Matches

1 match

12:45WolverhamptonvBolton WanderersChampionship6 won / 1 lost · +5.32u · 7 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 10.5Actual: 12+1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0011 Oct, 06:36

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 57.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 57.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.6%EV+15.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.2%EV+1.9%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV-0.6%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV-0.6%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV-0.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+9.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.3%EV+4.6%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 11 Oct, 06:36: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeWon

over 6.5Actual: 9+1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 10:15

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +20.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +20.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 104 settled picksand +0.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

BetliveAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.0%EV+11.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.0%EV+15.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.0%EV+20.0%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+20.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+8.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance60.3%EV+8.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 10:15: over 6.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 12:00. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Bolton Wanderers total

Open match →FreeWon

under 3.5Actual: 3+0.92u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9212 Oct, 23:03

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+0.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-3.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-6.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-2.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-5.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.78
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-6.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-5.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance52.8%EV-2.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 12 Oct, 23:03: under 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Fouls · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeLost

under 10.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0013 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.98
Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.98. Expected value at recommendation: +1.0%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 31 settled picksand +3.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.5%EV+1.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: under 10.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Offsides · match total

Open match →FreeWon

over 4.5Actual: 7+0.80u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8013 Oct, 02:06

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 73.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.37
Expected value at recommendation: +31.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Recorded before kickoff at the suggested line and odds.

Model chance at recommendation 73.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.37. Expected value at recommendation: +31.6%.

The saved recommendation is kept unchanged. The benchmark link shows today’s record. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance73.1%EV+31.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 02:06: over 4.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Imported from older pre-match history. Some original model and benchmark details are unavailable.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:12. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeWon

over 18.5Actual: 19+1.10u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1013 Oct, 11:48

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 50.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.99
Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance50.3%EV+5.6%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.27
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.9%EV+15.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:48: over 18.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Bolton Wanderers total

Open match →FreeWon

under 16.5Actual: 15+1.50u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.5013 Oct, 11:25

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 53.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.88
Expected value at recommendation: +33.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +33.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand +3.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.3%EV+33.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 13 Oct, 11:25: under 16.5 at 2.50 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 13 Oct, 11:29. The original pick remains in the results.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+76.0%ROI · 7 units staked

Profit+5.32units

W / L6 / 1picks

Avg odds2.05settled picks

Recorded picks71 matches

Around this match

CompetitionChampionship Home teamWolverhampton Away teamBolton Wanderers RefereeTim Robinson