Predictions
Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
133 picks shown with Bet365 prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.
Board
Matches
Al-TaawounvAl-QadsiahSaudi Pro League2 won / 6 lost · −4.06u · 8 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityNot yet validated
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 8
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.5%
- Break-even odds
- 2.02
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.5% · Break-even odds 2.02. Expected value at recommendation: +4.0%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +8.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance49.5%EV+4.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.853 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.205 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.078 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityNot yet validated
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 8
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 48.8%
- Break-even odds
- 2.05
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 48.8% · Break-even odds 2.05. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +2.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance48.8%EV+0.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.853 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.205 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.078 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: under 5.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 08:32. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityNot yet validated
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 50.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.97
- Expected value at recommendation
- +22.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 50.8% · Break-even odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +22.0%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +3.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance50.8%EV+22.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.40Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.257 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.176 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.159 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: over 3.5 at 2.40 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityNot yet validated
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 32
- Reconstructed matches
- 29
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.0% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +0.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 32 settled picksand +24.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance64.0%EV+0.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.57Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.506 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.506 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.647 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.509 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.587 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: under 3.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 08:53. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityNot yet validated
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 14
- Reconstructed matches
- 12
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 44.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.24
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 44.7% · Break-even odds 2.24. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand +16.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 0.5
Model chance44.7%EV+5.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.37Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.254 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.154 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.154 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.483 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.154 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: under 0.5 at 2.37 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityNot yet validated
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.8%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.8% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance49.8%EV+14.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.387 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.176 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: over 2.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityNot yet validated
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 24
- Reconstructed matches
- 22
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 47.5%
- Break-even odds
- 2.11
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 47.5% · Break-even odds 2.11. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 24 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance47.5%EV+12.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.38Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.176 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.305 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: over 2.5 at 2.38 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityNot yet validated
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 50.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.99
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Break-even odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +5.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance50.2%EV+10.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.387 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.155 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.176 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.305 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: over 2.5 at 2.20 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
FenerbahçevSK Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League4 won / 6 lost · −2.02u · 10 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.67
- Expected value at recommendation
- +20.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +69.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
Model chance59.7%EV+20.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.02Closing odds—16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.001 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.059 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9510 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.969 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.059 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1011 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 10.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.0%EV+13.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.07Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.008 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.128 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.028 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9515 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.031 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.128 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.028 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9515 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.031 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.059 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 15
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 48.5%
- Break-even odds
- 2.06
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 48.5% · Break-even odds 2.06. Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance48.5%EV+1.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.257 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.026 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.077 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 2.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 14
- Reconstructed matches
- 14
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 46.1%
- Break-even odds
- 2.17
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 46.1% · Break-even odds 2.17. Expected value at recommendation: +0.0%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand -1.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance46.1%EV+0.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.17Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.257 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.026 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 2.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 10:41. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 54.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.84
- Expected value at recommendation
- +29.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Break-even odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +29.0%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance54.3%EV+29.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.38Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.026 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.077 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 2.5 at 2.38 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 210
- Reconstructed matches
- 208
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 61.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.63
- Expected value at recommendation
- +17.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 61.3% · Break-even odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +17.0%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 210 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 28.5Model chance61.3%EV+17.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds—
BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 28.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 9
- Reconstructed matches
- 9
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 56.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.77
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Break-even odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 16.5Model chance56.4%EV+1.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—
BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 16.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 9
- Reconstructed matches
- 9
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 54.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 17.5Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.83Closing odds—
BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:16: over 17.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 83 settled picksand +4.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.907 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.918 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.058 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.359 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: under 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Sabah FKvBorussia DortmundUEFA Champions League3 won / 3 lost · −0.76u · 6 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 404
- Reconstructed matches
- 400
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 61.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.64
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 61.1% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 404 settled picksand +7.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance61.1%EV+5.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.73Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.799 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.659 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7616 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 9.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 98
- Reconstructed matches
- 96
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 60.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.65
- Expected value at recommendation
- +3.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Break-even odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +9.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance60.7%EV+3.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.70Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.799 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7616 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 9.5 at 1.70 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 129
- Reconstructed matches
- 124
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance55.7%EV+0.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.81Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.659 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7616 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 9.5 at 1.81 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 53.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +36.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +36.7%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance53.6%EV+36.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.55Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.806 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.806 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8510 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 3.5 at 2.55 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.0%EV+13.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.07Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.008 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.188 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.077 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9514 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.111 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.188 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.077 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9514 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.957 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.111 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.029 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Al-NassrvNeom SCSaudi Pro League1 won / 3 lost · −2.33u · 4 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 8
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 60.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.64
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +8.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance60.9%EV+1.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.67Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.703 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.473 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.717 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 3.5 at 1.67 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 24
- Reconstructed matches
- 22
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.8% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 24 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance66.8%EV+4.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.57Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.503 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.555 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 68.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.47
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 68.0% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +5.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance68.0%EV+2.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.50Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.574 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.503 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.555 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 68.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.47
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 68.2% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance68.2%EV+7.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.57Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.574 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.503 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.57 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
WolverhamptonvPortsmouthChampionship9 won / 3 lost · +5.41u · 12 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 16
- Reconstructed matches
- 16
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 72.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.38
- Expected value at recommendation
- +32.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 72.6% · Break-even odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +32.1%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 16 settled picksand +46.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
Model chance72.6%EV+32.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.82Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.756 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.868 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 10.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 13
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 67.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.49
- Expected value at recommendation
- +23.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 67.2% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +23.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +45.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
Model chance67.2%EV+23.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.83Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.756 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.868 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8211 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 10.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 12
- Reconstructed matches
- 12
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.51
- Expected value at recommendation
- +22.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.4% · Break-even odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 12 settled picksand +44.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
Model chance66.4%EV+22.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.756 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8211 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 10.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 17
- Reconstructed matches
- 17
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 50.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.97
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Break-even odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 17 settled picksand +10.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5Model chance50.7%EV+6.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—
BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 22
- Reconstructed matches
- 22
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 53.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.88
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Break-even odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 22 settled picksand +12.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance53.3%EV+1.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.007 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.087 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.906 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.906 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.066 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.031 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.027 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:06: under 2.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:11. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 29
- Reconstructed matches
- 29
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 47.8%
- Break-even odds
- 2.09
- Expected value at recommendation
- +3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 47.8% · Break-even odds 2.09. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 29 settled picksand +19.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
Model chance47.8%EV+3.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.17Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.106 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.055 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.055 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.234 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.055 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 1.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 20
- Reconstructed matches
- 20
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.71
- Expected value at recommendation
- +20.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.6% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +20.1%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 20 settled picksand +60.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
Model chance58.6%EV+20.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.106 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.055 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.055 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.234 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.175 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 1.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 81
- Reconstructed matches
- 81
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 71.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.40
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 71.3% · Break-even odds 1.40. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +9.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
Model chance71.3%EV+15.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.61Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.501 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.554 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.554 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.533 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.554 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.615 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: over 0.5 at 1.61 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 14
- Reconstructed matches
- 14
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 50.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.97
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Break-even odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand +4.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5Model chance50.9%EV+1.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.108 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:05. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 157
- Reconstructed matches
- 156
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 56.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.78
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Break-even odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 157 settled picksand -0.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance56.1%EV+0.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.853 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.734 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: over 5.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 33
- Reconstructed matches
- 33
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.51
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.1% · Break-even odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance66.1%EV+15.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.853 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.734 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.803 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: over 5.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 7
- Reconstructed matches
- 7
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 46.8%
- Break-even odds
- 2.14
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 46.8% · Break-even odds 2.14. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 7 settled picksand +39.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance46.8%EV+1.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.17Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.251 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.502 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.353 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.323 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.353 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 2.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
LiverpoolvVillarrealUEFA Champions League8 won / 4 lost · +4.07u · 12 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 404
- Reconstructed matches
- 400
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.70
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +6.1%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 404 settled picksand +7.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance59.0%EV+6.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.659 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.799 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.609 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7616 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 98
- Reconstructed matches
- 96
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.9% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +2.3%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +9.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance63.9%EV+2.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.60Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.659 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.799 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7616 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.60 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 129
- Reconstructed matches
- 124
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 57.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.74
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Break-even odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance57.3%EV+0.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.659 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.609 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7616 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 50.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.99
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Break-even odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance50.3%EV+15.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.387 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.528 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.358 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2011 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.528 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.358 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2011 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.409 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 57.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.74
- Expected value at recommendation
- +26.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 57.5% · Break-even odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +26.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance57.5%EV+26.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.381 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.405 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.405 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.406 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.405 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.527 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 30.5
Model chance55.8%EV+6.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.759 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.078 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.807 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 30.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.209 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 30.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 9
- Reconstructed matches
- 9
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 54.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 19.5Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.83Closing odds—
BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 19.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 89
- Reconstructed matches
- 86
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 54.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance54.9%EV+2.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.87Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.911 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.754 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.707 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.757 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 9.5 at 1.87 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.2%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.75
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +9.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +28.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance57.2%EV+9.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.754 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.707 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.858 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.757 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 104
- Reconstructed matches
- 100
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.55
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.5% · Break-even odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 104 settled picksand +29.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance64.5%EV+12.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.911 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.754 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.707 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.858 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 54.0%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.86
- Expected value at recommendation
- +3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance54.0%EV+3.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.92Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.611 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.755 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.575 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.703 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: under 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
RomavŠK Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League5 won / 7 lost · −2.98u · 12 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 129
- Reconstructed matches
- 124
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 56.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 56.0% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance56.0%EV+0.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7010 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8716 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.80 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.70
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +14.7%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +85.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance58.8%EV+14.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.201 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.104 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.914 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.959 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 2.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 50.1%
- Break-even odds
- 2.00
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Break-even odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance50.1%EV+16.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.32Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—18 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 4.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:22. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—18 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 4.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:30. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 67.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.49
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 67.3% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance67.3%EV+9.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.62Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.679 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.719 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.588 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6018 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.576 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 3.5 at 1.62 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +7.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance66.7%EV+7.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.61Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.719 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.588 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6018 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.576 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6611 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:31: over 3.5 at 1.61 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 15
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 51.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.93
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Break-even odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance51.9%EV+1.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.009 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.079 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 61.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.63
- Expected value at recommendation
- +22.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 61.4% · Break-even odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance61.4%EV+22.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.956 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.079 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 56.6%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.77
- Expected value at recommendation
- +22.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 56.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 280 settled picksand +9.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 30.5
Model chance56.6%EV+22.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.17Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 30.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 57.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.75
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Break-even odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 29.5
Model chance57.2%EV+4.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.83Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.758 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.608 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 29.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.699 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 29.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 9
- Reconstructed matches
- 9
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 54.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 20.5Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.83Closing odds—
BetliveClosing estimateover 21.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 21.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 21.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 21.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 21.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 20.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 57.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.74
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +12.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 230 settled picksand +1.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationover 10.5
Model chance57.8%EV+15.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
Model chance57.8%EV+12.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.727 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.408 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 10.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Manchester CityvAEK AthensUEFA Champions League6 won / 10 lost · −3.84u · 16 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.5% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +69.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance66.5%EV+15.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.74Closing odds—16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6510 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.659 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8012 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.74 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 50.2%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 2.00
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
Model chance50.2%EV+7.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.14Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7510 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8511 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 7.5 at 2.14 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.2% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance64.2%EV+10.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.72Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.738 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.749 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.678 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6515 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.691 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:21: over 3.5 at 1.72 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.59
- Expected value at recommendation
- +8.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Break-even odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +8.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance63.1%EV+8.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.73Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.749 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.678 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.6515 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.691 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7211 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 3.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 15
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 45.2%
- Break-even odds
- 2.21
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 45.2% · Break-even odds 2.21. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance45.2%EV+1.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.25Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.208 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.961 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.329 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 14
- Reconstructed matches
- 14
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 42.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.34
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 42.7% · Break-even odds 2.34. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand -1.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance42.7%EV+0.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.35Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.208 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.961 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.35 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 54.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.84
- Expected value at recommendation
- +29.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Break-even odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +29.0%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance54.3%EV+29.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.38Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.961 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.329 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.38 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 12
- Reconstructed matches
- 12
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 53.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +10.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 12 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 0.5
Model chance53.6%EV+10.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.07Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.914 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.441 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.003 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.003 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.002 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.004 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:21: under 0.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:22. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.70
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 28.5
Model chance58.7%EV+5.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.658 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.859 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.638 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.789 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 28.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 9
- Reconstructed matches
- 9
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 54.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.82
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 21.5Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.83Closing odds—
BetliveClosing estimateover 20.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 20.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 20.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 20.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 20.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 21.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 179
- Reconstructed matches
- 175
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.68
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 179 settled picksand -1.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
Model chance59.4%EV+6.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.608 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.658 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.558 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 10.5 at 1.80 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 56.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.77
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +28.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
Model chance56.7%EV+13.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.608 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.658 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.558 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.129 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 149
- Reconstructed matches
- 145
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 60.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.67
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 7.5
Model chance60.0%EV+2.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.71Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 7.5 at 1.71 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 6
- Reconstructed matches
- 6
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 57.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.73
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Break-even odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +75.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance57.7%EV+0.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.803 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.857 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.778 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:37: over 8.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.7%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.90
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 53 settled picksand +12.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance52.7%EV+5.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.803 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.857 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.778 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 33
- Reconstructed matches
- 33
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.51
- Expected value at recommendation
- +18.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.1% · Break-even odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +18.9%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
Model chance66.1%EV+18.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.857 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.778 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 8.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Paris Saint-GermainvBarcelonaUEFA Champions League16 won / 1 lost · +15.58u · 17 picks
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +17.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.2% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +17.6%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +69.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance64.2%EV+17.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.83Closing odds—16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.759 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7510 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.708 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.709 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 9.5 at 1.83 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 52.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.91
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Break-even odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance52.3%EV+15.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.308 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.289 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.106 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1020 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.207 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.251 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.289 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.106 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1020 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.207 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.251 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2011 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 4.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 15
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 44.1%
- Break-even odds
- 2.27
- Expected value at recommendation
- +3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 44.1% · Break-even odds 2.27. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance44.1%EV+3.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.35Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.355 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.405 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.455 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:53: over 2.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 52.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.90
- Expected value at recommendation
- +31.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Break-even odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +31.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance52.5%EV+31.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.50Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.355 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.405 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.455 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.355 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 2.5 at 2.50 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 58.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.70
- Expected value at recommendation
- +29.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +29.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 280 settled picksand +9.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 32.5
Model chance58.8%EV+29.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 32.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 57.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.75
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Break-even odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 31.5
Model chance57.2%EV+4.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.83Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.158 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.109 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.889 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.207 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.629 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 31.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 67.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.49
- Expected value at recommendation
- +31.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 67.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +31.2%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 201 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
Model chance67.3%EV+31.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 15:01: over 16.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 9
- Reconstructed matches
- 9
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.71
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 15.5
Model chance58.5%EV+1.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.73Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.857 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.664 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.597 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 15.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 65.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.52
- Expected value at recommendation
- +19.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 65.8% · Break-even odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +19.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +28.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
Model chance65.8%EV+19.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.82Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 16.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.68
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.5% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +7.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
Model chance59.5%EV+10.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.664 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.597 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 15.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 52.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.91
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 96 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365At recommendationover 6.5
Model chance52.4%EV+10.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance52.4%EV+16.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.23Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.854 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.227 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 13:01: over 6.5 at 2.23 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 149
- Reconstructed matches
- 145
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.8%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.8% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance49.8%EV+5.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.12Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.854 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:44. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 6
- Reconstructed matches
- 6
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 54.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.84
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 54.2% · Break-even odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +75.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance54.2%EV+0.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.227 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 149
- Reconstructed matches
- 147
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 48.3%
- Break-even odds
- 2.07
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 48.3% · Break-even odds 2.07. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +0.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance48.3%EV+1.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.854 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.227 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 149
- Reconstructed matches
- 145
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 62.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.61
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 62.0% · Break-even odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance62.0%EV+2.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.65Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:45: over 5.5 at 1.65 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 33
- Reconstructed matches
- 33
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.57
- Expected value at recommendation
- +20.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.5% · Break-even odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance63.5%EV+20.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.856 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.854 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.227 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
FC PortovPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League5 won / 10 lost · −5.67u · 15 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 63.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.58
- Expected value at recommendation
- +39.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 63.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance63.3%EV+39.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.809 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8511 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 5.5 at 2.20 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.9%
- Break-even odds
- 2.00
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.9% · Break-even odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.9%EV+15.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.32Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.308 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.568 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.337 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.406 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.568 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.337 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.406 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.429 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 15
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 44.1%
- Break-even odds
- 2.27
- Expected value at recommendation
- +3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 44.1% · Break-even odds 2.27. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance44.1%EV+3.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.35Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 14
- Reconstructed matches
- 14
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 41.5%
- Break-even odds
- 2.41
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 41.5% · Break-even odds 2.41. Expected value at recommendation: +0.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand -1.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance41.5%EV+0.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.42Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.42 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 75.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.33
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 75.4% · Break-even odds 1.33. Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance75.4%EV+13.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.50Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.455 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.425 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.435 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.405 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.467 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 1.5 at 1.50 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 43.9%
- Break-even odds
- 2.28
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 43.9% · Break-even odds 2.28. Expected value at recommendation: +11.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +53.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 0.5
Model chance43.9%EV+11.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.55Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.304 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.404 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.483 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.354 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 0.5 at 2.55 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 210
- Reconstructed matches
- 208
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +15.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 210 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 26.5
Model chance64.1%EV+15.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.708 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.509 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.508 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 26.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 29
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +37.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
Model chance66.7%EV+13.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.70Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.509 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.508 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 26.5 at 1.70 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 224
- Reconstructed matches
- 218
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.67
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 224 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
Model chance59.7%EV+10.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 27.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 65
- Reconstructed matches
- 63
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +18.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.6% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +18.5%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 65 settled picksand +29.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
Model chance66.6%EV+18.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.78Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.708 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.509 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.508 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 26.5 at 1.78 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 89
- Reconstructed matches
- 86
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.72
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Break-even odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance58.1%EV+1.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.739 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 149
- Reconstructed matches
- 145
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 60.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.64
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance60.9%EV+2.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.69Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.602 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.555 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.454 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 5.5 at 1.69 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 6
- Reconstructed matches
- 6
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 56.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.78
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Break-even odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +75.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance56.3%EV+1.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 6.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 33
- Reconstructed matches
- 33
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 70.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.41
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 70.9% · Break-even odds 1.41. Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance70.9%EV+13.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.60Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.555 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.454 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.697 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 5.5 at 1.60 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
NapolivBodø/GlimtUEFA Champions League6 won / 1 lost · +5.42u · 7 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 56.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.78
- Expected value at recommendation
- +43.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +43.7%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance56.4%EV+43.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.55Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.906 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9510 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.0212 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 5.5 at 2.55 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 212
- Reconstructed matches
- 206
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.71
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.4% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 212 settled picksand +0.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance58.4%EV+0.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.72Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.915 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8310 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 3.5 at 1.72 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.4%
- Break-even odds
- 2.02
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.4% · Break-even odds 2.02. Expected value at recommendation: +16.2%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.4%EV+16.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.35Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.108 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.208 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1513 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.151 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.35 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.208 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1513 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.151 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.279 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 72.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.38
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 72.5% · Break-even odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance72.5%EV+13.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.57Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.461 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.495 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.505 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.505 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.505 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.527 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 1.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 65
- Reconstructed matches
- 63
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 65.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.54
- Expected value at recommendation
- +20.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 65.0% · Break-even odds 1.54. Expected value at recommendation: +20.2%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 65 settled picksand +29.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 29.5
Model chance65.0%EV+20.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 29.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 210
- Reconstructed matches
- 208
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +15.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 210 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 28.5
Model chance64.1%EV+15.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.807 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.759 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.619 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.757 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7310 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 28.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
VfB StuttgartvAtlético MadridUEFA Champions League0 won / 7 lost · −7.00u · 7 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 55.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.81
- Expected value at recommendation
- +27.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +27.7%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
Model chance55.5%EV+27.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.001 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.331 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.108 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.0511 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 4.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 53.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +14.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance53.5%EV+14.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.15Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.108 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.178 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.0012 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.171 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 53.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +12.6%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance53.6%EV+12.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.006 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.178 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.0012 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.171 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.159 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 15
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 51.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.95
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Break-even odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance51.2%EV+2.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.105 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.061 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.054 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.057 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.68
- Expected value at recommendation
- +24.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +24.7%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance59.4%EV+24.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.061 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.054 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.057 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 1.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 224
- Reconstructed matches
- 218
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.71
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.4% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +11.0%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 224 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
Model chance58.4%EV+11.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.911 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.007 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.009 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.907 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 28.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 104
- Reconstructed matches
- 100
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.55
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.5% · Break-even odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 104 settled picksand +29.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance64.5%EV+12.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.707 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.628 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.639 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
LondrinavCuiabáBrasileirão Série B2 won / 0 lost · +1.29u · 4 picks
Awaiting a verified result for this recorded pick.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 51.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.95
- Expected value at recommendation
- +3.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +3.0%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +4.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance51.5%EV+3.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.001 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.953 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.953 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.003 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 14 Oct, 06:24: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 44
- Reconstructed matches
- 44
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
Awaiting a verified result for this recorded pick.
- Estimated chance
- 67.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.49
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.
Model chance at recommendation 67.0% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 44 settled picksand +4.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance67.0%EV+15.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.73Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.653 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.574 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.653 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.723 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 16:21: under 5.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 281
- Reconstructed matches
- 281
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.58
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 281 settled picksand -1.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance63.4%EV+2.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.61Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.737 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.615 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.558 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.605 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.681 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.627 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 16:21: under 2.5 at 1.61 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 73
- Reconstructed matches
- 73
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.58
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.
At recommendation, Pinnacle’s overall market record had 73 settled picksand +1.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance63.4%EV+6.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.68Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.616 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.737 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.615 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.558 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.605 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.627 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 16:21: under 2.5 at 1.68 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 16:28. The original pick remains in the results.
CD GuadalajaravClub NecaxaLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 0 available
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 193
- Reconstructed matches
- 193
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
Kickoff has passed; this is the recorded pre-match pick.
- Estimated chance
- 53.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.87
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.
Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 193 settled picksand -4.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
Model chance53.4%EV+2.0%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.91Closing odds—11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance53.4%EV+161.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds4.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
Model chance53.4%EV+161.8%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds4.905 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 17:34: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Atlético San LuisvQuerétaro FCLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 0 available
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 55
- Reconstructed matches
- 55
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
Kickoff has passed; this is the recorded pre-match pick.
- Estimated chance
- 55.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.80
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Break-even odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand -3.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
Model chance55.6%EV+0.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance55.6%EV-8.3%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.651 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
Model chance55.6%EV-5.5%No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 18:26: under 4.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
FC JuárezvAtlante FCLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 0 available
Kickoff has passed; this is the recorded pre-match pick.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 56.1%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.79
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 234 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.00Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 19:17: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Tigres UANLvClub LeónLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 1 available
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
A validated quality assessment is not available.
- Unseen matches
- —
- Validation rounds
- —
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 55
- Reconstructed matches
- 55
- Lineup
- Projected
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.
- Estimated chance
- 52.8%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.90
- Current expected value
- +0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.
Current model chance 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Current expected value: +0.8%.
Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
- Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 3.5Model chance52.8%EV+0.8%UnchangedAt evaluation1.91Current odds1.91
Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.
Selected day
Tue, 20 Oct 2026
All dates
Overall results
One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.
How to read this board
A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.
Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.
Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.
Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.
Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.