Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

1Free available0VIP available61Recorded Free72Recorded VIP
Bookmakers, markets and sorting

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

133 picks shown with Bet365 prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

17 matches
Al-TaawounvAl-QadsiahSaudi Pro League2 won / 6 lost · −4.06u · 8 picks

Corners · Al-Qadsiah total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityNot yet validated

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
8
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.5%
Break-even odds
2.02
Expected value at recommendation
+4.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.5% · Break-even odds 2.02. Expected value at recommendation: +4.0%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +8.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.5%EV+4.0%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · Al-Qadsiah total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityNot yet validated

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
8
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
48.8%
Break-even odds
2.05
Expected value at recommendation
+0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 48.8% · Break-even odds 2.05. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +2.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance48.8%EV+0.1%

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: under 5.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 08:32. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityNot yet validated

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
15
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.40
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.8%
Break-even odds
1.97
Expected value at recommendation
+22.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.8% · Break-even odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +22.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +3.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.40
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.8%EV+22.0%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: over 3.5 at 2.40 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeWon
Prediction qualityNot yet validated

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
32
Reconstructed matches
29
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.57u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.57
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
64.0%
Break-even odds
1.56
Expected value at recommendation
+0.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.0% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +0.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 32 settled picksand +24.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.57
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.0%EV+0.5%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.58
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: under 3.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 08:53. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Al-Taawoun total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityNot yet validated

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
14
Reconstructed matches
12
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 0.5Actual: 0+1.37u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.37
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
44.7%
Break-even odds
2.24
Expected value at recommendation
+5.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 44.7% · Break-even odds 2.24. Expected value at recommendation: +5.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand +16.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 0.5
    At recommendation2.37
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance44.7%EV+5.9%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.48
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: under 0.5 at 2.37 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Al-Qadsiah total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityNot yet validated

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
13
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.8%
Break-even odds
2.01
Expected value at recommendation
+14.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.8% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.8%EV+14.5%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.38
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: over 2.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Al-Qadsiah total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityNot yet validated

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
24
Reconstructed matches
22
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.38
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
47.5%
Break-even odds
2.11
Expected value at recommendation
+12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 47.5% · Break-even odds 2.11. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 24 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.38
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance47.5%EV+12.8%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: over 2.5 at 2.38 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Al-Qadsiah total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityNot yet validated

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
13
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.2%
Break-even odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Break-even odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +5.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.2%EV+10.5%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.38
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 08:31: over 2.5 at 2.20 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

FenerbahçevSK Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League4 won / 6 lost · −2.02u · 10 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.02
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
59.7%
Break-even odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+20.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +69.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.02
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.7%EV+20.7%

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.96
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 10.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+1.07u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.0%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+13.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.07
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.0%EV+13.8%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    15 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.03
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.8%
Break-even odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+11.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    15 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.03
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Fenerbahçe total

Open match →FreeLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
15
Reconstructed matches
15
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
48.5%
Break-even odds
2.06
Expected value at recommendation
+1.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 48.5% · Break-even odds 2.06. Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance48.5%EV+1.9%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 2.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Fenerbahçe total

Open match →FreeLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
14
Reconstructed matches
14
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
46.1%
Break-even odds
2.17
Expected value at recommendation
+0.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 46.1% · Break-even odds 2.17. Expected value at recommendation: +0.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand -1.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance46.1%EV+0.0%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 2.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 10:41. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Fenerbahçe total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.38
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.3%
Break-even odds
1.84
Expected value at recommendation
+29.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Break-even odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +29.0%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.38
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.3%EV+29.0%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 2.5 at 2.38 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
210
Reconstructed matches
208
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 30+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
61.3%
Break-even odds
1.63
Expected value at recommendation
+17.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 61.3% · Break-even odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +17.0%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 210 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 28.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance61.3%EV+17.0%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 28.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Fenerbahçe total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
9
Reconstructed matches
9
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
56.4%
Break-even odds
1.77
Expected value at recommendation
+1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Break-even odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 16.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.4%EV+1.5%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 16.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 10:15. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Fenerbahçe total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
9
Reconstructed matches
9
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 17.5Actual: 15−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.9%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 17.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:16: over 17.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 8+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+7.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 83 settled picksand +4.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: under 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Sabah FKvBorussia DortmundUEFA Champions League3 won / 3 lost · −0.76u · 6 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
404
Reconstructed matches
400
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 13+0.73u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.73
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
61.1%
Break-even odds
1.64
Expected value at recommendation
+5.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 61.1% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 404 settled picksand +7.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.73
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance61.1%EV+5.5%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.79
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 9.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
98
Reconstructed matches
96
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 13+0.70u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
60.7%
Break-even odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+3.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.7% · Break-even odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +9.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.70
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance60.7%EV+3.2%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.79
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 9.5 at 1.70 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
129
Reconstructed matches
124
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 13+0.81u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.81
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.7%
Break-even odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+0.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.81
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.7%EV+0.9%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 9.5 at 1.81 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · Sabah FK total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+36.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +36.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation2.55
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance53.6%EV+36.7%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 3.5 at 2.55 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.0%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+13.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.0% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.07
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.0%EV+13.8%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.18
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    14 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.11
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.8%
Break-even odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+11.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +11.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.8%EV+11.7%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.18
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    14 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.11
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 10:02: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Al-NassrvNeom SCSaudi Pro League1 won / 3 lost · −2.33u · 4 picks

Corners · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
8
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.67u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.67
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
60.9%
Break-even odds
1.64
Expected value at recommendation
+1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +8.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.67
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance60.9%EV+1.5%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.47
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.71
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 3.5 at 1.67 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
24
Reconstructed matches
22
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.57
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.8%
Break-even odds
1.50
Expected value at recommendation
+4.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.8% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 24 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
    At recommendation1.57
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.8%EV+4.9%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
13
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
68.0%
Break-even odds
1.47
Expected value at recommendation
+2.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 68.0% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +5.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
    At recommendation1.50
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance68.0%EV+2.0%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.57
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
13
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.57
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
68.2%
Break-even odds
1.47
Expected value at recommendation
+7.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 68.2% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
    At recommendation1.57
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance68.2%EV+7.1%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.57
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.57 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

WolverhamptonvPortsmouthChampionship9 won / 3 lost · +5.41u · 12 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
16
Reconstructed matches
16
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 8+0.82u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
72.6%
Break-even odds
1.38
Expected value at recommendation
+32.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 72.6% · Break-even odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +32.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 16 settled picksand +46.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
    At recommendation1.82
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance72.6%EV+32.1%

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.86
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 10.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
13
Reconstructed matches
13
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 8+0.83u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
67.2%
Break-even odds
1.49
Expected value at recommendation
+23.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 67.2% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +23.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +45.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance67.2%EV+23.2%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.86
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.82
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 10.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
12
Reconstructed matches
12
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 8+0.85u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.4%
Break-even odds
1.51
Expected value at recommendation
+22.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.4% · Break-even odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 12 settled picksand +44.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.4%EV+22.8%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.82
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 10.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
17
Reconstructed matches
17
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 6−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.7%
Break-even odds
1.97
Expected value at recommendation
+6.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.7% · Break-even odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 17 settled picksand +10.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.7%EV+6.5%
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 5.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
22
Reconstructed matches
22
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 2+0.90u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
53.3%
Break-even odds
1.88
Expected value at recommendation
+1.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 53.3% · Break-even odds 1.88. Expected value at recommendation: +1.3%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 22 settled picksand +12.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance53.3%EV+1.3%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.08
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.06
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.03
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:06: under 2.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:11. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
29
Reconstructed matches
29
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.17u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
47.8%
Break-even odds
2.09
Expected value at recommendation
+3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 47.8% · Break-even odds 2.09. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 29 settled picksand +19.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance47.8%EV+3.7%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.23
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 1.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Wolverhampton total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
20
Reconstructed matches
20
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 1.5Actual: 1+1.05u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.05
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
58.6%
Break-even odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+20.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 58.6% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +20.1%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 20 settled picksand +60.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
    At recommendation2.05
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.6%EV+20.1%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.23
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 1.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Portsmouth total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
81
Reconstructed matches
81
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 1+0.61u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.61
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
71.3%
Break-even odds
1.40
Expected value at recommendation
+15.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 71.3% · Break-even odds 1.40. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +9.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
    At recommendation1.61
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance71.3%EV+15.1%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.53
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.61
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: over 0.5 at 1.61 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Portsmouth total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
14
Reconstructed matches
14
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 8+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.9%
Break-even odds
1.97
Expected value at recommendation
+1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.9% · Break-even odds 1.97. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand +4.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.9%EV+1.7%
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:05. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Wolverhampton total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
157
Reconstructed matches
156
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
56.1%
Break-even odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+0.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Break-even odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 157 settled picksand -0.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.1%EV+0.9%

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: over 5.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Wolverhampton total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
33
Reconstructed matches
33
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.1%
Break-even odds
1.51
Expected value at recommendation
+15.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.1% · Break-even odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.1%EV+15.6%

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: over 5.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Portsmouth total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
7
Reconstructed matches
7
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 1+1.17u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
46.8%
Break-even odds
2.14
Expected value at recommendation
+1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 46.8% · Break-even odds 2.14. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 7 settled picksand +39.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance46.8%EV+1.5%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.32
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:04: under 2.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

LiverpoolvVillarrealUEFA Champions League8 won / 4 lost · +4.07u · 12 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
404
Reconstructed matches
400
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
59.0%
Break-even odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+6.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +6.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 404 settled picksand +7.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.0%EV+6.1%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.79
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
98
Reconstructed matches
96
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
63.9%
Break-even odds
1.56
Expected value at recommendation
+2.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.9% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +2.3%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +9.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.60
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.9%EV+2.3%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.79
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.60 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
129
Reconstructed matches
124
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
57.3%
Break-even odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+0.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Break-even odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.3%EV+0.4%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 7+1.30u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.3%
Break-even odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+15.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Break-even odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.3%EV+15.6%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.38
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.52
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 7+1.30u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.7%
Break-even odds
2.01
Expected value at recommendation
+14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.52
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Liverpool total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+1.20u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
57.5%
Break-even odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+26.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 57.5% · Break-even odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +26.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.5%EV+26.5%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.38
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.52
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 30.5Actual: 36+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.8%
Break-even odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+6.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 30.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.8%EV+6.5%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 30.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
9
Reconstructed matches
9
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 19.5Actual: 22+0.83u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.9%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 19.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 19.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
89
Reconstructed matches
86
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+0.87u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.9%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+2.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.9%EV+2.6%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 9.5 at 1.87 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
57.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.75
Expected value at recommendation
+9.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +9.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +28.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.2%EV+9.3%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
104
Reconstructed matches
100
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+0.75u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
64.5%
Break-even odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.5% · Break-even odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 104 settled picksand +29.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.5%EV+12.8%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Villarreal total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
54.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.0%EV+3.7%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.61
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.57
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: under 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

RomavŠK Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League5 won / 7 lost · −2.98u · 12 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
129
Reconstructed matches
124
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
56.0%
Break-even odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 56.0% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +0.8%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.0%EV+0.8%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.87
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.80 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · ŠK Slovan Bratislava total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
58.8%
Break-even odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+14.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +14.7%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +85.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.8%EV+14.7%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 2.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.1%
Break-even odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+16.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Break-even odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.32
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.1%EV+16.1%

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    18 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 4.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.7%
Break-even odds
2.01
Expected value at recommendation
+14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    18 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 4.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:30. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.62u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.62
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
67.3%
Break-even odds
1.49
Expected value at recommendation
+9.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 67.3% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.62
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance67.3%EV+9.0%

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.67
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.71
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.58
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    18 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.57
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 3.5 at 1.62 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.61u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.61
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.7%
Break-even odds
1.50
Expected value at recommendation
+7.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +7.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.61
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.7%EV+7.7%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.71
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.58
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    18 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.57
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.66
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:31: over 3.5 at 1.61 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Roma total

Open match →FreeWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
15
Reconstructed matches
15
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+0.95u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
51.9%
Break-even odds
1.93
Expected value at recommendation
+1.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 51.9% · Break-even odds 1.93. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance51.9%EV+1.2%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 1.95 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Roma total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 4+1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
61.4%
Break-even odds
1.63
Expected value at recommendation
+22.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 61.4% · Break-even odds 1.63. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance61.4%EV+22.8%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 30.5Actual: 27−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.17
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
56.6%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.77
Expected value at recommendation
+22.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +22.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 280 settled picksand +9.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 30.5
    At recommendation2.17
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.6%EV+22.8%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 30.5 at 2.17 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 29.5Actual: 27−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
57.2%
Break-even odds
1.75
Expected value at recommendation
+4.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Break-even odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 29.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.2%EV+4.9%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 29.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.69
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 29.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Roma total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
9
Reconstructed matches
9
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 20.5Actual: 26+0.83u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.9%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 20.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 21.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 21.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 21.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 21.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 21.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 20.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+12.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +12.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 230 settled picksand +1.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.8%EV+15.6%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.8%EV+12.7%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.72
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 10.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Manchester CityvAEK AthensUEFA Champions League6 won / 10 lost · −3.84u · 16 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 11+0.74u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.74
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.5%
Break-even odds
1.50
Expected value at recommendation
+15.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.5% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +69.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.74
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.5%EV+15.8%

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.74 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · Manchester City total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.14
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+7.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
    At recommendation2.14
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.2%EV+7.5%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 7.5 at 2.14 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+0.72u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.72
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
64.2%
Break-even odds
1.56
Expected value at recommendation
+10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.2% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.72
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.2%EV+10.5%

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.74
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.67
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    15 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.69
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:21: over 3.5 at 1.72 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 6+0.73u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.73
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
63.1%
Break-even odds
1.59
Expected value at recommendation
+8.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Break-even odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +8.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation1.73
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.1%EV+8.9%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.74
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.67
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    15 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.69
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.72
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 3.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Manchester City total

Open match →FreeWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
15
Reconstructed matches
15
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.25u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.25
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
45.2%
Break-even odds
2.21
Expected value at recommendation
+1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 45.2% · Break-even odds 2.21. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.25
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance45.2%EV+1.7%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.96
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.32
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.25 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Manchester City total

Open match →FreeWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
14
Reconstructed matches
14
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.35u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
42.7%
Break-even odds
2.34
Expected value at recommendation
+0.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 42.7% · Break-even odds 2.34. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand -1.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance42.7%EV+0.4%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.96
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.35 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Manchester City total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 5+1.38u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.38
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.3%
Break-even odds
1.84
Expected value at recommendation
+29.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.3% · Break-even odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +29.0%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.38
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.3%EV+29.0%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.96
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.32
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.38 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · AEK Athens total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
12
Reconstructed matches
12
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 0.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.07
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
53.6%
Break-even odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+10.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +10.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 12 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 0.5
    At recommendation2.07
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance53.6%EV+10.9%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.44
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:21: under 0.5 at 2.07 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:22. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
58.7%
Break-even odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+5.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 58.7% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 28.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.7%EV+5.6%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.63
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.78
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 28.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Manchester City total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
9
Reconstructed matches
9
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 21.5Actual: 17−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.9%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 21.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 20.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 21.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
179
Reconstructed matches
175
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
59.4%
Break-even odds
1.68
Expected value at recommendation
+6.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 179 settled picksand -1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.4%EV+6.9%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 10.5 at 1.80 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 10.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.77
Expected value at recommendation
+13.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +13.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +28.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 10.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.7%EV+13.5%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.12
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: over 10.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Manchester City total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
149
Reconstructed matches
145
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 7.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.71
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
60.0%
Break-even odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+2.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +2.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 7.5
    At recommendation1.71
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance60.0%EV+2.7%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 7.5 at 1.71 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Manchester City total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
6
Reconstructed matches
6
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
57.7%
Break-even odds
1.73
Expected value at recommendation
+0.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 57.7% · Break-even odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +0.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +75.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.7%EV+0.9%

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.77
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:37: over 8.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Manchester City total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
52.7%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+5.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 53 settled picksand +12.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance52.7%EV+5.5%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.77
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: over 8.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Manchester City total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
33
Reconstructed matches
33
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.1%
Break-even odds
1.51
Expected value at recommendation
+18.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.1% · Break-even odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +18.9%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.1%EV+18.9%

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 8.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.77
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 8.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Paris Saint-GermainvBarcelonaUEFA Champions League16 won / 1 lost · +15.58u · 17 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
64.2%
Break-even odds
1.56
Expected value at recommendation
+17.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.2% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +17.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +69.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.2%EV+17.6%

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 9.5 at 1.83 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.20u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
52.3%
Break-even odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+15.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Break-even odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance52.3%EV+15.1%

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    20 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.30u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.7%
Break-even odds
2.01
Expected value at recommendation
+14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    20 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 4.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
15
Reconstructed matches
15
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+1.35u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
44.1%
Break-even odds
2.27
Expected value at recommendation
+3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 44.1% · Break-even odds 2.27. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance44.1%EV+3.7%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:53: over 2.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+1.50u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
52.5%
Break-even odds
1.90
Expected value at recommendation
+31.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Break-even odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +31.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.50
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance52.5%EV+31.3%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 2.5 at 2.50 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 32.5Actual: 40+1.20u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+29.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +29.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 280 settled picksand +9.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 32.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.8%EV+29.5%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 32.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 31.5Actual: 40+0.83u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
57.2%
Break-even odds
1.75
Expected value at recommendation
+4.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Break-even odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 31.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.2%EV+4.9%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.88
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.62
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 31.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 22+0.95u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
67.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.49
Expected value at recommendation
+31.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 67.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +31.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 201 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance67.3%EV+31.2%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 15:01: over 16.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
9
Reconstructed matches
9
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 22+0.73u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.73
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
58.5%
Break-even odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+1.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.73
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.5%EV+1.1%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.66
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.59
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 15.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 22+0.82u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
65.8%
Break-even odds
1.52
Expected value at recommendation
+19.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 65.8% · Break-even odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +19.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +28.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
    At recommendation1.82
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance65.8%EV+19.7%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 16.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 22+0.85u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
59.5%
Break-even odds
1.68
Expected value at recommendation
+10.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 59.5% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +7.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.5%EV+10.1%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.66
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.59
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 15.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+1.23u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.91
Expected value at recommendation
+16.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 96 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365At recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance52.4%EV+10.1%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.23
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance52.4%EV+16.9%

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.22
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:01: over 6.5 at 2.23 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
149
Reconstructed matches
145
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+1.12u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.8%
Break-even odds
2.01
Expected value at recommendation
+5.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.8% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.12
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.8%EV+5.6%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:44. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
6
Reconstructed matches
6
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+0.85u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.2%
Break-even odds
1.84
Expected value at recommendation
+0.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.2% · Break-even odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +75.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.2%EV+0.3%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.22
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
149
Reconstructed matches
147
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+1.10u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
48.3%
Break-even odds
2.07
Expected value at recommendation
+1.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 48.3% · Break-even odds 2.07. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +0.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance48.3%EV+1.5%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.22
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
149
Reconstructed matches
145
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 15+0.65u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.65
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
62.0%
Break-even odds
1.61
Expected value at recommendation
+2.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 62.0% · Break-even odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.65
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance62.0%EV+2.4%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:45: over 5.5 at 1.65 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
33
Reconstructed matches
33
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+0.90u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
63.5%
Break-even odds
1.57
Expected value at recommendation
+20.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.5% · Break-even odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.5%EV+20.7%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.22
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

FC PortovPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League5 won / 10 lost · −5.67u · 15 picks

Corners · FC Porto total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 2+1.20u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
63.3%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.58
Expected value at recommendation
+39.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 63.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.3%EV+39.3%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 5.5 at 2.20 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.32
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.9%
Break-even odds
2.00
Expected value at recommendation
+15.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.9% · Break-even odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.32
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.9%EV+15.8%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.56
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.33
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.7%
Break-even odds
2.01
Expected value at recommendation
+14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.56
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.33
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.42
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · FC Porto total

Open match →FreeLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
15
Reconstructed matches
15
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
44.1%
Break-even odds
2.27
Expected value at recommendation
+3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 44.1% · Break-even odds 2.27. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance44.1%EV+3.7%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · FC Porto total

Open match →FreeLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
14
Reconstructed matches
14
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.42
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
41.5%
Break-even odds
2.41
Expected value at recommendation
+0.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 41.5% · Break-even odds 2.41. Expected value at recommendation: +0.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand -1.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.42
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance41.5%EV+0.5%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.42 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · FC Porto total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
75.4%
Break-even odds
1.33
Expected value at recommendation
+13.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 75.4% · Break-even odds 1.33. Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.50
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance75.4%EV+13.2%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.42
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.43
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.46
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 1.5 at 1.50 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · PSV Eindhoven total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 0.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
43.9%
Break-even odds
2.28
Expected value at recommendation
+11.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 43.9% · Break-even odds 2.28. Expected value at recommendation: +11.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +53.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 0.5
    At recommendation2.55
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance43.9%EV+11.9%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.30
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.48
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 0.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 0.5 at 2.55 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
210
Reconstructed matches
208
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 32+0.80u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
64.1%
Break-even odds
1.56
Expected value at recommendation
+15.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +15.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 210 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 26.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.1%EV+15.3%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 26.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
29
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 32+0.70u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.7%
Break-even odds
1.50
Expected value at recommendation
+13.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +37.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
    At recommendation1.70
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.7%EV+13.4%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 26.5 at 1.70 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
224
Reconstructed matches
218
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 27.5Actual: 32+0.85u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
59.7%
Break-even odds
1.67
Expected value at recommendation
+10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 224 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.7%EV+10.5%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 27.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
65
Reconstructed matches
63
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 26.5Actual: 32+0.78u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.78
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.6%
Break-even odds
1.50
Expected value at recommendation
+18.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.6% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +18.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 65 settled picksand +29.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
    At recommendation1.78
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.6%EV+18.5%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 26.5 at 1.78 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
89
Reconstructed matches
86
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
58.1%
Break-even odds
1.72
Expected value at recommendation
+1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Break-even odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.1%EV+1.7%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · FC Porto total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
149
Reconstructed matches
145
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.69
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
60.9%
Break-even odds
1.64
Expected value at recommendation
+2.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.69
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance60.9%EV+2.9%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 5.5 at 1.69 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · FC Porto total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
6
Reconstructed matches
6
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
56.3%
Break-even odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+1.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Break-even odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +75.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.3%EV+1.4%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 6.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · FC Porto total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
33
Reconstructed matches
33
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
70.9%
Break-even odds
1.41
Expected value at recommendation
+13.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 70.9% · Break-even odds 1.41. Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation1.60
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance70.9%EV+13.4%

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.45
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.69
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 5.5 at 1.60 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

NapolivBodø/GlimtUEFA Champions League6 won / 1 lost · +5.42u · 7 picks

Corners · Napoli total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

under 5.5Actual: 2+1.55u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.55
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+43.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +43.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation2.55
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.4%EV+43.7%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.02
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 5.5 at 2.55 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Bodø/Glimt total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
212
Reconstructed matches
206
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.72
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
58.4%
Break-even odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+0.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 58.4% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 212 settled picksand +0.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.72
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.4%EV+0.4%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 3.5 at 1.72 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 7+1.35u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.4%
Break-even odds
2.02
Expected value at recommendation
+16.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.4% · Break-even odds 2.02. Expected value at recommendation: +16.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.4%EV+16.2%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    13 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.35 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 7+1.30u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.7%
Break-even odds
2.01
Expected value at recommendation
+14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    13 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.27
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Napoli total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 4+0.57u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.57
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
72.5%
Break-even odds
1.38
Expected value at recommendation
+13.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 72.5% · Break-even odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation1.57
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance72.5%EV+13.9%

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.46
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.49
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.50
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.52
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 1.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
65
Reconstructed matches
63
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 29.5Actual: 32+0.85u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
65.0%
Break-even odds
1.54
Expected value at recommendation
+20.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 65.0% · Break-even odds 1.54. Expected value at recommendation: +20.2%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 65 settled picksand +29.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 29.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance65.0%EV+20.2%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 29.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
210
Reconstructed matches
208
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 32+0.80u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
64.1%
Break-even odds
1.56
Expected value at recommendation
+15.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +15.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 210 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 28.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.1%EV+15.3%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.61
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 28.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

VfB StuttgartvAtlético MadridUEFA Champions League0 won / 7 lost · −7.00u · 7 picks

Corners · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 4.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
55.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.81
Expected value at recommendation
+27.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +27.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.5%EV+27.7%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.33
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 4.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.15
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
53.5%
Break-even odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+14.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 53.5% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +14.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.15
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance53.5%EV+14.9%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.15 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
53.6%
Break-even odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+12.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +12.6%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance53.6%EV+12.6%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.28
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.17
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.15
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →FreeLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
15
Reconstructed matches
15
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
51.2%
Break-even odds
1.95
Expected value at recommendation
+2.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 51.2% · Break-even odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +2.5%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance51.2%EV+2.5%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.06
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →VIPLost
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 1.5Actual: 1−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
59.4%
Break-even odds
1.68
Expected value at recommendation
+24.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +24.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.4%EV+24.7%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.06
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 1.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
224
Reconstructed matches
218
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 28.5Actual: 28−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
58.4%
Break-even odds
1.71
Expected value at recommendation
+11.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 58.4% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +11.0%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 224 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.4%EV+11.0%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 28.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
104
Reconstructed matches
100
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 8−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
64.5%
Break-even odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.5% · Break-even odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 104 settled picksand +29.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.5%EV+12.8%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.62
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.63
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

LondrinavCuiabáBrasileirão Série B2 won / 0 lost · +1.29u · 4 picks

Corners · Londrina total

Open match →FreePrevious modelAwaiting result

Awaiting a verified result for this recorded pick.

over 5.5
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
51.5%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.95
Expected value at recommendation
+3.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +3.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +4.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance51.5%EV+3.0%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 06:24: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Corners · Londrina total

Open match →VIPAwaiting result

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
44
Reconstructed matches
44
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

Awaiting a verified result for this recorded pick.

under 5.5
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.73
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
67.0%
Break-even odds
1.49
Expected value at recommendation
+15.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.

Model chance at recommendation 67.0% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 44 settled picksand +4.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
    At recommendation1.73
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance67.0%EV+15.8%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.57
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.72
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 16:21: under 5.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →FreeWon
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
281
Reconstructed matches
281
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 1+0.61u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.61
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
63.4%
Break-even odds
1.58
Expected value at recommendation
+2.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 281 settled picksand -1.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.61
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.4%EV+2.4%

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.61
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • PinnacleClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.68
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.62
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 16:21: under 2.5 at 1.61 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
73
Reconstructed matches
73
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 1+0.68u on one unit
Pinnaclerecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.68
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
63.4%
Break-even odds
1.58
Expected value at recommendation
+6.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

At recommendation, Pinnacle’s overall market record had 73 settled picksand +1.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Pinnacleresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.68
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.4%EV+6.2%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.61
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.73
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.61
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.55
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.62
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 16:21: under 2.5 at 1.68 with Pinnacle. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 16:28. The original pick remains in the results.

CD GuadalajaravClub NecaxaLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 0 available

Goals · CD Guadalajara total

Open match →VIPIn play
Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
193
Reconstructed matches
193
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

Kickoff has passed; this is the recorded pre-match pick.

over 4.5
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
53.4%
Break-even odds
1.87
Expected value at recommendation
+2.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.

Model chance at recommendation 53.4% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 193 settled picksand -4.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance53.4%EV+2.0%

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds4.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV+161.8%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds4.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance53.4%EV+161.8%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 17:34: over 4.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Atlético San LuisvQuerétaro FCLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 0 available

Corners · Querétaro FC total

Open match →VIPIn play

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
55
Reconstructed matches
55
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

Kickoff has passed; this is the recorded pre-match pick.

under 4.5
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.6%
Break-even odds
1.80
Expected value at recommendation
+0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The combined model’s selected count distribution supplies the decision probability. Earlier bookmaker cell results select betting direction separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Break-even odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 55 settled picksand -3.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.6%EV+0.1%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.6%EV-8.3%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 4.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance55.6%EV-5.5%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 18:26: under 4.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

FC JuárezvAtlante FCLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 0 available

Goals · Atlante FC total

Open match →FreePrevious modelIn play

Kickoff has passed; this is the recorded pre-match pick.

over 1.5
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+12.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 234 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 19:17: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Tigres UANLvClub LeónLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 1 available

Corners · Club León total

Open match →FreeMonitoring

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityAssessment unavailable

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

A validated quality assessment is not available.

Unseen matches
—
Validation rounds
—

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
55
Reconstructed matches
55
Lineup
Projected
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

Early Monitoring pick, also eligible for the bot feed. Awaiting final confirmation; it can change or be withdrawn.

under 3.5
Bet365Monitoring
At evaluation1.91
Current odds1.91
Unchanged
Estimated chance
52.8%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.90
Current expected value
+0.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Early selection with verified market terms and positive estimated value; awaiting final confirmation and official lineups.

Current model chance 52.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.90. Current expected value: +0.8%.

Earlier matches select the direction; current odds determine whether this Monitoring pick qualifies. View benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365current suggestionCurrentunder 3.5
    At evaluation1.91
    Current odds1.91
    Unchanged
    Model chance52.8%EV+0.8%

Use another bookmaker? Match this exact statistic, scope, direction and line. Compare your odds with the minimum above; another line needs its own model price.

Selected day

Tue, 20 Oct 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options
Return+3.7%ROI · 367 units staked
Profit+13.57units
W / L204 / 163picks
Avg odds1.88settled picks
Recorded picks3736 awaiting result

All dates

Overall results

5,453 settled picks

One unit per pick. Includes historical estimates at reference odds (1,895 settled). Display only; recorded performance and benchmarks exclude estimates. Recorded results: 28 Sept 2026 – 20 Oct 2026.

ROI+2.7%
Profit+147.16 u
W / L2,703 / 2,750
Avg odds2.13
How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.

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