Al-Nassr vs Neom SC 1-0 — Saudi Pro League

Saudi Pro LeagueSaudi Pro League 26/27

Al-Nassr

1–0

HT 0–0

Neom SC

Today·12:00·Matchday 10·Al-Awwal Park·Al-Nassr won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

3Corners1
1Cards4
17Shots7
2Shots on target1
14Fouls18
21Throw-ins24
3Offsides4
4Goal kicks10
1Saves1
16Tackles14
17Interceptions7
11Dribbles7

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

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0Free available0VIP available9Recorded Free10Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

12:00Al-NassrvNeom SCSaudi Pro League3 won / 16 lost · −13.90u · 19 picks

Corners · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 10
Reconstructed matches: 8
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.67u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.6720 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 60.9%
Break-even odds: 1.64
Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +8.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.67
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.9%EV+1.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.47
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.71
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 3.5 at 1.67 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 45
Reconstructed matches: 45
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 22.5Actual: 32−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 59.7%
Break-even odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 45 settled picksand +29.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 22.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.7%EV+10.4%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 22.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 247
Reconstructed matches: 238
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 32−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7020 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 59.9%
Break-even odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.9% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 247 settled picksand +6.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
At recommendation1.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.9%EV+1.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 23.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 23.5 at 1.70 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 42
Reconstructed matches: 42
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 14+0.85u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 59.2%
Break-even odds: 1.69
Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.2% · Break-even odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 42 settled picksand +20.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.2%EV+9.5%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 15.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · Neom SC total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 81
Reconstructed matches: 81
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 10−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 63.1%
Break-even odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +25.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.1%EV+10.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 9.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →VIPLost

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 13
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.5720 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 68.2%
Break-even odds: 1.47
Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 68.2% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
At recommendation1.57
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.2%EV+7.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.57
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.57 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 24
Reconstructed matches: 22
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.5720 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 66.8%
Break-even odds: 1.50
Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 66.8% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 24 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 0.5
At recommendation1.57
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.8%EV+4.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 13
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 0.5Actual: 0−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.5020 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 68.0%
Break-even odds: 1.47
Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 68.0% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +2.0%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +5.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 0.5
At recommendation1.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.0%EV+2.0%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.57
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 0.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 0.5 at 1.50 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 224
Reconstructed matches: 218
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 25.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8020 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 61.0%
Break-even odds: 1.64
Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 61.0% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +9.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 224 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 25.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.0%EV+9.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.55
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 25.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 25.5 at 1.80 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 13
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 8.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7620 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 60.3%
Break-even odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 60.3% · Break-even odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +6.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 8.5
At recommendation1.76
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.3%EV+6.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 8.5 at 1.76 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 129
Reconstructed matches: 127
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 7−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 58.8%
Break-even odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+2.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 183
Reconstructed matches: 178
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9720 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 57.8%
Break-even odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Break-even odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +13.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 183 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+13.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 9.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 89
Reconstructed matches: 86
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 3−1.00u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9120 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 54.6%
Break-even odds: 1.83
Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 54.6% · Break-even odds 1.83. Expected value at recommendation: +4.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.6%EV+4.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 10
Reconstructed matches: 9
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 1+0.58u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.5820 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 65.5%
Break-even odds: 1.53
Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 65.5% · Break-even odds 1.53. Expected value at recommendation: +3.4%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +21.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.58
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.5%EV+3.4%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.61
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 3.5 at 1.58 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 392
Reconstructed matches: 386
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 45−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 62.6%
Break-even odds: 1.60
Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 62.6% · Break-even odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 392 settled picksand +19.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.6%EV+9.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 32.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 32.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 290
Reconstructed matches: 285
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 45−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 62.4%
Break-even odds: 1.60
Expected value at recommendation: +9.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 62.4% · Break-even odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +9.2%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 290 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.4%EV+9.2%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 32.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 32.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Al-Nassr total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 175
Reconstructed matches: 172
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 62.3%
Break-even odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 62.3% · Break-even odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +15.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 175 settled picksand +26.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.3%EV+15.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 16.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Al-Nassr total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 233
Reconstructed matches: 227
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 21−1.00u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 59.4%
Break-even odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.4% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 233 settled picksand +14.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.4%EV+9.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 16.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Neom SC total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: —
Validation rounds: —

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 182
Reconstructed matches: 179
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 24−1.00u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 11:32

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 60.4%
Break-even odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 60.4% · Break-even odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 182 settled picksand +13.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.4%EV+5.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 11:32: under 15.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return−73.2%ROI · 19 units staked

Profit−13.90units

W / L3 / 16picks

Avg odds1.75settled picks

Recorded picks191 matches

Around this match

CompetitionSaudi Pro League Home teamAl-Nassr Away teamNeom SC

Match overview

Matches

Corners · Neom SC total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Neom SC total

Goals · Neom SC total

Goals · Neom SC total

Goals · Neom SC total

Shots · match total

Shots · Neom SC total

Shots · Neom SC total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Neom SC total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Al-Nassr total

Throw-ins · Al-Nassr total

Throw-ins · Neom SC total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

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StatsGem