Napoli vs Bodø/Glimt — UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27
Yesterday··Matchday 3·Stadio Diego Armando Maradona·Napoli won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 2Corners5
- 3Cards0
- 17Shots15
- 8Shots on target6
- 7Fouls5
- 10Throw-ins15
- 1Offsides0
- 8Goal kicks4
- 3Saves5
- 15Tackles8
- 6Interceptions4
- 4Dribbles7
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
NapolivBodø/GlimtUEFA Champions League21 won / 4 lost · +14.55u · 25 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 56.4%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.78
- Expected value at recommendation
- +43.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +43.7%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance56.4%EV+43.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.55Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.906 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.955 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.9510 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.0212 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 5.5 at 2.55 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 212
- Reconstructed matches
- 206
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.71
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.4% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 212 settled picksand +0.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance58.4%EV+0.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.72Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.915 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8310 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 3.5 at 1.72 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 45
- Reconstructed matches
- 45
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 62.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.60
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 62.4% · Break-even odds 1.60. Expected value at recommendation: +12.4%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 45 settled picksand +29.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 21.5
Model chance62.4%EV+12.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 21.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.909 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.058 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 21.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.663 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 21.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 54.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.84
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 54.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +1.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +7.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
Model chance54.5%EV+1.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.87Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.804 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.857 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.654 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 17:15: over 11.5 at 1.87 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 57
- Reconstructed matches
- 56
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 68.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.47
- Expected value at recommendation
- +22.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 68.3% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +22.9%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 57 settled picksand +35.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
Model chance68.3%EV+22.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.757 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 11.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.681 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 11.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 42
- Reconstructed matches
- 42
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.69
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.3% · Break-even odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +12.7%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 42 settled picksand +20.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
Model chance59.3%EV+12.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 15.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.72
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Break-even odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +55.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
Model chance58.1%EV+10.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 15.5 at 1.90 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 13
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 61.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.62
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 61.7% · Break-even odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
Model chance61.7%EV+1.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.65Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.607 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 16.5 at 1.65 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 65.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.52
- Expected value at recommendation
- +8.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 65.7% · Break-even odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +8.3%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +55.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
Model chance65.7%EV+8.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.65Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.603 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.653 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.622 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 6.5 at 1.65 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.57
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.7% · Break-even odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +26.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
Model chance63.7%EV+5.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.65Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.603 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.655 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.622 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 6.5 at 1.65 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 81
- Reconstructed matches
- 81
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.58
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +13.6%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +25.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
Model chance63.1%EV+13.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 9.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.67
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.8% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +7.7%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +32.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
Model chance59.8%EV+7.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.803 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 9.5 at 1.80 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.4%
- Break-even odds
- 2.02
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.4% · Break-even odds 2.02. Expected value at recommendation: +16.2%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.4%EV+16.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.35Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.108 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.208 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1513 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.151 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.35 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.208 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.288 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.1513 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.107 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPinnacleClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.151 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.279 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 72.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.38
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 72.5% · Break-even odds 1.38. Expected value at recommendation: +13.9%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance72.5%EV+13.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.57Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.461 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.495 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.505 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.505 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.505 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.527 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 1.5 at 1.57 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 7
- Reconstructed matches
- 7
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 60.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.66
- Expected value at recommendation
- +8.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 60.2% · Break-even odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +8.3%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 7 settled picksand +20.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
Model chance60.2%EV+8.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.853 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.655 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 3.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 65
- Reconstructed matches
- 63
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 65.0%
- Break-even odds
- 1.54
- Expected value at recommendation
- +20.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 65.0% · Break-even odds 1.54. Expected value at recommendation: +20.2%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 65 settled picksand +29.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 29.5
Model chance65.0%EV+20.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 29.5 at 1.85 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 210
- Reconstructed matches
- 208
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +15.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 210 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 28.5
Model chance64.1%EV+15.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.807 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.759 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.619 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.757 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 28.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.7310 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 28.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 17
- Reconstructed matches
- 17
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 67.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.49
- Expected value at recommendation
- +20.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 67.2% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 17 settled picksand +60.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
Model chance67.2%EV+20.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 32.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.706 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 32.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 32.5 at 1.80 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 15
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 65.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.52
- Expected value at recommendation
- +18.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 65.7% · Break-even odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +18.3%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +52.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
Model chance65.7%EV+18.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 32.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.706 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 32.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 32.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 13
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 63.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.59
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Break-even odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +28.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
Model chance63.1%EV+7.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.70Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 32.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 32.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 32.5 at 1.70 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 13
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 61.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.62
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 61.9% · Break-even odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +18.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 18.5
Model chance61.9%EV+5.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.70Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 18.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.803 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: under 18.5 at 1.70 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 51
- Reconstructed matches
- 48
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 56.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.76
- Expected value at recommendation
- +16.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 56.8% · Break-even odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +16.3%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 51 settled picksand +16.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
Model chance56.8%EV+16.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 13.5 at 2.05 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:43. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 37
- Reconstructed matches
- 35
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 57.5%
- Break-even odds
- 1.74
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 57.5% · Break-even odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +9.2%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 37 settled picksand +19.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 13.5
Model chance57.5%EV+9.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.90Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 12.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 13.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 51
- Reconstructed matches
- 48
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.54
- Expected value at recommendation
- +12.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.9% · Break-even odds 1.54. Expected value at recommendation: +12.3%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 51 settled picksand +16.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
Model chance64.9%EV+12.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.73Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 12.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.604 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 12.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.505 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:44: over 12.5 at 1.73 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Predictions