Liverpool vs Villarreal — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

Liverpool

4–3

HT 2–2

Villarreal

Tue 20 Oct··Matchday 3·Anfield·Liverpool won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time
  • 7Corners2
  • 0Cards2
  • 22Shots14
  • 7Shots on target5
  • 12Fouls10
  • 15Throw-ins14
  • 2Offsides4
  • 4Goal kicks11
  • 2Saves4
  • 22Tackles15
  • 13Interceptions14
  • 19Dribbles5
OddsOddsStatsStatsPredictionsPicksRefereeRefereeCoachCoach
0Free available0VIP available21Recorded Free18Recorded VIP

Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match
LiverpoolvVillarrealUEFA Champions League30 won / 9 lost · +17.57u · 39 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
404
Reconstructed matches
400
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
59.0%
Break-even odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+6.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +6.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 404 settled picksand +7.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.0%EV+6.1%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.79
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
98
Reconstructed matches
96
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
63.9%
Break-even odds
1.56
Expected value at recommendation
+2.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.9% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +2.3%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 98 settled picksand +9.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.60
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.9%EV+2.3%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.79
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.60 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Corners · match total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
129
Reconstructed matches
124
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 9−1.00u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
57.3%
Break-even odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+0.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 57.3% · Break-even odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +0.4%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 129 settled picksand +0.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.3%EV+0.4%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    10 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    12 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.76
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    16 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
45
Reconstructed matches
45
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 23.5Actual: 22+0.85u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
61.1%
Break-even odds
1.64
Expected value at recommendation
+13.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 61.1% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +13.0%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 45 settled picksand +29.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 23.5
    At recommendation1.85
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance61.1%EV+13.0%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 23.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 23.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
123
Reconstructed matches
119
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 12+0.90u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
56.3%
Break-even odds
1.78
Expected value at recommendation
+6.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Break-even odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 123 settled picksand +9.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance56.3%EV+6.9%

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 11.5 at 1.90 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
14
Reconstructed matches
14
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 15+0.92u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
58.9%
Break-even odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+13.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 58.9% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +13.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand +25.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance58.9%EV+13.1%

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 15.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
42
Reconstructed matches
42
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 15+0.75u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
63.2%
Break-even odds
1.58
Expected value at recommendation
+10.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.2% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +10.7%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 42 settled picksand +20.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.2%EV+10.7%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.62
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 16.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 15+0.80u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
60.8%
Break-even odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+9.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.8% · Break-even odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +9.4%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +55.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance60.8%EV+9.4%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.62
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 16.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
13
Reconstructed matches
13
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 15+0.75u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
59.0%
Break-even odds
1.70
Expected value at recommendation
+3.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 59.0% · Break-even odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +3.2%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance59.0%EV+3.2%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.62
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 16.5 at 1.75 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · Liverpool total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 6.5Actual: 4+0.75u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
63.1%
Break-even odds
1.58
Expected value at recommendation
+10.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.1% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +55.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance63.1%EV+10.4%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.66
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 6.5 at 1.75 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 6.5Actual: 4+0.75u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
61.1%
Break-even odds
1.64
Expected value at recommendation
+6.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 61.1% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +6.9%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +26.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 6.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance61.1%EV+6.9%

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.66
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 6.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · Villarreal total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
81
Reconstructed matches
81
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.60
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
68.1%
Break-even odds
1.47
Expected value at recommendation
+9.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 68.1% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +9.0%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +25.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
    At recommendation1.60
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance68.1%EV+9.0%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 10.5 at 1.60 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · Villarreal total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 9.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.7%
Break-even odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+8.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.7% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +8.7%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +32.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
    At recommendation1.95
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.7%EV+8.7%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.95
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.83
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 9.5 at 1.95 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
18
Reconstructed matches
18
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 7+1.30u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.3%
Break-even odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+15.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.3% · Break-even odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +15.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.3%EV+15.6%

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.38
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.52
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
30
Reconstructed matches
30
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 3.5Actual: 7+1.30u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
49.7%
Break-even odds
2.01
Expected value at recommendation
+14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
    At recommendation2.30
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.52
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    11 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.25
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Liverpool total

Open match →VIPWon
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
27
Reconstructed matches
27
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+1.20u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
57.5%
Break-even odds
1.74
Expected value at recommendation
+26.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 57.5% · Break-even odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +26.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.20
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.5%EV+26.5%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.38
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.40
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.52
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.20 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Offsides · Villarreal total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
68
Reconstructed matches
66
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 2.5Actual: 4−1.00u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.55
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
69.1%
Break-even odds
1.45
Expected value at recommendation
+7.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 69.1% · Break-even odds 1.45. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 68 settled picksand +6.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
    At recommendation1.55
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance69.1%EV+7.1%

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.60
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 2.5 at 1.55 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Saves · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
6
Reconstructed matches
6
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
47.9%
Break-even odds
2.09
Expected value at recommendation
+0.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 47.9% · Break-even odds 2.09. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +76.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance47.9%EV+0.6%

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Saves · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
6
Reconstructed matches
6
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 2−1.00u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
47.7%
Break-even odds
2.10
Expected value at recommendation
+0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 47.7% · Break-even odds 2.10. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +105.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance47.7%EV+0.1%

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.10
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 30.5Actual: 36+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
55.8%
Break-even odds
1.79
Expected value at recommendation
+6.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 55.8% · Break-even odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +6.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 30.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance55.8%EV+6.5%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 30.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.20
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 30.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Liverpool total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 18.5Actual: 22+0.88u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.76
Expected value at recommendation
+7.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 201 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
    At recommendation1.88
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.0%EV+7.2%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.78
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 18.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Liverpool total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 17.5Actual: 22+0.76u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.76
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
67.3%
Break-even odds
1.49
Expected value at recommendation
+18.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 67.3% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +18.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +28.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 17.5
    At recommendation1.76
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance67.3%EV+18.5%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 17.5 at 1.76 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:50. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 18.5Actual: 22+0.80u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
60.9%
Break-even odds
1.64
Expected value at recommendation
+9.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +9.5%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +7.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance60.9%EV+9.5%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.78
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.97
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 18.5 at 1.80 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
9
Reconstructed matches
9
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 19.5Actual: 22+0.83u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.9%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+0.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 19.5
    At recommendation1.83
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.9%EV+0.7%
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 19.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Liverpool total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
10
Reconstructed matches
10
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 18.5Actual: 22+0.97u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.97
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
62.3%
Break-even odds
1.61
Expected value at recommendation
+22.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 62.3% · Break-even odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +22.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +28.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
    At recommendation1.97
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance62.3%EV+22.7%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.78
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 18.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:51: over 18.5 at 1.97 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+0.91u on one unit
Bet365recorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.91
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
57.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.75
Expected value at recommendation
+9.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +9.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +28.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.91
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance57.2%EV+9.3%

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: over 9.5 at 1.91 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
104
Reconstructed matches
100
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+0.75u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
64.5%
Break-even odds
1.55
Expected value at recommendation
+12.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.5% · Break-even odds 1.55. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 104 settled picksand +29.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.75
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance64.5%EV+12.8%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.85
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
89
Reconstructed matches
86
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 12+0.87u on one unit
Kambirecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.87
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
54.9%
Break-even odds
1.82
Expected value at recommendation
+2.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 54.9% · Break-even odds 1.82. Expected value at recommendation: +2.6%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
    At recommendation1.87
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.9%EV+2.6%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.91
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.64
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    9 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 9.5 at 1.87 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Liverpool total

Open match →VIPPrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 7+1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
52.2%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.92
Expected value at recommendation
+4.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.92. Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 153 settled picksand +12.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • KambiAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.35
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance52.2%EV+22.8%

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance52.2%EV+4.5%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 6.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
149
Reconstructed matches
145
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 7+1.10u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.2%
Break-even odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+5.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Break-even odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +5.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
    At recommendation2.10
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.2%EV+5.5%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.35
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.07
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    6 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Villarreal total

Open match →FreePrevious modelLost

This recorded pick has a result.

under 3.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.92
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance at recommendation
54.0%
Minimum qualifying odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
    At recommendation1.92
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance54.0%EV+3.7%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • Bet365Closing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.61
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    1 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.75
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • KambiClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.57
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 3.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.70
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: under 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
17
Reconstructed matches
17
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 35.5Actual: 29+0.80u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
67.2%
Break-even odds
1.49
Expected value at recommendation
+20.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 67.2% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 17 settled picksand +60.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 35.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance67.2%EV+20.9%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 35.5 at 1.80 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
11
Reconstructed matches
11
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 34.5Actual: 29+0.82u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
66.3%
Break-even odds
1.51
Expected value at recommendation
+20.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 66.3% · Break-even odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +20.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +53.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 34.5
    At recommendation1.82
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance66.3%EV+20.8%

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 34.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
15
Reconstructed matches
15
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 35.5Actual: 29+0.80u on one unit
Liderbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
65.7%
Break-even odds
1.52
Expected value at recommendation
+18.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 65.7% · Break-even odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +18.3%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +52.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 35.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance65.7%EV+18.3%

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 35.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
13
Reconstructed matches
13
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 35.5Actual: 29+0.80u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
60.5%
Break-even odds
1.65
Expected value at recommendation
+8.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 60.5% · Break-even odds 1.65. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +28.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 35.5
    At recommendation1.80
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance60.5%EV+8.8%

    7 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    8 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 35.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.65
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    4 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 35.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
13
Reconstructed matches
13
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 18.5Actual: 15+0.70u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
61.9%
Break-even odds
1.62
Expected value at recommendation
+5.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 61.9% · Break-even odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +18.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 18.5
    At recommendation1.70
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance61.9%EV+5.2%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 18.5 at 1.70 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
8
Reconstructed matches
8
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 15+1.00u on one unit
Superbetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation2.00
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
50.1%
Break-even odds
1.99
Expected value at recommendation
+0.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 50.1% · Break-even odds 1.99. Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 8 settled picksand +37.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
    At recommendation2.00
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance50.1%EV+0.3%

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.05
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • LiderbetClosing estimateunder 17.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds2.00
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    3 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:36: under 17.5 at 2.00 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:57. The original pick remains in the results.

Throw-ins · Villarreal total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
12
Reconstructed matches
12
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 17.5Actual: 14+0.70u on one unit
Crocobetrecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
76.5%
Break-even odds
1.31
Expected value at recommendation
+30.0%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 76.5% · Break-even odds 1.31. Expected value at recommendation: +30.0%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 12 settled picksand +68.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
    At recommendation1.70
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance76.5%EV+30.0%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds—
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 17.5 at 1.70 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Villarreal total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches
0
Validation rounds
0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches
8
Reconstructed matches
8
Lineup
Official
Quality calibration
Not yet measured
Forecast stability
Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 14+0.90u on one unit
Betliverecorded bookmaker
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Estimated chance
53.7%
Break-even odds
1.86
Expected value at recommendation
+2.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 53.7% · Break-even odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +2.1%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 8 settled picksand +82.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

  • Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
    At recommendation1.90
    Closing odds—
    No closing quote captured
    Model chance53.7%EV+2.1%

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • CrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.90
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    5 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
  • SuperbetClosing estimateunder 16.5
    At recommendation—
    Closing odds1.80
    No saved recommendation
    Model chance—EV—

    2 bookmaker lines available.

    Open complete comparison
Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 16.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results
Return+45.1%ROI · 39 units staked
Profit+17.57units
W / L30 / 9picks
Avg odds1.87settled picks
Recorded picks391 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueHome teamLiverpoolAway teamVillarrealRefereeSzymon Marciniak

Previous meetings

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