Paris Saint-Germain vs Barcelona 4-2 — UEFA Champions League

UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27

Paris Saint-Germain

4–2

HT 1–0

Barcelona

Tue 20 Oct·13:00·Matchday 3·Parc des Princes·Paris Saint-Germain won

Match overview

12 priority stats · full time

2Corners3
0Cards1
22Shots18
15Shots on target5
11Fouls10
18Throw-ins10
2Offsides1
8Goal kicks3
3Saves10
17Tackles9
14Interceptions12
4Dribbles9

OddsOdds StatsStats PredictionsPicks RefereeReferee CoachCoach

Public beta18+ · Virtual bankrolls · Independent research

Independence, method & limitations

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

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Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.

Board

Matches

1 match

13:00Paris Saint-GermainvBarcelonaUEFA Champions League30 won / 2 lost · +25.13u · 32 picks

Corners · match total

Open match →VIPLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 10
Reconstructed matches: 10
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 9.5Actual: 5−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8320 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 64.2%
Break-even odds: 1.56
Expected value at recommendation: +17.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 64.2% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +17.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +69.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.2%EV+17.6%
16 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 9.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
12 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 9.5 at 1.83 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 45
Reconstructed matches: 45
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 22.5Actual: 21+0.75u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 63.7%
Break-even odds: 1.57
Expected value at recommendation: +11.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.

Model chance at recommendation 63.7% · Break-even odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +11.5%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 45 settled picksand +29.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 22.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.7%EV+11.5%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 22.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 22.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 57
Reconstructed matches: 56
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 11.5Actual: 11+0.80u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8020 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 68.3%
Break-even odds: 1.47
Expected value at recommendation: +22.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 68.3% · Break-even odds 1.47. Expected value at recommendation: +22.9%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 57 settled picksand +35.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 11.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance68.3%EV+22.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 11.5 at 1.80 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Fouls · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeLost

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 188
Reconstructed matches: 184
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 10.5Actual: 11−1.00u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8820 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 53.6%
Break-even odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Break-even odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +0.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 188 settled picksand +1.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 10.5
At recommendation1.88
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance53.6%EV+0.7%
2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 10.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 10.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 14
Reconstructed matches: 14
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 15.5Actual: 11+0.73u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7320 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 64.1%
Break-even odds: 1.56
Expected value at recommendation: +10.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +10.9%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand +25.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
At recommendation1.73
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance64.1%EV+10.9%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 15.5 at 1.73 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 42
Reconstructed matches: 42
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 11+0.75u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 63.2%
Break-even odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +10.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 63.2% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +10.7%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 42 settled picksand +20.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 14.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.2%EV+10.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 14.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 10
Reconstructed matches: 10
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 11+0.70u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7020 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 63.4%
Break-even odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 63.4% · Break-even odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +55.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 14.5
At recommendation1.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.4%EV+7.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 14.5 at 1.70 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 13
Reconstructed matches: 13
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 14.5Actual: 11+0.65u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.6520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 61.7%
Break-even odds: 1.62
Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 61.7% · Break-even odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 14.5
At recommendation1.65
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance61.7%EV+1.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 14.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 14.5 at 1.65 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · Barcelona total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 81
Reconstructed matches: 81
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 3+0.65u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.6520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 66.9%
Break-even odds: 1.49
Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 66.9% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +10.4%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +25.1% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation1.65
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.9%EV+10.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 7.5 at 1.65 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goal kicks · Barcelona total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 11
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 7.5Actual: 3+0.65u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.6520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 63.8%
Break-even odds: 1.57
Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 63.8% · Break-even odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +5.2%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +32.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation1.65
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.8%EV+5.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.65
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.60
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 7.5 at 1.65 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 18
Reconstructed matches: 18
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.20u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2020 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 52.3%
Break-even odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 52.3% · Break-even odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +15.1%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.3%EV+15.1%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.28
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.28
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
20 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 4.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 30
Reconstructed matches: 30
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 4.5Actual: 6+1.30u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3020 Oct, 12:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 49.7%
Break-even odds: 2.01
Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 4.5
At recommendation2.30
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Betfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.28
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.28
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
20 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
PinnacleClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 4.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 4.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 27
Reconstructed matches: 27
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+1.50u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.5020 Oct, 12:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 52.5%
Break-even odds: 1.90
Expected value at recommendation: +31.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 52.5% · Break-even odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +31.3%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.50
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.5%EV+31.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 2.5 at 2.50 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Goals · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 15
Reconstructed matches: 15
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 2.5Actual: 4+1.35u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3520 Oct, 12:53

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 44.1%
Break-even odds: 2.27
Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 44.1% · Break-even odds 2.27. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
At recommendation2.35
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance44.1%EV+3.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.35
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.40
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:53: over 2.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 32.5Actual: 40+1.20u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2018 Oct, 13:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 58.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.70
Expected value at recommendation: +29.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 58.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.70. Expected value at recommendation: +29.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 280 settled picksand +9.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 32.5
At recommendation2.20
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.8%EV+29.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 32.5 at 2.20 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 11
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 31.5Actual: 40+0.83u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8320 Oct, 12:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 57.2%
Break-even odds: 1.75
Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 57.2% · Break-even odds 1.75. Expected value at recommendation: +4.9%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +14.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 31.5
At recommendation1.83
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.2%EV+4.9%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.15
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.88
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 31.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.62
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 31.5 at 1.83 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 22+0.95u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9518 Oct, 15:01

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 67.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.49
Expected value at recommendation: +31.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 67.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +31.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 201 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation1.95
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.3%EV+31.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 15:01: over 16.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 10
Reconstructed matches: 10
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 16.5Actual: 22+0.82u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8220 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 65.8%
Break-even odds: 1.52
Expected value at recommendation: +19.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 65.8% · Break-even odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +19.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +28.6% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation1.82
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance65.8%EV+19.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 16.5 at 1.82 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 11
Reconstructed matches: 11
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 22+0.85u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 59.5%
Break-even odds: 1.68
Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 59.5% · Break-even odds 1.68. Expected value at recommendation: +10.1%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +7.2% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance59.5%EV+10.1%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Closing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.73
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.66
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.59
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 15.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 9
Reconstructed matches: 9
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 15.5Actual: 22+0.73u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7320 Oct, 12:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 58.5%
Break-even odds: 1.71
Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 58.5% · Break-even odds 1.71. Expected value at recommendation: +1.1%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 9 settled picksand +41.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 15.5
At recommendation1.73
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance58.5%EV+1.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.66
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 15.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.59
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 15.5 at 1.73 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 12.5Actual: 20+1.12u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1218 Oct, 13:00

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 60.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.67
Expected value at recommendation: +27.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 60.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +27.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 230 settled picksand +1.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 12.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance60.0%EV+27.2%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 12.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 179
Reconstructed matches: 175
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 11.5Actual: 20+0.70u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7020 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 62.2%
Break-even odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 62.2% · Break-even odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +5.8%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 179 settled picksand -1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 11.5
At recommendation1.70
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.2%EV+5.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.48
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.76
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 11.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.50
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 11.5 at 1.70 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreePrevious modelWon

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+1.23u on one unit

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2318 Oct, 13:01

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Model chance at recommendation: 52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 96 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+10.1%
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.23
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance52.4%EV+16.9%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:01: over 6.5 at 2.23 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 33
Reconstructed matches: 33
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+0.90u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9020 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 63.5%
Break-even odds: 1.57
Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 63.5% · Break-even odds 1.57. Expected value at recommendation: +20.7%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation1.90
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance63.5%EV+20.7%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 1.90 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 149
Reconstructed matches: 145
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+1.12u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1220 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 49.8%
Break-even odds: 2.01
Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 49.8% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +5.6%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.12
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance49.8%EV+5.6%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 2.12 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:44. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 6
Reconstructed matches: 6
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+0.85u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 54.2%
Break-even odds: 1.84
Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 54.2% · Break-even odds 1.84. Expected value at recommendation: +0.3%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +75.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation1.85
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance54.2%EV+0.3%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: over 6.5 at 1.85 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 149
Reconstructed matches: 147
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 6.5Actual: 15+1.10u on one unit

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1020 Oct, 12:22

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 48.3%
Break-even odds: 2.07
Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 48.3% · Break-even odds 2.07. Expected value at recommendation: +1.5%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +0.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.10
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance48.3%EV+1.5%
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds—
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:22: over 6.5 at 2.10 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 149
Reconstructed matches: 145
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

over 5.5Actual: 15+0.65u on one unit

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.6520 Oct, 12:45

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 62.0%
Break-even odds: 1.61
Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 62.0% · Break-even odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +2.4%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation1.65
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance62.0%EV+2.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetMGM UKClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.41
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.48
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.67
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateover 5.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.45
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:45: over 5.5 at 1.65 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 17
Reconstructed matches: 17
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 28+0.80u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8020 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 67.2%
Break-even odds: 1.49
Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 67.2% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 17 settled picksand +60.0% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
At recommendation1.80
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance67.2%EV+20.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 32.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetClosing estimateunder 32.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 32.5 at 1.80 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · match total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 15
Reconstructed matches: 15
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 32.5Actual: 28+0.75u on one unit

Liderbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 66.4%
Break-even odds: 1.51
Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 66.4% · Break-even odds 1.51. Expected value at recommendation: +16.1%.

At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +52.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 32.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance66.4%EV+16.1%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 32.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 32.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 32.5 at 1.75 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Barcelona total

Open match →VIPWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 12
Reconstructed matches: 12
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 10+0.75u on one unit

Crocobetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 75.5%
Break-even odds: 1.32
Expected value at recommendation: +32.1%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 75.5% · Break-even odds 1.32. Expected value at recommendation: +32.1%.

At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 12 settled picksand +68.8% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance75.5%EV+32.1%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 16.5 at 1.75 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Throw-ins · Barcelona total

Open match →FreeWon

Provider statistics · StatsGem grading

Prediction qualityMore evidence needed

Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.

More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.

Unseen matches: 0
Validation rounds: 0

Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.

Earlier matches: 8
Reconstructed matches: 8
Lineup: Official
Quality calibration: Not yet measured
Forecast stability: Not yet measured

This recorded pick has a result.

under 16.5Actual: 10+0.75u on one unit

Betliverecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.7520 Oct, 12:20

Closing odds—

No closing quote captured

Estimated chance: 57.8%
Break-even odds: 1.73
Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Break-even odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +1.2%.

At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 8 settled picksand +82.5% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 16.5
At recommendation1.75
Closing odds—
No closing quote captured
Model chance57.8%EV+1.2%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetClosing estimateunder 16.5
At recommendation—
Closing odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance—EV—
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 20 Oct, 12:20: under 16.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Predictions

This match

Recorded results

Return+78.5%ROI · 32 units staked

Profit+25.13units

W / L30 / 2picks

Avg odds1.90settled picks

Recorded picks321 matches

Around this match

CompetitionUEFA Champions League Home teamParis Saint-Germain Away teamBarcelona RefereeMichael Oliver

Match overview

Matches

Corners · match total

Fouls · match total

Fouls · Paris Saint-Germain total

Fouls · Paris Saint-Germain total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · match total

Goal kicks · Barcelona total

Goal kicks · Barcelona total

Goals · match total

Goals · match total

Goals · Paris Saint-Germain total

Goals · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots · match total

Shots · match total

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · match total

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · match total

Throw-ins · Barcelona total

Throw-ins · Barcelona total

This match

Around this match

Previous meetings

On this page

This category

StatsGem