FC Porto vs PSV Eindhoven — UEFA Champions League
UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 26/27
Tue 20 Oct··Matchday 3·Estádio do Dragão·PSV Eindhoven won
Match overview
12 priority stats · full time- 2Corners3
- 0Cards2
- 14Shots18
- 4Shots on target3
- 7Fouls9
- 14Throw-ins15
- 5Offsides3
- 13Goal kicks11
- 2Saves3
- 7Tackles12
- 5Interceptions11
- 8Dribbles8
Available now includes eligible early Monitoring picks and confirmed picks. Monitoring uses the same selection as the bots; only confirmed publications enter recorded results.
Board
Matches
FC PortovPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League8 won / 25 lost · −18.07u · 33 picks
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 63.3%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.58
- Expected value at recommendation
- +39.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 63.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
Model chance63.3%EV+39.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.20Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.831 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.101 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.705 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.809 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 5.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.8511 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 5.5 at 2.20 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 90
- Reconstructed matches
- 88
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 52.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.90
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 52.7% · Break-even odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 90 settled picksand +3.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 23.5
Model chance52.7%EV+2.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 23.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.807 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 23.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.5510 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 23.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.558 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 23.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.
This recorded pick has a result.
- Model chance at recommendation
- 60.5%
- Minimum qualifying odds
- 1.66
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.
Model chance at recommendation 60.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +13.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 62 settled picksand +7.3% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
Model chance60.5%EV+13.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.88Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 10.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 34
- Reconstructed matches
- 34
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 62.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.59
- Expected value at recommendation
- +9.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 62.8% · Break-even odds 1.59. Expected value at recommendation: +9.9%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 34 settled picksand +26.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
Model chance62.8%EV+9.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.921 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 10.5 at 1.75 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 123
- Reconstructed matches
- 119
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 55.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.80
- Expected value at recommendation
- +6.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 55.6% · Break-even odds 1.80. Expected value at recommendation: +6.7%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 123 settled picksand +9.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
Model chance55.6%EV+6.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.92Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.753 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 10.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 10.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +5.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +5.7%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +55.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
Model chance64.1%EV+5.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.65Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.656 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.493 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 15.5 at 1.65 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 13
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 61.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.62
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 61.7% · Break-even odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +36.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 15.5
Model chance61.7%EV+1.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.65Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.606 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 15.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.493 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 15.5 at 1.65 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 81
- Reconstructed matches
- 81
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 61.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.62
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 61.8% · Break-even odds 1.62. Expected value at recommendation: +14.3%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 81 settled picksand +25.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
Model chance61.8%EV+14.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.805 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.803 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.921 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 8.5 at 1.85 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.67
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.8% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +7.7%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +32.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 8.5
Model chance59.8%EV+7.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.853 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.803 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateunder 8.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.921 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 8.5 at 1.80 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 18
- Reconstructed matches
- 18
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.9%
- Break-even odds
- 2.00
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.9% · Break-even odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +15.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 18 settled picksand +10.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.9%EV+15.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.32Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.308 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.568 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.337 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.406 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.32 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 30
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 49.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.01
- Expected value at recommendation
- +14.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 49.7% · Break-even odds 2.01. Expected value at recommendation: +14.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +5.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 3.5
Model chance49.7%EV+14.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.30Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetfair ExchangeClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.568 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.256 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.156 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.337 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.2512 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonPaddy PowerClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.406 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 3.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.429 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 3.5 at 2.30 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 27
- Reconstructed matches
- 27
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 75.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.33
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.2%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 75.4% · Break-even odds 1.33. Expected value at recommendation: +13.2%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 27 settled picksand +9.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
Model chance75.4%EV+13.2%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.50Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 1.5 at 1.50 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 15
- Reconstructed matches
- 15
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 44.1%
- Break-even odds
- 2.27
- Expected value at recommendation
- +3.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 44.1% · Break-even odds 2.27. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 15 settled picksand +0.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance44.1%EV+3.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.35Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.751 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.355 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.355 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.457 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.35 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 14
- Reconstructed matches
- 14
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 41.5%
- Break-even odds
- 2.41
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 41.5% · Break-even odds 2.41. Expected value at recommendation: +0.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 14 settled picksand -1.5% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance41.5%EV+0.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.42Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.751 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.355 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.355 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.255 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.42 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 43.9%
- Break-even odds
- 2.28
- Expected value at recommendation
- +11.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 43.9% · Break-even odds 2.28. Expected value at recommendation: +11.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +53.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 0.5
Model chance43.9%EV+11.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.55Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.504 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.304 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.404 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.483 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 0.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.354 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 0.5 at 2.55 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 7
- Reconstructed matches
- 7
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 52.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.90
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 52.6% · Break-even odds 1.90. Expected value at recommendation: +7.8%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 7 settled picksand +20.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 2.5
Model chance52.6%EV+7.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.05Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.002 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.104 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 2.5 at 2.05 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 68
- Reconstructed matches
- 66
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 67.4%
- Break-even odds
- 1.48
- Expected value at recommendation
- +4.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 67.4% · Break-even odds 1.48. Expected value at recommendation: +4.5%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 68 settled picksand +6.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationunder 1.5
Model chance67.4%EV+4.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.55Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.553 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 1.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.552 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 1.5 at 1.55 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 6
- Reconstructed matches
- 6
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 47.9%
- Break-even odds
- 2.09
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.6%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 47.9% · Break-even odds 2.09. Expected value at recommendation: +0.6%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +76.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance47.9%EV+0.6%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.105 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.953 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.10 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 6
- Reconstructed matches
- 6
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 47.7%
- Break-even odds
- 2.10
- Expected value at recommendation
- +0.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 47.7% · Break-even odds 2.10. Expected value at recommendation: +0.1%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +105.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 2.5
Model chance47.7%EV+0.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation2.10Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.953 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 2.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.102 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 2.5 at 2.10 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 210
- Reconstructed matches
- 208
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 64.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.56
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.3%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 64.1% · Break-even odds 1.56. Expected value at recommendation: +15.3%.
At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 210 settled picksand +16.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 26.5
Model chance64.1%EV+15.3%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.708 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.509 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.508 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 26.5 at 1.80 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 30
- Reconstructed matches
- 29
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 30 settled picksand +37.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
Model chance66.7%EV+13.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.70Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.509 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.808 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.508 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 26.5 at 1.70 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 224
- Reconstructed matches
- 218
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.67
- Expected value at recommendation
- +10.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.7% · Break-even odds 1.67. Expected value at recommendation: +10.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 224 settled picksand +19.7% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 27.5
Model chance59.7%EV+10.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 27.5 at 1.85 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Stopped being recommended 20 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 65
- Reconstructed matches
- 63
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.6%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +18.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.6% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +18.5%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 65 settled picksand +29.8% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 26.5
Model chance66.6%EV+18.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.78Closing odds—8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.801 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.708 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.509 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.508 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 26.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.649 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 26.5 at 1.78 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 10
- Reconstructed matches
- 10
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 66.7%
- Break-even odds
- 1.50
- Expected value at recommendation
- +18.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 66.7% · Break-even odds 1.50. Expected value at recommendation: +18.8%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 10 settled picksand +28.6% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
Model chance66.7%EV+18.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.78Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.757 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 16.5 at 1.78 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 11
- Reconstructed matches
- 11
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 62.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.61
- Expected value at recommendation
- +8.8%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 62.2% · Break-even odds 1.61. Expected value at recommendation: +8.8%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 11 settled picksand +7.2% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
Model chance62.2%EV+8.8%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.855 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 16.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.827 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 16.5 at 1.75 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 89
- Reconstructed matches
- 86
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 58.1%
- Break-even odds
- 1.72
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.7%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 58.1% · Break-even odds 1.72. Expected value at recommendation: +1.7%.
At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +7.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 9.5
Model chance58.1%EV+1.7%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.75Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBet365Closing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.731 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.657 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 9.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.739 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:19: over 9.5 at 1.75 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 33
- Reconstructed matches
- 33
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 70.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.41
- Expected value at recommendation
- +13.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 70.9% · Break-even odds 1.41. Expected value at recommendation: +13.4%.
At recommendation, Betlive’s overall market record had 33 settled picksand +14.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Betliveresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance70.9%EV+13.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.60Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 5.5 at 1.60 with Betlive. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 149
- Reconstructed matches
- 145
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 60.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.64
- Expected value at recommendation
- +2.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 60.9% · Break-even odds 1.64. Expected value at recommendation: +2.9%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 149 settled picksand +1.4% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
Model chance60.9%EV+2.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.69Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 5.5 at 1.69 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 6
- Reconstructed matches
- 6
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 56.3%
- Break-even odds
- 1.78
- Expected value at recommendation
- +1.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected reverse. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 56.3% · Break-even odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +1.4%.
At recommendation, Liderbet’s overall market record had 6 settled picksand +75.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Liderbetresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
Model chance56.3%EV+1.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetMGM UKClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.751 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.052 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.005 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonKambiClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.126 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonSuperbetClosing estimateover 6.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds2.257 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 6.5 at 1.80 with Liderbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 49
- Reconstructed matches
- 46
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 65.8%
- Break-even odds
- 1.52
- Expected value at recommendation
- +26.4%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 65.8% · Break-even odds 1.52. Expected value at recommendation: +26.4%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 49 settled picksand +32.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 31.5
Model chance65.8%EV+26.4%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.92Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.556 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.507 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateover 31.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.557 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 31.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 17
- Reconstructed matches
- 17
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 67.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.49
- Expected value at recommendation
- +20.9%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 67.2% · Break-even odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +20.9%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 17 settled picksand +60.0% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 33.5
Model chance67.2%EV+20.9%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.80Closing odds—7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 33.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.656 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 33.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.707 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 33.5 at 1.80 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 13
- Reconstructed matches
- 13
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 57.9%
- Break-even odds
- 1.73
- Expected value at recommendation
- +7.1%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 57.9% · Break-even odds 1.73. Expected value at recommendation: +7.1%.
At recommendation, Crocobet’s overall market record had 13 settled picksand +18.1% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Crocobetresult priceAt recommendationunder 17.5
Model chance57.9%EV+7.1%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.85Closing odds—4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateunder 17.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.904 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonLiderbetClosing estimateunder 17.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.803 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: under 17.5 at 1.85 with Crocobet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Provider statistics · StatsGem grading
Prediction qualityMore evidence needed
Quality measures forecast reliability. Expected value uses the offered odds.
More settled forecasts from later matches are needed.
- Unseen matches
- 0
- Validation rounds
- 0
Each validation round learns from earlier matches and checks later matches.
- Earlier matches
- 51
- Reconstructed matches
- 48
- Lineup
- Official
- Quality calibration
- Not yet measured
- Forecast stability
- Not yet measured
This recorded pick has a result.
- Estimated chance
- 59.2%
- Break-even odds
- 1.69
- Expected value at recommendation
- +15.5%
Bookmaker prices and pick details
Why this suggestion: Earlier results for this bookmaker, statistic, direction and league selected normal. The decision probability adjusts the current paired market probability using the earlier cell bias; the count model probability is shown separately.
Model chance at recommendation 59.2% · Break-even odds 1.69. Expected value at recommendation: +15.5%.
At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 51 settled picksand +16.9% return. View current benchmark
Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 14.5
Model chance59.2%EV+15.5%No closing quote capturedAt recommendation1.95Closing odds—2 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonBetliveClosing estimateover 14.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparisonCrocobetClosing estimateover 14.5
Model chance—EV—No saved recommendationAt recommendation—Closing odds1.704 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Recommendation record
Recorded 20 Oct, 12:18: over 14.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.
Predictions