Predictions

Ongoing probability research with virtual stakes and bankrolls. Compare model and bookmaker probabilities.

Public beta · Virtual simulation

We benchmark model probabilities against bookmakers and tune for simulated returns with virtual stakes and bankrolls. No real money is wagered or won. Simulated profits do not promise real returns.

Independence, method & limitations

An ongoing public-beta experiment comparing model probabilities with bookmaker-implied probabilities for football statistical outcomes. We tune and evaluate our models to improve simulated returns using virtual stakes and bankrolls. Recorded profit and loss are hypothetical; no real money is wagered or won here.

StatsGem is independent. We are not a bookmaker, gambling operator, betting broker or bookmaker affiliate. We accept no bets or gambling deposits, hold no player funds and offer no cash prizes or withdrawals. Subscriptions pay for research access. Bookmaker names and logos identify data sources; they do not imply a partnership or endorsement.

Simulated performance does not predict real-world profit. Models can be wrong, odds can change, and historical results can overstate an apparent advantage. Gambling can cause financial harm and addiction. Get support

PredictionsPredictions Player propsProps FantasyFantasy BenchmarksBenchmarks

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18 picks shown with Bet365 prices. Recorded performance covers all suggestions for the selected tier and markets.

Board

Matches

11 matches

10:45Sabah FKvBorussia DortmundUEFA Champions League2 picks· 0 active

Corners · Sabah FK total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 3.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.5517 Oct, 19:19

Current odds1.8819 Oct, 23:03

Odds down−0.67

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +36.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +36.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation2.55
Current odds1.88
Odds down−0.67
Model chance53.6%EV+36.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.8%EV-4.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.8%EV-16.4%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.8%EV-14.0%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.8%EV-12.6%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.8%EV-8.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance47.8%EV-6.8%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 3.5 at 2.55 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots · match total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 28.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0218 Oct, 11:00

Current odds2.2219 Oct, 23:03

Odds up+0.20

Model chance at recommendation: 56.7%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.77
Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.7% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.77. Expected value at recommendation: +14.5%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 280 settled picksand +9.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 28.5
At recommendation2.02
Current odds2.22
Odds up+0.20
Model chance56.7%EV+14.5%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentover 28.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.9%EV-0.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentover 28.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.14
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.9%EV+6.8%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 28.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.9%EV+2.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 11:00: over 28.5 at 2.02 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

10:45FenerbahçevSK Slavia PrahaUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 active

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 9.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0018 Oct, 18:01

Current odds2.0019 Oct, 22:50

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 53.6%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.87
Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 53.6% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.87. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 83 settled picksand +4.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationunder 9.5
At recommendation2.00
Current odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance53.6%EV+7.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.3%EV-12.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.3%EV-15.3%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 9.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.25
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.3%EV-4.8%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 18:01: under 9.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00FC PortovPSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 active

Corners · FC Porto total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 5.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2017 Oct, 19:19

Current odds1.8719 Oct, 22:52

Odds down−0.33

Model chance at recommendation: 63.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.58
Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 63.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.58. Expected value at recommendation: +39.3%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.20
Current odds1.87
Odds down−0.33
Model chance63.3%EV+39.3%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.91
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+5.3%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV-6.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV-0.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV-6.3%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+2.0%
9 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance55.1%EV+4.8%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 5.5 at 2.20 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00NapolivBodø/GlimtUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 active

Corners · Napoli total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 5.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.5517 Oct, 19:20

Current odds1.9819 Oct, 22:52

Odds down−0.57

Model chance at recommendation: 56.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.78
Expected value at recommendation: +43.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.78. Expected value at recommendation: +43.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 5.5
At recommendation2.55
Current odds1.98
Odds down−0.57
Model chance56.4%EV+43.7%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.7%EV-10.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.7%EV-12.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.7%EV-14.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.7%EV-12.5%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.10
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.7%EV-10.4%
10 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.07
No saved recommendation
Model chance42.7%EV-11.7%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 5.5 at 2.55 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00Manchester CityvAEK AthensUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 active

Corners · Manchester City total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 7.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.1417 Oct, 19:20

Current odds1.8219 Oct, 22:52

Odds down−0.32

Model chance at recommendation: 50.2%
Minimum qualifying odds: 2.00
Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 50.2% · Minimum qualifying odds 2.00. Expected value at recommendation: +7.5%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 7.5
At recommendation2.14
Current odds1.82
Odds down−0.32
Model chance50.2%EV+7.5%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.4%EV+25.4%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.4%EV+23.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.4%EV+23.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.4%EV+23.1%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.4%EV+19.7%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 7.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance68.4%EV+26.5%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:20: under 7.5 at 2.14 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

2 additional VIP picks on this match.Unlock VIP details

13:00VfB StuttgartvAtlético MadridUEFA Champions League1 pick· 0 active

Corners · VfB Stuttgart total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 4.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.3017 Oct, 19:19

Current odds1.9019 Oct, 22:52

Odds down−0.40

Model chance at recommendation: 55.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.81
Expected value at recommendation: +27.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 55.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.81. Expected value at recommendation: +27.7%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 190 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationunder 4.5
At recommendation2.30
Current odds1.90
Odds down−0.40
Model chance55.5%EV+27.7%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.4%EV+0.8%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.4%EV-4.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.85
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.4%EV-6.8%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.90
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.4%EV-4.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Paddy PowerCurrentunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.4%EV+0.8%
8 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentunder 4.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.05
No saved recommendation
Model chance50.4%EV+3.3%
11 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 17 Oct, 19:19: under 4.5 at 2.30 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 01:24. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00LiverpoolvVillarrealUEFA Champions League2 picks· 0 active

Shots · Liverpool total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 18.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8818 Oct, 13:00

Current odds1.9219 Oct, 22:52

Odds up+0.04

Model chance at recommendation: 57.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.76
Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.76. Expected value at recommendation: +7.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 201 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 18.5
At recommendation1.88
Current odds1.92
Odds up+0.04
Model chance57.0%EV+7.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentover 18.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.83
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.4%EV-24.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentover 18.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.63
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.4%EV-32.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 18.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance41.4%EV-25.5%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 18.5 at 1.88 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Villarreal total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

under 3.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9218 Oct, 13:00

Current odds1.9219 Oct, 22:52

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 54.0%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.86
Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 54.0% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.86. Expected value at recommendation: +3.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 58 settled picksand +5.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationunder 3.5
At recommendation1.92
Current odds1.92
Unchanged
Model chance54.0%EV+3.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.61
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.1%EV-35.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.66
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.1%EV-33.4%
4 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentunder 3.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.70
No saved recommendation
Model chance40.1%EV-31.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: under 3.5 at 1.92 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

1 additional VIP pick on this match.Unlock VIP details

13:00Paris Saint-GermainvBarcelonaUEFA Champions League2 picks· 0 active

Shots · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 16.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9518 Oct, 15:01

Current odds1.9219 Oct, 22:52

Odds down−0.03

Model chance at recommendation: 67.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.49
Expected value at recommendation: +31.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 67.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.49. Expected value at recommendation: +31.2%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 201 settled picksand +6.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 16.5
At recommendation1.95
Current odds1.92
Odds down−0.03
Model chance67.3%EV+31.2%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentover 16.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance21.7%EV-56.5%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentover 16.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance21.7%EV-52.2%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentover 16.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.17
No saved recommendation
Model chance21.7%EV-52.8%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 16.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance21.7%EV-50.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 15:01: over 16.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Paris Saint-Germain total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 6.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.2318 Oct, 13:01

Current odds2.1819 Oct, 22:52

Odds down−0.05

Model chance at recommendation: 52.4%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.91
Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 52.4% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.91. Expected value at recommendation: +16.9%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 96 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.10
Current odds2.10
Unchanged
Model chance52.4%EV+10.1%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 6.5
At recommendation2.23
Current odds2.18
Odds down−0.05
Model chance52.4%EV+16.9%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetCurrentover 6.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.30
No saved recommendation
Model chance27.5%EV-36.7%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 6.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.20
No saved recommendation
Model chance27.5%EV-39.4%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:01: over 6.5 at 2.23 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

13:00RomavŠK Slovan BratislavaUEFA Champions League2 picks· 0 active

Shots on target · match total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 10.5

Superbetrecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.9518 Oct, 13:00

Current odds1.9519 Oct, 22:52

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 57.8%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.74
Expected value at recommendation: +12.7%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 57.8% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.74. Expected value at recommendation: +12.7%.

At recommendation, Superbet’s overall market record had 230 settled picksand +1.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365At recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation2.00
Current odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance57.8%EV+15.6%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Superbetresult priceAt recommendationover 10.5
At recommendation1.95
Current odds1.95
Unchanged
Model chance57.8%EV+12.7%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
KambiCurrentover 10.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV-12.9%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 10.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance49.8%EV-10.4%
7 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:00: over 10.5 at 1.95 with Superbet. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Shots on target · Roma total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 7.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation1.8718 Oct, 13:01

Current odds1.6119 Oct, 22:52

Odds down−0.26

Model chance at recommendation: 60.3%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.66
Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 60.3% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.66. Expected value at recommendation: +12.8%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 96 settled picksand +0.7% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation1.87
Current odds1.61
Odds down−0.26
Model chance60.3%EV+12.8%
6 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetAt recommendationover 7.5
At recommendation1.88
Current odds1.78
Odds down−0.10
Model chance60.6%EV+14.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentover 7.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.80
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV-4.7%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 7.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.75
No saved recommendation
Model chance53.0%EV-7.3%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 13:01: over 7.5 at 1.87 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

16:30LondrinavCuiabáBrasileirão Série B1 pick· 0 active

Corners · Londrina total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 5.5

Kambirecorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0014 Oct, 06:24

Current odds2.0019 Oct, 22:53

Unchanged

Model chance at recommendation: 51.5%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.95
Expected value at recommendation: +3.0%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 51.5% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.95. Expected value at recommendation: +3.0%.

At recommendation, Kambi’s overall market record had 89 settled picksand +4.3% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Kambiresult priceAt recommendationover 5.5
At recommendation2.00
Current odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance51.5%EV+3.0%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
Bet365Currentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds2.00
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-37.0%
1 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveCurrentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-38.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
LiderbetCurrentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.95
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-38.6%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
SuperbetCurrentover 5.5
At recommendation—
Current odds1.97
No saved recommendation
Model chance31.5%EV-37.9%
3 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 14 Oct, 06:24: over 5.5 at 2.00 with Kambi. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 14 Oct, 12:24. The original pick remains in the results.

19:00FC JuárezvAtlante FCLiga MX, Apertura1 pick· 0 active

Goals · Atlante FC total

Open match →FreeNo longer recommended

over 1.5

Bet365recorded bookmaker

At recommendation2.0018 Oct, 19:17

Current odds2.1019 Oct, 22:50

Odds up+0.10

Model chance at recommendation: 56.1%
Minimum qualifying odds: 1.79
Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%

Bookmaker prices and pick details

Why this suggestion: The model estimates positive value at this price and the recorded bookmaker benchmark qualified this market.

Model chance at recommendation 56.1% · Minimum qualifying odds 1.79. Expected value at recommendation: +12.2%.

At recommendation, Bet365’s overall market record had 234 settled picksand +1.9% return. View current benchmark

Bookmaker price options · Choose one. Different lines have different model chances.

Bet365result priceAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Current odds2.10
Odds up+0.10
Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
BetliveAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Current odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison
CrocobetAt recommendationover 1.5
At recommendation2.00
Current odds2.00
Unchanged
Model chance56.1%EV+12.2%
5 bookmaker lines available.
Open complete comparison

Recommendation record

Recorded 18 Oct, 19:17: over 1.5 at 2.00 with Bet365. Results use one unit at these saved terms.

Stopped being recommended 18 Oct, 20:09. The original pick remains in the results.

Selected day

Tue, 20 Oct 2026

Recorded results · all bookmaker options

No settled results yet. 0 active suggestions across 11 listed matches.

All dates

Overall results

3,193 settled picks

One unit per pick at its recorded odds. Earlier estimated history is excluded. Results: 28 Sept 2026 – 19 Oct 2026.

ROI−1.1%

Profit−35.67 u

W / L1,537 / 1,656

Avg odds2.13

How to read this board

A simulated selection is one match, statistic, scope and direction. Bookmaker prices are alternatives for comparison, not additional stakes.

Results use one virtual unit per recorded selection at its recorded line and odds. The comparison bookmaker is labelled on each selection. These are simulated returns; no real money is wagered or won.

Earlier matches without a saved pre-match recommendation are labelled Historical estimate. They remain visible in the calendar and are excluded from daily and overall results.

Free and VIP use the same process. Their labels reflect the benchmark rules; one day's return cannot determine which will perform better.

Telegram reads these same recommendations and applies your tier, bookmaker preferences and delivery time. A message does not create an additional pick.